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  • tailmypicks
    SBR MVP
    • 11-09-09
    • 1005

    #1
    TMP soccer thread
    Hey there friends i will post my picks here. I will justify my picks with brief writeups, do let me know what u think about it and point out anything i am missing. It will also include some tennis but i decided to post it here since it will be more abt soccer.
    Everton PK 3.0 has to be the best value pick. Manc beat manyoo cos of the Rivalry, Arsenal cos of adebayor-arse duel and chelsea cos of JT affair. All 3 mega-performances were the results of off-field issues which had pumped the citizens. Against everton-a club of their own level, i dont find any particular reason why manc will be more motivated. And everton as a team overall is better IMO. This unbeaten home record can come to an end. My advice is dont pay too much attention to the stats, i think it will be very close, with it ending in a draw at worst for everton.

    Spurs -1 @ 2.15
    If you'll see the Serie A standing you'll find out that fulham's juve victory was more about Juve being awful than fulham being awesome. I think they already got their share of the big cup victory, now spurs win this one. And as everyone knows how Harry likes to go to wembley, spurs will be fully motivated. Think itll be 1-0 spurs but still playing -1 cos of 2.15.

    Chelsea -1.5
    with two huge kicks at the back side, CFC should absolutely hammer pompey. This is the only reason behind it otherwise difference in quality between the two sides is still the same as it was in the last blackburn game.What worries me is the deploying of paulo ferreira at the right back while his best position is in front of his TV in his living room. It was him who lost out the header against Diouf in the last match. Both the fullbacks are defensively a liability but good news is pompey wingers are championship calibre.

    Blackburn Birmingham are similar physical sides with tall center backs. On paper 2 defensive sides hint towards an under as they will cancel each other out, but whenever i see this kind of matchup it goes over for me more times. Leaning on the over but not playing it. From one point of view, i can see the bigteamsmallteam syndrome where u beat a big club and then u lose to a small club the very next match taking down a lot of statistical bettors. From another POV, blackburn didnt beat CFC and Birm arent a small club so this theory might not apply here. Too tough wont play this one at all.
    Like Villa -1 too but they might start pottying now that it is the season ending time and sunderland isn’t a bad side at all. Again i can;t find the logic to pick anything in this match so will avoid it.
    Wondering all these crap words for something i am not gonna pick? I'm targeting 500 words for the sbr blog but it is so hard to reach . Anyways best of luck if anyone tails me, let me know if i’m wrong anywhere and lets make some Pakistani rupees.
    Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
  • fuglyboy86hi
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-10-09
    • 499

    #2
    nice stats .Mr.Money!

    Everton vs MAn C , last played game between the clubs were ended in favor of everton and i dont think it will gonna happen again in the same manner , i can look a reverse of performances in this game, resulting Man City 2-0, or 3-1
    Comment
    • moiz615
      SBR Hustler
      • 06-28-09
      • 97

      #3
      You said some what correct, While its my inner scare not to bet on Spurs
      *eMmA parLay thuG*
      Soccer Record - Parlay - 11 Wins.
      Comment
      • tailmypicks
        SBR MVP
        • 11-09-09
        • 1005

        #4
        Originally posted by tailmypicks
        Hey there friends i will post my picks here. I will justify my picks with brief writeups, do let me know what u think about it and point out anything i am missing. It will also include some tennis but i decided to post it here since it will be more abt soccer.
        Everton PK 3.0 has to be the best value pick. Manc beat manyoo cos of the Rivalry, Arsenal cos of adebayor-arse duel and chelsea cos of JT affair. All 3 mega-performances were the results of off-field issues which had pumped the citizens. Against everton-a club of their own level, i dont find any particular reason why manc will be more motivated. And everton as a team overall is better IMO. This unbeaten home record can come to an end. My advice is dont pay too much attention to the stats, i think it will be very close, with it ending in a draw at worst for everton. +2 units

        Spurs -1 @ 2.15
        If you'll see the Serie A standing you'll find out that fulham's juve victory was more about Juve being awful than fulham being awesome. I think they already got their share of the big cup victory, now spurs win this one. And as everyone knows how Harry likes to go to wembley, spurs will be fully motivated. Think itll be 1-0 spurs but still playing -1 cos of 2.15. +1.15 unit

        Chelsea -1.5 @ 1.83
        with two huge kicks at the back side, CFC should absolutely hammer pompey. This is the only reason behind it otherwise difference in quality between the two sides is still the same as it was in the last blackburn game.What worries me is the deploying of paulo ferreira at the right back while his best position is in front of his TV in his living room. It was him who lost out the header against Diouf in the last match. Both the fullbacks are defensively a liability but good news is pompey wingers are championship calibre. +0.83 unit

        Blackburn Birmingham are similar physical sides with tall center backs. On paper 2 defensive sides hint towards an under as they will cancel each other out, but whenever i see this kind of matchup it goes over for me more times. Leaning on the over but not playing it. From one point of view, i can see the bigteamsmallteam syndrome where u beat a big club and then u lose to a small club the very next match taking down a lot of statistical bettors. From another POV, blackburn didnt beat CFC and Birm arent a small club so this theory might not apply here. Too tough wont play this one at all.
        Like Villa -1 too but they might start pottying now that it is the season ending time and sunderland isn’t a bad side at all. Again i can;t find the logic to pick anything in this match so will avoid it.


        Wondering all these crap words for something i am not gonna pick? I'm targeting 500 words for the sbr blog but it is so hard to reach . Anyways best of luck if anyone tails me, let me know if i’m wrong anywhere and lets make some Pakistani rupees.
        all went right
        Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
        Comment
        • tailmypicks
          SBR MVP
          • 11-09-09
          • 1005

          #5
          A very profitable first day, i'm up 3.98 units and even the blackburn bolton over lean went correct. Beginner's luck? Let's find out tomorrow.
          Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
          Comment
          • fuglyboy86hi
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-10-09
            • 499

            #6
            wow, i would love to tail you ahead !
            Thanks for today, let us know to make some cash tomorrow by your picks.
            BOL
            Comment
            • tailmypicks
              SBR MVP
              • 11-09-09
              • 1005

              #7
              JUVENTUS PK 2.25

              Picking juventus is a very risky business and i've been burnt multiple times this season by them but at odds of pk 2.25 i'll take a shot. Buffon not playing makes this selection even more hard to justify but i don't think his ommission will decide the outcome of this match. One good news is that Del piero might be playing. So although not any soccer reason to pick juve but i think odds are too good to pass.

              Andrea Petkovic 4.60
              Odds are too good to pass and i'm a fan of Petkovic's stable serve and nice attacking game. IMO she is a future top 20 player and i'll take a shot again.

              Svetlana Kuznetsova 1.33
              She went out in the first round as the highest seed in both her last tourneys. But in Miami the courts play faster than indian wells and i think it will suite her attacking game and fast runners like Peng will not do as good as they did in IW last week.
              Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
              Comment
              • tailmypicks
                SBR MVP
                • 11-09-09
                • 1005

                #8
                Originally posted by tailmypicks
                JUVENTUS PK 2.25

                Picking juventus is a very risky business and i've been burnt multiple times this season by them but at odds of pk 2.25 i'll take a shot. Buffon not playing makes this selection even more hard to justify but i don't think his ommission will decide the outcome of this match. One good news is that Del piero might be playing. So although not any soccer reason to pick juve but i think odds are too good to pass.

                Andrea Petkovic 4.60
                Odds are too good to pass and i'm a fan of Petkovic's stable serve and nice attacking game. IMO she is a future top 20 player and i'll take a shot again.

                Svetlana Kuznetsova 1.33
                She went out in the first round as the highest seed in both her last tourneys. But in Miami the courts play faster than indian wells and i think it will suite her attacking game and fast runners like Peng will not do as good as they did in IW last week.
                I guess picking Juve is just bad idea no matter what the line is like. But both the tennis picks got hit so overall another profitable day.
                Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                Comment
                • tailmypicks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-09-09
                  • 1005

                  #9
                  Soccer 3-1-0 2.98 units
                  Tennis 2-0-0 3.93 units
                  Overall 5-1-0 +6.91 units
                  Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                  Comment
                  • fuglyboy86hi
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-10-09
                    • 499

                    #10
                    any picks for today?
                    Comment
                    • tailmypicks
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-09-09
                      • 1005

                      #11
                      it is too early in the day boy, let me think a bit
                      Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                      Comment
                      • tailmypicks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-09-09
                        • 1005

                        #12
                        parlay bet

                        lyon 1.25
                        djokovic 1.07
                        sam querrey 1.28

                        pays 1.71

                        leans:
                        Kohlshcreiber 1.61
                        m llodra 3.55
                        stakhovsky 2.40
                        bellucci 2.65
                        Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                        Comment
                        • moiz615
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 06-28-09
                          • 97

                          #13
                          going heavily on lyon
                          *eMmA parLay thuG*
                          Soccer Record - Parlay - 11 Wins.
                          Comment
                          • tailmypicks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-09-09
                            • 1005

                            #14
                            newcastle utd -1 @ 1.67
                            Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                            Comment
                            • romacros
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 01-27-10
                              • 4

                              #15
                              agree with newcastle pick........
                              sbr
                              Comment
                              • stomptheboard
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 04-05-10
                                • 106

                                #16
                                newcastle wins but only by a single goal
                                Comment
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