Going for two picks this weekend, immediate fade material after my recent run 
Burnley/Pompey - Burnley WIN @ 11/10
I hopped on this before the news came out about a points deduction for Pompey and i don't think it changes a thing, although the odds have dropped on a home win a little.
In this matchup i am looking more at the weakness of pompey than any obvious strength of Burnley - although the 6-4-2 home record is very encouraging, especially when even though their form has dipped off, they have still lost only once at home in their last 6. That came to Chelsea and what we know we will get from the home side is fight, something that Portsmouth will struggle with.
Pompey not only have 2 points from a possible 18, they have also lost 10 of 13 away games. 2 goals in their last 6 away also fill me with confidence as Burnley are very strong defensively at home.
This is an obvious public pick but f*ck it, i'm still in profit on the year.
Brighton/Exeter - Brighton @ 10/11
God i love a contrarian and situational play, and this fits right in line with it.
The line just looks wrong, this should be closer to 11/10 and i think that this line is not a result of their recent win at Charlton and draw at Leeds, but more a realisation that those shock results Exeter were pulling off before have dried up completely.
Losing at home to Stockport, Carlisle and Yeovil also on the road, i just don't know what to think when you then see them draw at the MK Dons and at home to Southampton.
This should be left alone but i'm too stubborn
Brighton have one thing going for them, goalscorers....Murray and Forster are playing well and Poyet has made up with the latter.
Exeter's 11 defeats on the road looks good against Brighton's 10 home defeats, but there is a resoluteness to Brighton.
Exeter are slipping badly and while one is sinking, Brighton are pulling away from the trouble and mid table is beckoning.
I've already played both, and daren't play a third game 'cos i like the idea of being in profit on the year, and it will probably lose
Have a good weekend guys, Villa/United will get some attention from me on Sunday
Let's kill it
Burnley/Pompey - Burnley WIN @ 11/10
I hopped on this before the news came out about a points deduction for Pompey and i don't think it changes a thing, although the odds have dropped on a home win a little.
In this matchup i am looking more at the weakness of pompey than any obvious strength of Burnley - although the 6-4-2 home record is very encouraging, especially when even though their form has dipped off, they have still lost only once at home in their last 6. That came to Chelsea and what we know we will get from the home side is fight, something that Portsmouth will struggle with.
Pompey not only have 2 points from a possible 18, they have also lost 10 of 13 away games. 2 goals in their last 6 away also fill me with confidence as Burnley are very strong defensively at home.
This is an obvious public pick but f*ck it, i'm still in profit on the year.
Brighton/Exeter - Brighton @ 10/11
God i love a contrarian and situational play, and this fits right in line with it.
The line just looks wrong, this should be closer to 11/10 and i think that this line is not a result of their recent win at Charlton and draw at Leeds, but more a realisation that those shock results Exeter were pulling off before have dried up completely.
Losing at home to Stockport, Carlisle and Yeovil also on the road, i just don't know what to think when you then see them draw at the MK Dons and at home to Southampton.
This should be left alone but i'm too stubborn
Brighton have one thing going for them, goalscorers....Murray and Forster are playing well and Poyet has made up with the latter.
Exeter's 11 defeats on the road looks good against Brighton's 10 home defeats, but there is a resoluteness to Brighton.
Exeter are slipping badly and while one is sinking, Brighton are pulling away from the trouble and mid table is beckoning.
I've already played both, and daren't play a third game 'cos i like the idea of being in profit on the year, and it will probably lose
Have a good weekend guys, Villa/United will get some attention from me on Sunday
Let's kill it
- this is a common misconception and it's all because of Wenger having a divvy fit.
