Smogs Premier League Picks Wednesday

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  • Smogs
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4173

    #1
    Smogs Premier League Picks Wednesday
    We have some interesting matchups tonight and with the advice of some of the members on and some solid stats i am going to make a couple of half unit plays. Nothing major tonight, i was lucky last night and i don't want to get silly tonight.

    Blackburn Vs Wigan - Blackburn win and Over 2.5

    I think we will see both outcomes come through here and i am confident that Blackburn can win this convincingly.

    Despite being sh*t, Blackburn are actually very solid at home. They recently beat Fulham 2-0 at home and that was sandwiched in between 2 big losses to Villa in the cup. I think they had given up in this and now can set themselves straight with this league game.
    Head to head form alone favours both outcomes tonight: Blackburn have won their last 3 at Ewood against Wigan and 2 of the 3 went over 2.5 goals.

    With Wigan poor on the road, especially defensively, i believe Blackburn will score at least 2. They have lost just 1 of their last 6 home games and only 2 all season. They have drawn a fair few but Wigan on the road read just 3 wins and 7 defeats from 11. They also have lost 4 of their last 6 and that win was against Wolves, who cannot score themselves.

    With this being a local derby also, i expect a high tempo and with odds at evens for the Blackburn win, and +105 for over 2.5 goals, i think we see at the very worst one hit, and to make my night a lot better, both
  • Smogs
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4173

    #2
    Everton Vs Sunderland - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.925

    I'm steering clear of the home win, even though i do like it, but i'll follow Wilforth's lead and go with the over, which i liked myself.
    What i noticed from the stats is that Sunderland have actually scored in 7 of their 11 away games and their last 4 in all competitions.
    Everton are on a big revival that has had too many draws and i think they will come out tonight looking for plenty of goals.
    Donovan has made a good impact and Everton have actually scored in their last 5 home games in all comps, adding to this they have scored 11 in their last 6.

    Don't put it past Sunderland to score, as Bent is still in good form despite the Mackems not, so i would not be surprised at a 2-1 home win even more goals
    Comment
    • theplagy
      SBR MVP
      • 04-21-09
      • 1915

      #3
      Well, this is what my card looks like

      Birmingham +1.75 -120
      Sunderland +1 -120
      Arsenal -.25 -115
      Blackburn -.5 -110
      Arsenal under 2.5, EV



      leans
      over birmingham/chelsea, over sunderland/everton
      Comment
      • Smogs
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-08
        • 4173

        #4
        I like them Plagy, especially Birmingham and arsenal under.
        Comment
        • tonyno
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-18-10
          • 198

          #5
          I had a bad day yesterday and I am trying to make it up today. Here are my plays/leans for today:

          · Newcastle vs C. Palace Over 2.5 LOSS
          · Chelsea vs Birmingham Birmingham +2 LOSS
          · Everton vs Sunderland Over 2.5 LOSS
          · Blackburn vs Wigan Under 2.5 LOSS
          · Aston Villa vs Arsenal Over 2.5 LOSS

          Terrible day...0-5
          Comment
          • theplagy
            SBR MVP
            • 04-21-09
            • 1915

            #6
            hope u don't mind me posting on your thread. esp, w/o any analysis.

            im just way too lazy :P
            Comment
            • Smogs
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-08
              • 4173

              #7
              Originally posted by theplagy
              hope u don't mind me posting on your thread. esp, w/o any analysis.

              im just way too lazy :P

              Not a prob plagy, good to get other insight. Bad start for the Brum
              Comment
              • theplagy
                SBR MVP
                • 04-21-09
                • 1915

                #8
                haha, im not too worried. got over 2.5 as insurance
                Comment
                • JamesBrown
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-07-08
                  • 3860

                  #9
                  Smogs...riding Blackburn with ya today...hopefully a few more goals so you can also hit the total. Cheers
                  Comment
                  • DIESELHEEL
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-16-10
                    • 562

                    #10
                    Here are my picks for today:

                    Aston Villa/Arsenal Over +2.5 - 1 unit
                    Chelsea/Birmingham Over +2.5 - 1.5 units
                    Chelsea/Birmingham Chelsea -1.5 - 1.5 units
                    Everton/Sunderland Everton -1 - 1 units
                    Man City/Man Unites Over +2.5 - 4 units

                    Definitely losing the Villa game, Chelsea will pull it out by 2, but they may not score anymore so I may lose that as well. Everton is golden.

                    My last big play in the United/City game is going to be close, I expect Man U to score at least one more goal, so it really comes down to City putting one in or not. If City scores and it goes to ET then no matter what I win? Curious, whether or not a PK win would constitute a goal or not...
                    Comment
                    • theplagy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-21-09
                      • 1915

                      #11
                      blackburn's late goal revived me
                      Comment
                      • Rixsaw
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-23-08
                        • 4532

                        #12
                        good call on Blackburn bro. Appreciated. 15 pts for you
                        Comment
                        • MykeTison
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-17-08
                          • 314

                          #13
                          well done, seeing alot of perfect days today.
                          Comment
                          • tonyno
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 198

                            #14
                            Originally posted by MykeTison
                            well done, seeing alot of perfect days today.
                            Not mine...

                            · Newcastle vs C. Palace Over 2.5 LOSS
                            · Chelsea vs Birmingham Birmingham +2 LOSS
                            · Everton vs Sunderland Over 2.5 LOSS
                            · Blackburn vs Wigan Under 2.5 LOSS
                            · Aston Villa vs Arsenal Over 2.5 LOSS

                            Terrible day...0-5
                            Comment
                            • Smogs
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-08
                              • 4173

                              #15
                              Thank you rixsaw, i appreciate it

                              Another good day for me, up 7.2 units ytd. Can't believe only last week i was 7-11-3 and now i'm 24-18-4
                              Comment
                              • DIESELHEEL
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-16-10
                                • 562

                                #16
                                What are y'all feeling on the Copa Del Rey games tomorrow ? Atletico has been putting up a lot of goals as of late, kinda feeling the over, but first lets talk about their first leg.
                                Comment
                                • sportscash
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-16-09
                                  • 2894

                                  #17
                                  Comment
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