Smogs Tuesday Picks

**ZXCVBNM** · 01-26-10, 12:20 PM

looks good, I see this as a 1-0/2-0 too

**tonyno** · 01-26-10, 12:31 PM

I like the Liverpool pick for the win but I see it going over 2.5.

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 12:45 PM

Ipswich/West brom OVER 2.75 @ 1.975 - Bet365

Would rather have had over 2.5 at 4/5 earlier in the day but was at work so missed the price. However, i still think this has a good shot of fully covering and having at least 4 goals in the game.
Head to head couldn't really be used but the form of both teams makes me confident as both have seen more than their fair share of high scoring games recently.

Ipswich have had 5 overs in their last 6, WBA have had 4 and both come off higher scoring games.
Ipswich have scored 10 home goals in their last 6 and this goes nicely with WBA scoring 13 away goals in their last 6.
We are not yet at that stage where the motivation of one team dips and i think both teams will go for the win and create plenty of chances.

Both teams have seen plenty of first half goals this season, with 60 coming in the 50 games between them so far and if we get a goal in the 1st 45' at least, i am confident there will be more in the 2nd

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 01:01 PM

Two potential draws i cannot ignore - half a unit apiece

Hartlepool vs Gillingham @ 13/5 - Bet365

This bet may be a waste, as Gillingham are betting suicide on the road, with a 0-2-11 away record and just 10 goals and 30 allowed. However, i know Hartlepool, i live close when i'm back from Uni and i know that they themselves are betting suicide.
They have also hit a bad patch, losing 5-0 at home to MK Dons and following that up with 2 away losses. They have 1 goal in their last 3 and even when i look back at their home results this season: 1-0 at home to L Orient, 2-1 vs Oldham, Only Millwall 3-0 was convincing but they have just 5 wins from 13 at home, scored just 14 and have just 5 goals in their last 6.
I haven't yet spoken about Gillingham, whose defense is very good at home and shocking away, but this is an obvious home bet for the accumulator and far too risky. That is why half a unit is on draw - pure value play and worth no more than a half Unit

Barnet Vs Torquay Draw @ 11/5

This one is purely about how both teams are doing terrible at the moment.
Where do i start?? Barnet have lost 5 of their last 6, Torquay their last 4.
Go back even further and Barnet have not won in 11 and Torquay have just 4 wins in their last 20 games.
Interestingly Barnet have drawn 4 of their last 6 at home and Torquay have drawn 3 of their last 6 away.
Neither team has scored many goals of late, adding to their downturns in form. Barnet have 5 goals in their last 10 games while Torquay have at least been scoring, but not in their last 4, where they have scored just 3 and had 2 shut outs.

Another value pick and another half unit - not the balls to put full units on draws just yet, need another +10 units as security

**spartangreen** · 01-26-10, 01:10 PM

Love that W. Brom over, i think we see at least 4 goals. Lets cash it.

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 01:12 PM

Bet Of The Night - but still only a unit

Northampton to beat Darlington @ 1.975 - Bet365

This is my favourite bet of the night for a couple of reasons.
Northampton have have kept 5 successive clean sheets and now go away to Darlington who have just 4 home goals this season. They have lost 7 of 10 home games and face the Cobblers who are unbeaten in their last 7 and are still close enough to the playoffs to keep up the good performances. The 0-0 draw at the weekend will make them more determined to win this as they had the chances to comfortably win that game also and come into this off the back of 4 unbeaten away games.
They have kept clean sheets against Bournemouth and Dag & Red along the way and are nearly at a club record for consecutive clean sheets.
Darlo are poor defensively and i know from local guys around Darlo that Steve Staunton - the boss, knows they have a total lack of quality.
I think Darlo's misery will be compounded here and a 2-0 away victory awaits.

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 01:15 PM

I will have at least one more pick before K.O but i am due a losing night after a 10-1-2 run that started last week.

**TWEETS** · 01-26-10, 01:15 PM

Like Liverpool, may have to go look at the northhampton game now.

**rfr3sh** · 01-26-10, 01:16 PM

maybe ill play northhampton cuz i used to live there haha

**tonyno** · 01-26-10, 01:33 PM

I might sprinkle some on Westham to beat Portsmouth. Any opinions?

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-26-10, 01:56 PM

Good luck Smogs! Gonna be a lot of angry people if Liverpool lays an egg today. Seems like the whole soccer forum is on them.

**zedaci63** · 01-26-10, 02:11 PM

interesting

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 02:31 PM

I'm a sucker for the public bet and here it is......

Bolton @ 4/5 at home to Burnley

Seen the lineups and i just think Bolton warrant the bet tonight. It will not be easy but i am using the theory that the whole point Coyle moved clubs was to show that his new team were better than his last. What does it say for his career choice if Bolton don't win here?? That he shouldn't have left.

Not the best of prices for a sh*t team but Burnley's poor record away did it for me

GARETH BALE BET!!!!!!!!!!!**************

Lol, crazy sub-title but we all know that post i had against Liverpool. Bale played and they did not win....again.

I will take some insurance this time and only stake half a unit on it

FULHAM +1 @ 1.71

**theplagy** · 01-26-10, 02:40 PM

I'm going with three favs today,
bol,liver,spurs

GL

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 02:41 PM

Final addition because i've gone crazy and staked far too many units - Barnet/Torquay Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/5 - Bet365

* half Unit bringing the total to 6 Units risked

Odds i go 2-6 are -150

Odds i make profit are +500

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Good luck Smogs! Gonna be a lot of angry people if Liverpool lays an egg today. Seems like the whole soccer forum is on them.

The bookies will make a killing off all these public bets - dam why am i so negative

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 04:22 PM

If everything stays the same i lose 1.4 units - i'll take it!!!!!!! no more goals please

Not a good night

**Busterflywheel** · 01-26-10, 05:25 PM

Better luck tomorrow smogs!

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 06:01 PM

Wow, i had a 5-3 night, late goals saved me and i ended up going 5-3 +2.2 units

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-26-10, 06:02 PM

Nice work. Had a feeling that Liverpool one was the jinx pick today and it was.

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Nice work. Had a feeling that Liverpool one was the jinx pick today and it was.

Thanks to the 2 draws i got right - that alone was 2.2 units up, they saved me

**tonyno** · 01-26-10, 06:15 PM

Originally posted by Smogs

Thanks to the 2 draws i got right - that alone was 2.2 units up, they saved me

Nice calls on the draws...good night for you

**bluefish** · 01-26-10, 08:43 PM

good job

**theplagy** · 01-26-10, 08:54 PM

Gratz on a good day
finally got my posting record back to +, lol

--
Ticket#:76700

Jan 26 11:17 AM

PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
MILWAUKEE +260
KANSAS STATE +125
NC STATE +1½-110
TOTTENHAM -1+115
BOLTON -135
R FEDERER -285
(R FEDERER vrs N DAVYDENKO)

5.00 / 385.90

long ways to go but I think I have a shot at this

**Smogs** · 01-26-10, 09:05 PM

good luck on the parlay

**TurkzZ** · 01-26-10, 10:13 PM

nice work