Smogs Everton/Man City Pick

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  • Smogs
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4173

    #1
    Smogs Everton/Man City Pick
    I've been looking at this for a while and have to make a play on it.

    Draw @ 9/4 Bet365 1 Unit

    Everton come into this game having had a bad season by their standards. They struggle to win at home, with a 3-5-2 home record, and they don't score that many with just 14 goals. They have conceded 15 but when you consider 6 came against Arsenal, they have proven quite resolute at the back.
    Form wise they are getting back on track. They haven't lost in their last 6 but that only includes one win, and they have drawn 5 of their last 7 at home.
    Injuries who have cost Everton before christmas are coming back and will make this very hard for Man City, who have their own injury headaches.

    Man City also like the draw, with it happening 8 times in 20 league games and 5 times on the road.
    They have a lot of injury problems, highlighted by the fact Benjani is playing first team football and even with Tevez in fine form, may struggle to show the gap in quality at everton.

    Head to head, these games are always tight and decided by the odd goal, and even though Everton have the better record, Man City now have a bg jump in quality, but i think ultimately both teams are going to cancel themselves out.

    This fits a purely value perspective rather than an odds on banker, the price is very good given the two teams scenarios.

    Good luck guys
  • mihaita666
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-13-09
    • 8596

    #2
    smogs, u're a good capper, and an active member of the football forum...why dont you mke your thread here?
    Soccer record (2010) : 244-160-24
    2010-2011 season (soccer) :
    144-95-11
    NBA Record (2010-2011 season) :
    17-12-1


    Comment
    • Smogs
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-08
      • 4173

      #3
      I had a thread but after a massive downturn in form, i decided just making picks would be better. I think it's easier for people to see the picks, and my record is on my spreadsheet. I might make another one though
      Comment
      • spartangreen
        SBR MVP
        • 11-25-09
        • 3807

        #4
        yeah smogs. at first i liked Man City, but Everton has been playing pretty decent and a draw could happen. Thats why i played the over 2.5 with the decent odds.
        Comment
        • Smogs
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-08
          • 4173

          #5
          Hopefully it will be 2-2 then lol. This is more a value pick at great odds rather than a more consistent pick, if that makes sense

          I was thinking of Chesterfield this weekend, but poor form steered me away.

          Sunday will see two picks from me, eyeing up Villa -1 and Blackburn PK.
          Comment
          • demize21
            SBR MVP
            • 11-03-08
            • 3541

            #6
            BOL smogs
            Comment
            • Toronto-boy
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-08
              • 1286

              #7
              good luck on ur tommrow game and i taked Man City in my pro-line.
              Comment
              • Smogs
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-08
                • 4173

                #8
                wtf is pro-line
                Comment
                • Toronto-boy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-05-08
                  • 1286

                  #9
                  u don't like it proline??
                  Comment
                  • Smogs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-08
                    • 4173

                    #10
                    I don't know what it is
                    Comment
                    • Toronto-boy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-05-08
                      • 1286

                      #11
                      this is wat im talking abut http://proline.olg.ca/prolineEvents.do
                      Comment
                      • AgiosGerasimos
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-07-10
                        • 152

                        #12
                        Draws in the EPL are highly profitable best of luck
                        Comment
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