SM Caen @ FC Metz (2:30pm EST)

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  • SRBI
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-20-09
    • 8393

    #1
    SM Caen @ FC Metz (2:30pm EST)
    #1 vs #4 in the France Ligue 2 standings.

    SM Caen Away Form: 3-3-2 / GS: 13 / GA: 9

    FC Metz Home Form: 7-2-0 / GS: 14 / GA: 4

    Last 8 Meetings:

    01.03.2008 D1 Ligue 1 FC Metz SM Caen 2-1
    22.09.2007 D1 Ligue 1 SM Caen FC Metz 1-2
    19.02.2007 D2 Ligue 2 FC Metz SM Caen 2-0
    07.09.2006 D2 Ligue 2 SM Caen FC Metz 0-0
    09.04.2005 D1 Ligue 1 SM Caen FC Metz 0-1
    13.11.2004 D1 Ligue 1 FC Metz SM Caen 1-2
    03.05.2003 D2 Ligue 2 SM Caen FC Metz 1-0
    29.11.2002 D2 Ligue 2 FC Metz SM Caen 4-0

    Let me just say one thing first, this match reeks of a draw, especially seeing the lowered draw odds of +195.

    But we clearly have a huge advantage with FC Metz home form and goal difference, as well as the h2h record between the two.

    At this time, I am seeing +100 for FC Metz -0.5. Surely you can find better at other books.

    I would also guess that o2 (-120) would be a good option for this game, unless Metz plays outstanding D.

    FC Metz has only lost one game at home to Caen and that was back in 2004.

    Let's hear your thoughts/opinions and hopefully we got some locals from France to weigh in on this too.

  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    Had this one marked for an over today. Think a push is the worst case scenario at 2. Think this match is going to get some heavier than usual action. Price on the over has already jumped from -109 to -115 at BetPhoenix since last night.
    Comment
    • Ruifgalmeida
      SBR MVP
      • 04-23-08
      • 2024

      #3
      i will take the under in french league at any day, I thinking of laying caen in betfair also
      Comment
      • SRBI
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-20-09
        • 8393

        #4
        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
        Had this one marked for an over today. Think a push is the worst case scenario at 2. Think this match is going to get some heavier than usual action. Price on the over has already jumped from -109 to -115 at BetPhoenix since last night.
        Nice to hear. I'm gonna go check some more chit on the web to find out line-ups and whatnot. Thanks EP!
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Metz has scored multiple goals at home in 4 of their last 5 & Caen road matches have hit 2 or better in 7 of 8. That is enough to think this gets to at least 2 for me.
          Comment
          • SRBI
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-20-09
            • 8393

            #6
            After reading up on some more info, I'm going with FC Metz HW @ 2.0.

            The over/under is truly a coin flip in this case, weather conditions are bad, and Caen miss two offensive midfielders.

            I give a rested Metz more chance to win this game vs. unrested Caen who played last friday to a 1-1 draw.

            Caen:
            Hilario, Perquis, Leca, Heurtaux, Sorbonne, Inez, Seube, Proment I.N 'Diaye, Eluchans, Langil, Nivet, Van La Parra, Deroin, Yatabaré, El Arabi.

            Metz:
            Keepers: Marichez, Sissoko
            Defenders: C. Gueye Mutsch Biancalani, Borbiconi, Vivian, Brégerie
            Midfielders: Bessat, Cardy, Rocchi, Frechaut
            Attackers: Mendy, Cisse, N'Diaye, Omotoyossi, Bourgeois
            Suspended: Pied
            Injured: Johansen (thigh)

            Watch out for Omotoyossi, he has not played much due to injuries, but might start today!
            Comment
            • SRBI
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-20-09
              • 8393

              #7
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
              Metz has scored multiple goals at home in 4 of their last 5 & Caen road matches have hit 2 or better in 7 of 8. That is enough to think this gets to at least 2 for me.
              Those are some very good stats for the over my friend, I think it hits and like you said, at worst a push!

              Though I am predicting and believe the final score will be FC Metz 2-0. Gonna need help from Caen.
              Comment
              • SRBI
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-20-09
                • 8393

                #8
                Originally posted by Ruifgalmeida
                i will take the under in french league at any day, I thinking of laying caen in betfair also
                When you "lay" Caen, that means you are playing on them to NOT win, correct?

                Therefore, if the game ends in a tie, or Metz win, you win your bet?
                Comment
                • BrianLaverty
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-02-07
                  • 2183

                  #9
                  im all over the draw... think its gonna be a 1-1 final
                  Comment
                  • Karayilan9
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-10-09
                    • 3742

                    #10
                    Forwards Traore, Livio ve Toudic and defenders Tafforeau and Barzola are out for Caen in this game, Metz has owned Caen at home over the years, Metz have value considering the situation but the game may not even get played, the snow may fall and its something like -10 out there.
                    Comment
                    • mats9863
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-22-09
                      • 263

                      #11
                      Let me just say one thing first, this match reeks of a draw, especially seeing the lowered draw odds of +195.

                      If so, play Under and Home Win. If the draw line raises to 215-230 , then draw.
                      If lower than +195 Away Win.
                      Comment
                      • Ruifgalmeida
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-23-08
                        • 2024

                        #12
                        yes if metz or draw i win, i still considered the under it is going to be a freezing game, metz have score a lot of goals at home but caen cant score so it is a plus for the under
                        Comment
                        • SRBI
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-20-09
                          • 8393

                          #13
                          Metz HW @ 2.0 for me. If they draw, oh well, but I doubt that will happen today.

                          Looks like EP was right on the o/u, over 2 has jumped to -130 from -120 at my book.
                          Comment
                          • SRBI
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-20-09
                            • 8393

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Karayilan9
                            Forwards Traore, Livio ve Toudic and defenders Tafforeau and Barzola are out for Caen in this game, Metz has owned Caen at home over the years, Metz have value considering the situation but the game may not even get played, the snow may fall and its something like -10 out there.
                            Comment
                            • mats9863
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-22-09
                              • 263

                              #15
                              The Goal/No Goal line is the same ...so the books really don't see a bunch of goals imho.
                              Under all life long
                              Comment
                              • bluntsallday
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 11-19-09
                                • 444

                                #16
                                soccer betting is ****ing confusing.... and for such a boring uneventful sport i guess it has to be =X

                                but i will be betting anyway... because its an addiction. good day!
                                Comment
                                • SRBI
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-20-09
                                  • 8393

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by bluntsallday
                                  soccer betting is ****ing confusing.... and for such a boring uneventful sport i guess it has to be =X

                                  but i will be betting anyway... because its an addiction. good day!
                                  Yeah, blunts, we were all just waiting for what you had to say. Thanks...

                                  Never seen someone be that proud of being ignorant and having an "addiction"

                                  You fail hard, my friend. Congratulations!

                                  EDIT: You get 1 point for being a dumbass. Enjoy.

                                  Comment
                                  • gafl
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 08-07-06
                                    • 656

                                    #18
                                    Going with Metz -1/2. Have played well at home against Caen. Extra rest helps on a cold day and possibly wet field.
                                    Comment
                                    • SRBI
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-20-09
                                      • 8393

                                      #19
                                      Yeah, looks like lines is favoring the under now as well. Metz and under it is!
                                      Comment
                                      • SRBI
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-20-09
                                        • 8393

                                        #20
                                        The over/under line has dropped to 1.5/2 at certain Asian books...just FYI. Again, under is getting hammered...
                                        Comment
                                        • bluntsallday
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-19-09
                                          • 444

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by SRBI
                                          Yeah, blunts, we were all just waiting for what you had to say. Thanks...

                                          Never seen someone be that proud of being ignorant and having an "addiction"

                                          You fail hard, my friend. Congratulations!

                                          EDIT: You get 1 point for being a dumbass. Enjoy.

                                          1 point closer to my beer mugs! thanks!!
                                          Comment
                                          • beefcake
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 14029

                                            #22
                                            Good luck today SRBI..Laying off myself..
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #23
                                              I'll be on Fantasy Island by myself on the Over at -102. At least when the ship sinks, the price is niceR.
                                              Comment
                                              • bluntsallday
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-19-09
                                                • 444

                                                #24
                                                and u cant admit that soccer isnt boring to watch. get rid of offsides, and make the goals twice as big, and then maybe it'd be a solid sport to watch. but at this point i'd take watching golf over soccer any day.

                                                soccer is the only sport in the world where games with ABSOLUTELY NO SCORING happen on a daily basis. nil-nil draw? fukin kill me please and give me my 90 minutes back.

                                                that being said i am still betting it. because i love action.

                                                took fc metz
                                                Comment
                                                • SRBI
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-20-09
                                                  • 8393

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by bluntsallday
                                                  1 point closer to my beer mugs! thanks!!


                                                  Originally posted by beefcake
                                                  Good luck today SRBI..Laying off myself..
                                                  Thanks bro, you are probably doing a smart thing.

                                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                  I'll be on Fantasy Island by myself on the Over at -102. At least when the ship sinks, the price is niceR.
                                                  BOL EP, I'll take a FC Metz 2-1 win
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gafl
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-07-06
                                                    • 656

                                                    #26
                                                    Just means the public is going under. Doesn't always mean they are right.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SRBI
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-20-09
                                                      • 8393

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by bluntsallday
                                                      and u cant admit that soccer isnt boring to watch. get rid of offsides, and make the goals twice as big, and then maybe it'd be a solid sport to watch. but at this point i'd take watching golf over soccer any day.

                                                      soccer is the only sport in the world where games with ABSOLUTELY NO SCORING happen on a daily basis. nil-nil draw? fukin kill me please and give me my 90 minutes back.

                                                      that being said i am still betting it. because i love action.

                                                      took fc metz
                                                      I see your point.

                                                      Though you really have to know and love the game to be able to watch those 90 mins of nothing, there is still something beautiful about it.

                                                      But thats probably just my heart talkin...been playing soccer since I began to walk.

                                                      If it wasn't for some of the negative things that have happend in my lifetime, I would be playing for the MLS right now.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • SRBI
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-20-09
                                                        • 8393

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by gafl
                                                        Just means the public is going under. Doesn't always mean they are right.
                                                        I didn't say they were right, I was just stating a fact.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bluntsallday
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-19-09
                                                          • 444

                                                          #29
                                                          thank you for at least seein my point. i used to play soccer too ****ed up my knees, couple mcl tears and a meniscus tear.... its like a knee injury waiting to happen LOL

                                                          go FC metz!! lol

                                                          i'll watch the world cup and the euro all day... but those guys are just straight up sick at soccer. even if no one scores its ballin out of control... i'd say once every 2 years is plenty of soccer for me =]

                                                          and u can have ur point back ive never seen a soccer fan concede to me. u are a swell guy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gafl
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 08-07-06
                                                            • 656

                                                            #30
                                                            looks like it's postponed. SRBI wasn't replying to you but Eaglephan
                                                            Comment
                                                            • andrewaxia
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 02-11-08
                                                              • 1419

                                                              #31
                                                              postponed
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Club
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-18-09
                                                                • 703

                                                                #32
                                                                I'm showing this match postponed on Futbol24.com
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SRBI
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 10-20-09
                                                                  • 8393

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Faak me too! Damnit!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Yep. Lots of build-up and nothing to track. Cold weather kills it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SRBI
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-20-09
                                                                      • 8393

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by bluntsallday
                                                                      thank you for at least seein my point. i used to play soccer too ****ed up my knees, couple mcl tears and a meniscus tear.... its like a knee injury waiting to happen LOL

                                                                      go FC metz!! lol

                                                                      i'll watch the world cup and the euro all day... but those guys are just straight up sick at soccer. even if no one scores its ballin out of control... i'd say once every 2 years is plenty of soccer for me =]

                                                                      and u can have ur point back ive never seen a soccer fan concede to me. u are a swell guy.
                                                                      I think the World Cup is once every 4 years, no? Hehe. Thanks btw.

                                                                      Originally posted by gafl
                                                                      looks like it's postponed. SRBI wasn't replying to you but Eaglephan
                                                                      Ahh my bad!
                                                                      Comment
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