Jw's .. Soccer thread.

[jw]

Figured I should probably keep my picks all in one place ... my book-keeping is usually not good, so this will probably persuade me not to play that "gut" feeling I sometimes get on games I know nothing about and have not even looked at closely.

I'm probably a couple of points up from my picks so far according to my spreadsheet ... but i'll start here from zero.

(Note I'm no expert .. follow me at your own risk)

First plays :

Venezuela - Primera.
Caracas FC ( 2.050) 1 pt Win
Zamora FC ( 1.426) 2 pts Win
Estudiantes de Merida ( 1.909) 1Pt Win

Italy - Serie B
Lecce (2.04) 1Pt Win

To make it easier to keep track i'll use 1pt = $100

[jw]

Results.

Venezuela - Primera.
WON - Caracas FC ( 2.050) 1 pt Win
LOST - Zamora FC ( 1.426) 2 pts Win
WON - Estudiantes de Merida ( 1.909) 1Pt Win

Italy - Serie B
WON - Lecce (2.04) 1Pt Win

$500 on - $600 off
+$100 for the day.

Plays 4 - Won 3 - Lost 1

[SRBI]

Nice work JW glad to have you join us here, BOL in the future!

[jw]

Thanks SRBI - I just had an urge to go Under 2.5 on Arsenal Vs Boca Juniors .. but think i'll hold off now until tomorrow and see if anything jumps out at me then.

[jw]

Wow - just checked my account and Zamora actually won 4-3 ... the "live score" sites all reported a 3-2 loss until a short while after the game ....

Amended Results.

Venezuela - Primera.
WON - Caracas FC ( 2.050) 1 pt Win
WON - Zamora FC ( 1.426) 2 pts Win
WON - Estudiantes de Merida ( 1.909) 1Pt Win

Italy - Serie B
WON - Lecce (2.04) 1Pt Win

$500 on - $885 off
+$385 for the day.

Plays 4 - Won 4 - Lost 0


Can't do much more than that can you ?

[mew6789]

Lol, pleasant surprise huh. I played the under for the Arsenal game, both teams aren't exactly high scoring.

[jw]

Lol, pleasant surprise huh. I played the under for the Arsenal game, both teams aren't exactly high scoring.

Ha - now you got me really thinking .... I might just re-invest my winnings on the play that I had marked down as a loss ... in fact - I think I will make it an official play.

Play :
Arsenal Vs Boca Juniors - Under 2.5 (1.84) 1pt

[jw]

Play :
Arsenal Vs Boca Juniors - Under 2.5 (1.84) 1pt

Winner !!!

Another $84 profit.

Plays 5
Wins 5
Loss 0
+/- $469

Seems like I couldn't lose today... I should have got out of bed earlier

[mew6789]

[jw]

Not seeing much that makes me want to part with yesterdays winnings ,,, was leaning to the under 2.5 on both the Gimnasia La Plata V's Huracán (Argentina) game .. and also the AB V's Fredericia (Denmark) game .. but don't think i'm confident enough on either to part with my cash.

[Wilforth]

Not seeing much that makes me want to part with yesterdays winnings ,,,

Save your money until you see something worth wagering on. There's simply nothing on the board today worth a bet.

[jw]

Save your money until you see something worth wagering on. There's simply nothing on the board today worth a bet.

Maybe a good day to spend with the wife .. order pizza and watch some movies . earn some brownie points for later in the week when I once again abandon her and sit at my computer all day trying to pick a winner ... never hurts to have a few brownie points in the bag ... you never know when you might need to use them

[jw]

A few Plays for today.

Morecambe FC V's Carlisle United - Over 2.5 @ 1.794
Weymouth V's Woking FC - Back Woking -½,-1 @ 1.775
Albania U21 V's Belarus U21 O 2½ @ 1.820 (Tailing EP)
France U21 V's Slovenia U21 - Back France -1½ @ 1.719

Normally I won't bet below odds of 1.8 .. but after not placing a bet at all yesterday ... i'm itching for something to follow today.

[Stringer Bell]

rough day for me to follow, worst part was I didn't wake up in time for albania pick

[jw]

Yup rough day today .... I've got faith that we can turn things around and pick some winners over the next few days

LOST - Morecambe FC V's Carlisle United - Over 2.5 @ 1.794
LOST - Weymouth V's Woking FC - Back Woking -½,-1 @ 1.775
WON - Albania U21 V's Belarus U21 O 2½ @ 1.820 (Tailing EP)
LOST - France U21 V's Slovenia U21 - Back France -1½ @ 1.719

Plays 9
Wins 6
Loss 3
Today - $218
Overall - $251

[jw]

Like this one lots ..

Play : Back Paderborn.

Germany Bundesliga 2 - Ahlen vs Paderborn

Home team have lost the last 5 home games they have played. They sit at the bottom of the table with just 3 points from 12 games.

Away team seem to be able to score (8 goals from last 4 away games) .. so hopefully they can take this one at what seems like a reasonable price ... (currently 2.36 on 5 Dimes.)

[jw]

Plays for Monday.

Denmark : AaB Aalborg vs AGF Aarhus. Under 2.5 with Pinnacle @ 1.93
Turkey : KDC Karabukspor vs Rizespor. Back Karabukspor @ 2.04 with 5 Dimes.

[jw]

Two out of Two for me today :

- Won - Denmark : AaB Aalborg vs AGF Aarhus. Under 2.5 with Pinnacle @ 1.93
- Won - Turkey : KDC Karabukspor vs Rizespor. Back Karabukspor @ 2.04 with 5 Dimes.

The Paderborn game from Friday was a loser though ... so that takes my running totals to :

Plays 12 : Wins 8 : Loss 4 : 67% Strike rate.
Today (Incl Friday) : +$97
Overall : +$348

[jw]

Plays for Tuesday 24th.

Euro
Unirea vs Sevilla - Back Sevilla [5 Dimes @ 2.32]

England League One
Charlton vs Bristol Rovers - Back Charlton [5 Dimes @ 1.77]
Leeds -1.5 [5 Dimes @ 1.95]

England League Two
Accrington Stanley [5 Dimes @ 2.01]

[jw]

One more official play.

England Conference
Luton Town to beat Mansfield [5 Dimes @ 2.80]

[jw]

Results for 24th November.

- Lost - Unirea vs Sevilla - Back Sevilla [5 Dimes @ 2.32]
- Won - Charlton vs Bristol Rovers - Back Charlton [5 Dimes @ 1.77]
- Lost - Leeds -1.5 [5 Dimes @ 1.95]

Other two games were cancelled.

Plays 15 : Wins 9 : Loss 6 : 60% Strike rate.
Today : -$123
Overall : +$225

[jw]

Lots to play today - so far I have :

FC Tokyo -½ [2.06]
FC Lorient -1 [1.833]
FC Nurnberg [2.08]
Fulham FC [1.9009]
Aston Villa [2.5]
FK Austria Wien -2 [2.23]

[jw]

- Won - FC Tokyo -½ [2.06]
- Lost - FC Lorient -1 [1.833]
- Lost - FC Nurnberg [2.08]
- Lost - Fulham FC [1.9009]
- Lost - Aston Villa [2.5]
- Lost - FK Austria Wien -2 [2.23]

Can't pick my own nose this past few days .... it'll turn around .. always does

[jw]

Not posted here in a while because of the tourney - I do have a few plays so far - maybe more to follow ...

Belgium: De Liege vs Turnhout - away win PK @ 2.04 (Bet Phoenix)
Brazil : Coritiba vs Fluminense - Home Win @ 2.35 (5Dimes)
France: Auxerre vs Nancy - Home Win @ 1.917 (5Dimes)
Peru: Inti Gas Deportes vs Jose Galvez - Home Win @ 1.725 (5Dimes)
Scotland: East Stirlingshire vs Montrose - Home win -1 @1.9710 (Bet Phoenix)
Spain: Mallorca vs Real Zaragoza - Home Win @ 1.909 (5Dimes)

[jw]

#1: Holland Soccer (Holland Eredivisie)
PSV Eindhoven (HOL-E) 12/6/2009 8:30 AM
Money Line -348 1.287 for Game

#2: Serbia Soccer (Serbia Division 1)
Partizan Belgrade (SRB) 12/6/2009 7:00 AM
Money Line -377 1.265 for Game

#3: Switzerland Soccer (Switzerland Super League)
Luzern (SWI-S) 12/6/2009 10:00 AM
Money Line -222 1.450 for Game

@ 2.326 if all win.

[jw]

Before today :

Plays 21 : Wins 10 : Loss 11
Overall : -169 to $100 level stakes


Today's results.

= Push - Belgium: De Liege vs Turnhout - away win PK @ 2.04 (Bet Phoenix)
Lost - Brazil : Coritiba vs Fluminense - Home Win @ 2.35 (5Dimes)
Lost - France: Auxerre vs Nancy - Home Win @ 1.917 (5Dimes)
Won - Peru: Inti Gas Deportes vs Jose Galvez - Home Win @ 1.725 (5Dimes)
= Push - Scotland: East Stirlingshire vs Montrose - Home win -1 @1.9710 (Bet Phoenix)
Won - Spain: Mallorca vs Real Zaragoza - Home Win @ 1.909 (5Dimes)
Won - Parlay:PSV Eindhoven, Partizan Belgrade, Luzern @ 2.326

Today: 3 won - 2 Lost - 2 Push +$96

Running Total

Plays 28 : Wins 13 : Loss 13 : 2 Push
Overall : -73 to $100 level stakes

[jw]

Tuesday 8th.

England: Barnsley vs Scunthorpe - Home Win. @ 1.83
England: Coventry vs Newcastle - Away win @ 1.88
Argentina: Gimnasia LP - Newells Old Boys - Away Win @ 2.10
Scotland : Clyde v Livingstone - Away Win @ 1.877



4 Team Parlay
Croatia: Dynamo Zagreb
Croatia: Hajduk Split
Cyprus : Anorthosis
Ukraine: Shakhtar Donetsk @ 2.40

[diecast]

hey jw, any thoughts on today's FA Cup/Championship matches?

[jw]

hey jw, any thoughts on today's FA Cup/Championship matches?

Yup - I like Barnsley and Newcastle as I posted above ... and also Millwall - but they are no value ... I was trying to get Millwall -1 but my book only offers -1.5 and did not want to risk it ... though they should win by 2 goals here ....

[diecast]

Yup - I like Barnsley and Newcastle as I posted above ... and also Millwall - but they are no value ... I was trying to get Millwall -1 but my book only offers -1.5 and did not want to risk it ... though they should win by 2 goals here ....

oh, i skipped that post because it said the 8th

ya i can't get decent enough value on millwall to bet. thanks for the tips.

[jw]

I don't see any major shocks today to be honest - having had another look at the Millwall game - i might go for the Millwall -1.5 @ 1.781 .. I think they do take this by at least 2 goals today - they have been scoring at home and they will probably want to get this wrapped up and in the bag against a much weaker opponent.



Edit - well spotted on the date - that'll teach me to post my plays the day before .... haha.

[jw]

Cerro (URU-A) pk,-½ [-103]