Lots of matches for this tournament on Friday. Seeing if anyone else has ideas. These are just leans based on research. Would suggest that anyone thinking of playing these matches keep their unit size small.
Slovenia/Malta UNDER 2.5 (+112)
Odds favor the OVER heavily which seems odd in that Malta has not scored in four qualifiers nor have they given up more than 2 goals. Slovenia has 3 goals in 4 matches, 2 coming in the 1st match between these two in march, a 2-0 Slovenia AWAY win. Slovenia's only three points were because of their win over Malta. They'll be thinking they can get another three here and keep some slim hopes alive of keeping up with the top of the group.
Austria/Albania OVER 2.5 (-123)
This would be the one that I would think has the best chance. Austria beat Albania 3-1 when they met in Austria in September. Austria needs to think win here to keep pace with Belarus & Scotland, all of whom have 9 points. 3 of the 4 Austria matches have hit for 3 goals or better. Albania has allowed the most goals in the group, 13 in 5 matches. They've only been shut out once, by the Scots. The only draw back here is their form has been drastically different at home with just two goals scored in two matches on home turf vs. 17 in the others. Still, Albania is hopelessly near the bottom of their group so playing for a draw wouldn't do anything for them. Austria conceded a goal in both away tilts even to Azerbaijan which has just three goals.
Slovenia/Malta UNDER 2.5 (+112)
Odds favor the OVER heavily which seems odd in that Malta has not scored in four qualifiers nor have they given up more than 2 goals. Slovenia has 3 goals in 4 matches, 2 coming in the 1st match between these two in march, a 2-0 Slovenia AWAY win. Slovenia's only three points were because of their win over Malta. They'll be thinking they can get another three here and keep some slim hopes alive of keeping up with the top of the group.
Austria/Albania OVER 2.5 (-123)
This would be the one that I would think has the best chance. Austria beat Albania 3-1 when they met in Austria in September. Austria needs to think win here to keep pace with Belarus & Scotland, all of whom have 9 points. 3 of the 4 Austria matches have hit for 3 goals or better. Albania has allowed the most goals in the group, 13 in 5 matches. They've only been shut out once, by the Scots. The only draw back here is their form has been drastically different at home with just two goals scored in two matches on home turf vs. 17 in the others. Still, Albania is hopelessly near the bottom of their group so playing for a draw wouldn't do anything for them. Austria conceded a goal in both away tilts even to Azerbaijan which has just three goals.
