2024 Copa America Preview & Picks

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • SomeDayinBuffalo
    SBR MVP
    • 08-12-11
    • 1450

    #36
    Colombia win and o1.5 goals +115
    Comment
    • Headsterx
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-03-16
      • 22606

      #37
      One more goal Colombia!

      2-0 Colombia @ Half!
      Comment
      • DiamondJack
        SBR MVP
        • 11-13-14
        • 3943

        #38
        BRAZIL V COSTA RICA

        Brazil are the rightful favourites and should easily come away with the 3 points. There is no value anywhere to be found backing them so I'm going to sprinkle a little on the correct score market. Here's hoping the Copa chalk fest continues.

        8. Correct score 3-0 Brazil @ 5.50/+450 (1/2 unit) Bet365
        9. Correct score 4-0 Brazil @ 7.00/+600 (1/2 unit) Bet365
        Comment
        • Conqueror
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-08-13
          • 16778

          #39
          Brazil is looking for a way to win the match a score of 1-0.
          Comment
          • k13
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-16-10
            • 18082

            #40
            Wow, Brazil sucks.
            Comment
            • Conqueror
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-08-13
              • 16778

              #41
              Originally posted by k13
              Wow, Brazil sucks.

              Not as surprising as it might appear. Park-the-bus approach of Costa Rica partially explains the result.
              Comment
              • DiamondJack
                SBR MVP
                • 11-13-14
                • 3943

                #42
                CANADA V PERU

                The time to back Canada was a month ago when the odds were flipped and Peru were the favourites. I think Canada at evens is pretty much fair so I will look for in game opportunities to back Canada. I do like a card prop here. The referee for this game is Mario Escobar of Guatemala who averages 4.59 cards per match. I think Peru will find it tough to keep up with a faster Canadian team and picks up some cards.

                10. Total Cards OVER 4 @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365
                Comment
                • DiamondJack
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-14
                  • 3943

                  #43
                  ARGENTINA V CHILE

                  Since 2021 these sides met on 3 occasions with Argentina winning 1 and the other 2 matches ending level. I think Argentina with 3 points in the pocket and Peru on tap in their last game will not see a draw as a horrible result. Chile are old and on a shorter rest period here so they might eventually break down. I still like them to keep it a close game.

                  11. Chile +1.25 @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Pinnacle
                  Comment
                  • DwightShrute
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-17-09
                    • 102590

                    #44
                    Canada GOAL!!!!
                    Comment
                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 3943

                      #45
                      ECUADOR V JAMAICA

                      Ecuador was unlucky in having Valencia sent off with a red card early in the Venezuela match. Even then they still went a goal ahead before running out of gas and losing the match/ They need the full 3 points here and I think they get it versus a Jamaica side thats missing their best player

                      12. Ecuador -1 @ 1.92/-108 (1u ) Bet365
                      Comment
                      • DiamondJack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-13-14
                        • 3943

                        #46
                        VENEZUELA V MEXICO

                        Venezuela are a very much "park the bus" team. Now with 3 points in pocket they will gladly take the draw and a point .Mexico also with 3 points in the bag would be ok with a draw having Jamaica on tap in the last group stage game. Both sides have has 3 of their past 5 games go under 2.5 This stinks of a 0-0 or 1-1 result.

                        13. FT Result DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (1u) Bet365
                        14. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 2.21/+121 (1u) Pinnacle
                        Last edited by DiamondJack; 06-26-24, 07:17 PM.
                        Comment
                        • DiamondJack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-14
                          • 3943

                          #47
                          USA V PANAMA

                          The last time Panama played a full US side they lost 5-1 and Pulisic had a hat trick. Panama is a weak side they lost to Jamaica and Mexico recently without scoring a goal. The Americans will want to take care of business before facing Uruguay in the final game and I think they will do just that.

                          15. USA win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

                          Lean
                          Pulisic Anytime Goal scorer 2.62/+162
                          Comment
                          • DiamondJack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 3943

                            #48
                            URUGUAY V BOLIVIA

                            The last meeting during the world cup qualifiers Uruguay came out on top 3-0. There is no value in the win to nil market or the Asian handicapp or even a goal scorer prop. There is little chance that Bolivia can get anything out of this game. They will park the bus and try to scrape out un unlikely draw.

                            16. Correct Score 2-0 @ 5.00/+400 (1/2 unit)
                            17. Correct Score 3-0 @ 6.00/+500 (1/2 unit)
                            Comment
                            • k13
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-16-10
                              • 18082

                              #49
                              What was Panama live down a goal?
                              Comment
                              • DiamondJack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-13-14
                                • 3943

                                #50
                                COLOMBIA V COSTA RICA

                                Nobody parks the bus better then the Ticos. They frustrated Brazil and held them to a 0-0 result. The strategy will be to get a point here as well and try for the full 3 points versus Paraguay. I fancy Colombia to eventually break them down and win 1-0 or 2-0.

                                18. Colombia/Costa Rica UNDER 2.5 goals @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Bet365
                                19. Colombia Win to Nil @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
                                Comment
                                • DiamondJack
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-14
                                  • 3943

                                  #51
                                  BRAZIL V PARAGUAY

                                  Brazil were held by Costa Rica 0-0 in what should have served as a wake up call for the favourites. Paraguay lost to Colombia and know they need some sort of a result here if they have any hope on advancing. The last 2 head to head encounters both resulted in Brazil wins 2-0 & 4-0. I expect a bounce back by Brazil.

                                  20. Brazil win to Nil @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
                                  Comment
                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 3943

                                    #52
                                    CANADA V CHILE

                                    I see a very tight game that might open up once a goal is scored. Canada just needs a draw to advance so they will play a counter attacking style so start. The last 3 games for Canada went Under 2.5 goals, the last 2 games for Chile have also gone under. I see a 1-1 or 0-0 type of game.

                                    21. FT DRAW @ 3.34/+234 (1u) Bet365
                                    22. Total Goals UNDER 2.5 @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Bet365
                                    Comment
                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 3943

                                      #53
                                      PERU V ARGENTINA

                                      Argentina will be without Messi and they may rest a player or two as their qualification is assured. Peru are yet to score at the Copa & Argentina are yet to concede. The last 3 head to head games all Argentina wins 2-0, 1-0 & 2-0. No value on the Under, but there on the win to nil market which I would have at 1.91/-110.

                                      23. Argentina Win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365
                                      Comment
                                      • Conqueror
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-08-13
                                        • 16778

                                        #54
                                        Canada ML (+189)
                                        Halftime/Fulltime prop: draw/Canada +700
                                        Comment
                                        • DiamondJack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-14
                                          • 3943

                                          #55
                                          MEXICO V ECUADOR

                                          All Ecuador need is a draw to advance to the next round. The last 2 head to head games in the USA between these 2 ended in a draw and a victory for Ecuador. I rate Ecuador higher then Mexico but the crown in Arizona will be 90% pro Mexico. I see plenty of cards as our friend Mario Escobar is the referee. However that has been priced into the market so I will be looking to play cards over in the second half

                                          24. Full time DRAW @ 3.20/+220 (1u) Bet365
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 3943

                                            #56
                                            JAMAICA V VENEZUELA

                                            Already qualified Venezuela plays already eliminated Jamaica. Venezuela just need a point to guarantee 1st place, Jamaica will be loose playing for pride. This reminds me of a France v Poland final game at the Euros. The total here is underpriced as there is nothing cagy about this match up.

                                            25. Total Goals OVER 2 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Bet365

                                            Lean
                                            Correct Score 1-1 @ 7.00/+600
                                            Comment
                                            • k13
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-16-10
                                              • 18082

                                              #57
                                              How is US favorite over Uruguay besides homefield?
                                              Comment
                                              • SomeDayinBuffalo
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-12-11
                                                • 1450

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by k13
                                                How is US favorite over Uruguay besides homefield?
                                                Because Uruguay will prob sit players. Also the books know they will take a lot of US money. All of this team USA will not make it though.
                                                Comment
                                                • pabonaparte
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-21-16
                                                  • 3566

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by SomeDayinBuffalo
                                                  Because Uruguay will prob sit players. Also the books know they will take a lot of US money. All of this team USA will not make it though.
                                                  0-0 written all over this game
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DwightShrute
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-17-09
                                                    • 102590

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by SomeDayinBuffalo
                                                    Because Uruguay will prob sit players. Also the books know they will take a lot of US money. All of this team USA will not make it though.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 36970

                                                      #61
                                                      I've soured on Pulisic. Fair to say this guy couldn't handle the physicality of England? Good player, but he strikes me as being a Light-weight.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • asiagambler
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-23-17
                                                        • 6831

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                        Seems like it could be rigged to help US advance
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiamondJack
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-13-14
                                                          • 3943

                                                          #63
                                                          USA V URUGUAY

                                                          Where in what world are the books making the USA a favourite here?. Unless there is some behind the scenes "agreements" there is zero chance the USA should be priced at these odds. My numbers suggest Uruguay at 1.91/-110, yes even with players resting. Unless Uruguay fields a team filled with WAGS this is just not right. Now I usually use a 1-2-3-5 unit money management system and these odds have come closer to 5 units then any international game I can remember.

                                                          26. Uruguay PK @ 2.18/+118 (3u) Pinnacle
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DiamondJack
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-14
                                                            • 3943

                                                            #64
                                                            PANAMA V BOLIVIA

                                                            No value on Panama to take out the already eliminated Bolivia. I think there will be plenty of scoreboard watching to see how the USA game is going. I do like the total Under here at plus money as I had it pegged at 1.80/-125.

                                                            27. Total Goals UNDER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Bet365
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pabonaparte
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-21-16
                                                              • 3566

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                                              USA V URUGUAY

                                                              Where in what world are the books making the USA a favourite here?. Unless there is some behind the scenes "agreements" there is zero chance the USA should be priced at these odds. My numbers suggest Uruguay at 1.91/-110, yes even with players resting. Unless Uruguay fields a team filled with WAGS this is just not right. Now I usually use a 1-2-3-5 unit money management system and these odds have come closer to 5 units then any international game I can remember.

                                                              26. Uruguay PK @ 2.18/+118 (3u) Pinnacle
                                                              Solid move. Out with USNMT
                                                              Comment
                                                              • k13
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-16-10
                                                                • 18082

                                                                #66
                                                                Uruguay were favourites by gametime.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiamondJack
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                                  • 3943

                                                                  #67
                                                                  COSTA RICA V PARAGUAY

                                                                  Paraguay has already been eliminated where as Costa Rica need tons of goals and Brazil to lose to have a chance of advancing. Three of the past four games for both sides have gone over 2.5. I see a loose open game so getting really good plus money here is value.

                                                                  28. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.26/+126 (1u) Pinnacle
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 3943

                                                                    #68
                                                                    BRAZIL V COLOMBIA

                                                                    The battle for top spot in the group and a date with Panama. Second in the group gets Uruguay. Colombia just need a point to top the group. Coming into this match Colombia are now unbeaten in 25 games including winning their last 10 straight games. Brazil are unbeaten in their past six but they did lose to Colombia in Colombia back in the fall. I think this might end level but I do like the value on Colombia

                                                                    29. Colombia +0.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 3943

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Updated Copa Record

                                                                      17-12 +1637 units on match picks through group stage
                                                                      3-1 +525 units on 4/8 settled futures
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • k13
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 07-16-10
                                                                        • 18082

                                                                        #70
                                                                        B365 really wants some Messi money today.
                                                                        +200 to score vs Ecuador.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...