2023 African Cup of Nations Picks

[DiamondJack]

We are a few weeks away from one of my favourite continental championships, the 2023 African cup of nations taking place in 2024. Makes as much sense as Octoberfest in September, and the Asian 2023 cup also kicking of in January 2024.
The last tournament in 2021 we went 29-33-3 for a profit of +1696 units, hoping for similar results this time around.
I'm going to be hunting around for value on futures as more books post prices. I will also post some of my trends/numbers/analytics that I hope can be of value for those of you who plan to seriously wager this competition. I won't bet on individual games until squads are finalized on January the 3rd deadline.
I welcome everyone to post in this thread who can share an angle and their thoughts. Lets have a great tournament

[DiamondJack]

1. African Cup of Nations winner --- Morocco @ 8.00/+700 (2u) Bet365

I was really surprised to find the first African semifinalist ever in the world cup just last year to be the fourth odds on fav to win this tournament. +700 is big value on a team that is head and shoulders the best side in Africa. Morocco have a cake walk of a group and this side is thirsty for a championship they have not won since 1976. I also picked this side last time around and lost perhaps I was a tad early as they really showed their quality in Qatar. Anything at 4-1 or better is a play.

[DiamondJack]

2. African Cup of Nations winner --- Ghana @ 15.00/+1400 (1u) Bet365

This is my dark horse pick to win the tournament. Once again really good value on Ghana who in the past 8 African Cup of nations tournaments made the top 4 on 6 occasions. Now time for a geography lesson kids. Ghana is only just over 500 km from Abidjan. Group opponents Egypt, Mozambique & Cape Verde will hardly have any supporters in the stands making all group stage games de facto home games for Ghana.

[DiamondJack]

Jan 13

3. Ivory Coast UNDER 2.5 @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Bet365
4. 1st Half Result DRAW @ 2.56/+156 (1u) Pinnacle

LEAN
1st half Correct score 0-0 @ 3.10/+210 Unibet

The opening game of the tournament has gone under 5 out of the past six times with the exception of the last tournament when The home side were awarded 2 penalty kicks. I expect an Ivory Coast victory here but I'm hoping we see a slow feeling out each other first half that ends in a draw. Three of the past 6 games went into half time level so getting plus money here is also value.

[-FlawlessKid]

We are a few weeks away from one of my favourite continental championships, the 2023 African cup of nations taking place in 2024. Makes as much sense as Octoberfest in September, and the Asian 2023 cup also kicking of in January 2024.
The last tournament in 2021 we went 29-33-3 for a profit of +1696 units, hoping for similar results this time around.
I'm going to be hunting around for value on futures as more books post prices. I will also post some of my trends/numbers/analytics that I hope can be of value for those of you who plan to seriously wager this competition. I won't bet on individual games until squads are finalized on January the 3rd deadline.
I welcome everyone to post in this thread who can share an angle and their thoughts. Lets have a great tournament

GL DJ! Always appreciated.

[DiamondJack]

GL DJ! Always appreciated.

[Optional]

1. African Cup of Nations winner --- Morocco @ 8.00/+700 (2u) Bet365

I was really surprised to find the first African semifinalist ever in the world cup just last year to be the fourth odds on fav to win this tournament. +700 is big value on a team that is head and shoulders the best side in Africa. Morocco have a cake walk of a group and this side is thirsty for a championship they have not won since 1976. I also picked this side last time around and lost perhaps I was a tad early as they really showed their quality in Qatar. Anything at 4-1 or better is a play.

Still liking this DJ?

+500 now at Bet365 but can still see +700 other books

[DiamondJack]

Still liking this DJ?

+500 now at Bet365 but can still see +700 other books

Yes they are the best team in Africa so as I said anything better then 4-1 would be a play. You can also do the game over game rollover that usually has better odds if they do win the whole tournament.

[DiamondJack]

Jan 14


5. Nigeria UNDER 2.5 @ 1.70/-143 (2u) Pinnacle
6. 1st Half Result DRAW @ 2.26/+126 (1u) Pinnacle

LEAN
1st half Correct score 0-0 @ 2.75/+175 Bet365

The second game is a mirror image of the opening game so I'm playing the same angles. Nigeria will have the fan support and should win over Equatorial Guinea but it will be tough as EG are unbeaten in their past 9 games and only allowing 5 goals against in that stretch. I'm doubling up on the total here as I had it at 1.50/-200.
Some numbers from this tournaments history
2021--- 1.96 goals per game
2019--- 1.92 goals per game
2017 --- 2.06 goals per game
2015 --- 2.13 goals per game
2013 --- 2.16 goals per game
That is a 200 game sample that averages 2.04 goals per game.

[DiamondJack]

Jan 14

7. Ghana UNDER 2 @ 1.93/-107 (1u) Bet365
8. Ghana ML @ 1.90/-111 (1u) Unibet
LEAN
Correct score 1-0 @ +450

Ghana has never lost to Cape Vere winning all their 4 head to head meetings to nil. The fan support will be there and I expect Ghana to take advantage of the fact that Egypt drew their opening fixture versus Mozambique. Everything points to a narrow 1-0 win for Ghana.

[DiamondJack]

JAN 15

9. Senegal/Gambia UNDER 2.25 @ 1.91/-110 (2u) Bet365

LEAN
Correct score 1-0 @ +400 Unibet

This is a battle between two neighbours that I expect might be tighter then what most people expect. We are yet to see a game with less then 2 goals in the tournament. I think this might be the first. The last time these two played each other Senegal won 1-0.

[DiamondJack]

JAN 15

10. Cameroon to DRAW @ 2.96/+196 (1u) Bet365
11. Cameroon UNDER 2 @ 1.91/-110 (2u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

JAN 15

12. Algeria 1st Half DRAW @ 2.12/+112 (1u) Pinnacle
13. Algeria UNDER 2 @ 1.99/-101 (2u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

JAN 16

14. Burkina Faso ML @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Pinnacle
15. Burkina Faso UNDER 1.5 @ 2.33/+133 (2u) Pinnacle

[pauliegwalnuts]

Lets beat these bookies

Hey guys, uncle Paulie here.

On my thread i will show you how to beat these bookies by betting on live soccer matches.I have been doing it for years. Now i want to share the knowledge so we can all bring the bookies down. I hate those scammers.

Stay tuned for more information! And feel free to post, commentate or ask questions.

[DiamondJack]

JAN 17

16. Morocco win to Nil @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Bet365
17. Morocco -1.5 @ 2.07/+107 (1u) Unibet

One does not have to look far to see how these teams matched up against each other competitively. In late November Morocco went on to win 2-0 on the road in the world cup qualification fixture. I expect the same result or more 2 or 3-0. Tanzania have only scored 6 goals in their past dozen games where as Morocco has only allowed 5 in their last 9.

[DiamondJack]

JAN 17


18. Zambia/Congo UNDER 2 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Pinnacle
19. Zambia/Congo to DRAW @ 2.96/+196 (1u) Bet365

Lean Correct Score 0-0

[DiamondJack]

JAN 18

20. Equatorial Guinea UNDER 1.5 @ 2.38/+138 (2u) Unibet
21. FT Result DRAW @ 3.04/+204 (1u) Bet365
22. Correct Score 0-0 @ 6.00/+500 (1/2 Unit) Bet365

We are yet to see the good old 0-0 score line in this tournament, I think we might be due especially with this match up. 5 of the past combined 10 games have gone under 1.5 goals and this game is a not to lose first situation for both sides who are without a win after the first round. As a measure both teams played Burkina Faso recently and both teams drew that game.

[DiamondJack]

---

Jan 18

23. Ivory Coast/Nigeria to DRAW @ 3.06/+206 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

JAN 18

24. Ghana +0.5 @ 1.79/-127 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

JAN 19

25. Cabo Verde ML @ 2.25/+125 (1u) Unibet

[DiamondJack]

JAN 19

26. Senegal ML @ 1.95/-105 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Jan 19

27. Guinea/Gambia UNDER 2 @ 1.80/-125 (2u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

JAN 20

28. Mauritania UNDER 1.5 @ 2.23/+123 (1u) Unibet
29. FT Result DRAW @ 2.99/+199 (1u) Bet365
30. Correct Score 0-0 @ 5.50/+450 (1/2 Unit) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

JAN 20


31. Tunisia UNDER 1.5 @ 2.40/+140 (1u) Unibet
32. FT Result DRAW @ 2.95/+195 (1u) Bet365
33. Correct Score 0-0 @ 6.25/+525 (1/2 Unit) Unibet

[DiamondJack]

Jan 21

34. Morocco win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Jan 24

35. Tunisia ML @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

K/O ROUNDS Lets GOOOOOOOOOO

SAT JAN 27

36. Nigeria/Cameroon HT result DRAW @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle
37. Nigeria/Cameroon UNDER 2 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SUN JAN 28

38. E Guinea HT result DRAW @ 1.93/-107 (1u) Pinnacle
39. Full time Result DRAW @ 2.90/+190 (1u) Unibet
40. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 1.75/-133 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

SUN JAN 28

41. Egypt/Congo Full time Result DRAW @ 2.95/+195 (1u) Bet365
42. Total Goals UNDER 1.5 @ 2.40/+140 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

MON JAN 29

43. Capo Verde ML @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
44. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 1.81/-123 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

MON JAN 29

45. Senegal to DRAW @ 3.14/+214 (1u) Pinnacle
46. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

TUE JAN 30


47. Mali Total Goals UNDER 1.5 @ 2.23/+123 (1u) Pinnacle

[DiamondJack]

FRI FEB 2

48. Angola +0.5 @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Unibet

[DiamondJack]

SAT FEB 3

49. Mali to DRAW @ 2.88/+188 (1u)
50. Mali UNDER 1.5 @ 2.33/+133 (1u)