2023 African Cup of Nations Picks

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  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 3850

    2023 African Cup of Nations Picks

    We are a few weeks away from one of my favourite continental championships, the 2023 African cup of nations taking place in 2024. Makes as much sense as Octoberfest in September, and the Asian 2023 cup also kicking of in January 2024.
    The last tournament in 2021 we went 29-33-3 for a profit of +1696 units, hoping for similar results this time around.
    I'm going to be hunting around for value on futures as more books post prices. I will also post some of my trends/numbers/analytics that I hope can be of value for those of you who plan to seriously wager this competition. I won't bet on individual games until squads are finalized on January the 3rd deadline.
    I welcome everyone to post in this thread who can share an angle and their thoughts. Lets have a great tournament
  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 3850

    #2
    1. African Cup of Nations winner --- Morocco @ 8.00/+700 (2u) Bet365

    I was really surprised to find the first African semifinalist ever in the world cup just last year to be the fourth odds on fav to win this tournament. +700 is big value on a team that is head and shoulders the best side in Africa. Morocco have a cake walk of a group and this side is thirsty for a championship they have not won since 1976. I also picked this side last time around and lost perhaps I was a tad early as they really showed their quality in Qatar. Anything at 4-1 or better is a play.

    Comment

    • DiamondJack
      SBR MVP
      • 11-13-14
      • 3850

      #3
      2. African Cup of Nations winner --- Ghana @ 15.00/+1400 (1u) Bet365

      This is my dark horse pick to win the tournament. Once again really good value on Ghana who in the past 8 African Cup of nations tournaments made the top 4 on 6 occasions. Now time for a geography lesson kids. Ghana is only just over 500 km from Abidjan. Group opponents Egypt, Mozambique & Cape Verde will hardly have any supporters in the stands making all group stage games de facto home games for Ghana.

      Comment

      • DiamondJack
        SBR MVP
        • 11-13-14
        • 3850

        #4
        Jan 13

        3. Ivory Coast UNDER 2.5 @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Bet365
        4. 1st Half Result DRAW @ 2.56/+156 (1u) Pinnacle

        LEAN
        1st half Correct score 0-0 @ 3.10/+210 Unibet

        The opening game of the tournament has gone under 5 out of the past six times with the exception of the last tournament when The home side were awarded 2 penalty kicks. I expect an Ivory Coast victory here but I'm hoping we see a slow feeling out each other first half that ends in a draw. Three of the past 6 games went into half time level so getting plus money here is also value.

        Comment

        • -FlawlessKid
          SBR High Roller
          • 06-14-15
          • 151

          #5
          Originally posted by DiamondJack
          We are a few weeks away from one of my favourite continental championships, the 2023 African cup of nations taking place in 2024. Makes as much sense as Octoberfest in September, and the Asian 2023 cup also kicking of in January 2024.
          The last tournament in 2021 we went 29-33-3 for a profit of +1696 units, hoping for similar results this time around.
          I'm going to be hunting around for value on futures as more books post prices. I will also post some of my trends/numbers/analytics that I hope can be of value for those of you who plan to seriously wager this competition. I won't bet on individual games until squads are finalized on January the 3rd deadline.
          I welcome everyone to post in this thread who can share an angle and their thoughts. Lets have a great tournament
          GL DJ! Always appreciated.

          Comment

          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 3850

            #6
            Originally posted by -FlawlessKid
            GL DJ! Always appreciated.

            Comment

            • Optional
              Administrator
              • 06-10-10
              • 60426

              #7
              Originally posted by DiamondJack
              1. African Cup of Nations winner --- Morocco @ 8.00/+700 (2u) Bet365

              I was really surprised to find the first African semifinalist ever in the world cup just last year to be the fourth odds on fav to win this tournament. +700 is big value on a team that is head and shoulders the best side in Africa. Morocco have a cake walk of a group and this side is thirsty for a championship they have not won since 1976. I also picked this side last time around and lost perhaps I was a tad early as they really showed their quality in Qatar. Anything at 4-1 or better is a play.
              Still liking this DJ?

              +500 now at Bet365 but can still see +700 other books
              .

              Comment

              • DiamondJack
                SBR MVP
                • 11-13-14
                • 3850

                #8
                Originally posted by Optional
                Still liking this DJ?

                +500 now at Bet365 but can still see +700 other books
                Yes they are the best team in Africa so as I said anything better then 4-1 would be a play. You can also do the game over game rollover that usually has better odds if they do win the whole tournament.

                Comment

                • DiamondJack
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-14
                  • 3850

                  #9
                  Jan 14


                  5. Nigeria UNDER 2.5 @ 1.70/-143 (2u) Pinnacle
                  6. 1st Half Result DRAW @ 2.26/+126 (1u) Pinnacle

                  LEAN
                  1st half Correct score 0-0 @ 2.75/+175 Bet365

                  The second game is a mirror image of the opening game so I'm playing the same angles. Nigeria will have the fan support and should win over Equatorial Guinea but it will be tough as EG are unbeaten in their past 9 games and only allowing 5 goals against in that stretch. I'm doubling up on the total here as I had it at 1.50/-200.
                  Some numbers from this tournaments history
                  2021--- 1.96 goals per game
                  2019--- 1.92 goals per game
                  2017 --- 2.06 goals per game
                  2015 --- 2.13 goals per game
                  2013 --- 2.16 goals per game
                  That is a 200 game sample that averages 2.04 goals per game.

                  Comment

                  • DiamondJack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-13-14
                    • 3850

                    #10
                    Jan 14

                    7. Ghana UNDER 2 @ 1.93/-107 (1u) Bet365
                    8. Ghana ML @ 1.90/-111 (1u) Unibet
                    LEAN
                    Correct score 1-0 @ +450

                    Ghana has never lost to Cape Vere winning all their 4 head to head meetings to nil. The fan support will be there and I expect Ghana to take advantage of the fact that Egypt drew their opening fixture versus Mozambique. Everything points to a narrow 1-0 win for Ghana.

                    Comment

                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 3850

                      #11
                      JAN 15

                      9. Senegal/Gambia UNDER 2.25 @ 1.91/-110 (2u) Bet365

                      LEAN
                      Correct score 1-0 @ +400 Unibet

                      This is a battle between two neighbours that I expect might be tighter then what most people expect. We are yet to see a game with less then 2 goals in the tournament. I think this might be the first. The last time these two played each other Senegal won 1-0.

                      Comment

                      • DiamondJack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-13-14
                        • 3850

                        #12
                        JAN 15

                        10. Cameroon to DRAW @ 2.96/+196 (1u) Bet365
                        11. Cameroon UNDER 2 @ 1.91/-110 (2u) Pinnacle

                        Comment

                        • DiamondJack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-14
                          • 3850

                          #13
                          JAN 15

                          12. Algeria 1st Half DRAW @ 2.12/+112 (1u) Pinnacle
                          13. Algeria UNDER 2 @ 1.99/-101 (2u) Pinnacle

                          Comment

                          • DiamondJack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 3850

                            #14
                            JAN 16

                            14. Burkina Faso ML @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Pinnacle
                            15. Burkina Faso UNDER 1.5 @ 2.33/+133 (2u) Pinnacle

                            Comment

                            • pauliegwalnuts
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 01-11-24
                              • 15

                              #15
                              Lets beat these bookies

                              Hey guys, uncle Paulie here.

                              On my thread i will show you how to beat these bookies by betting on live soccer matches.I have been doing it for years. Now i want to share the knowledge so we can all bring the bookies down. I hate those scammers.

                              Stay tuned for more information! And feel free to post, commentate or ask questions.

                              Comment

                              • DiamondJack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-13-14
                                • 3850

                                #16
                                JAN 17

                                16. Morocco win to Nil @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Bet365
                                17. Morocco -1.5 @ 2.07/+107 (1u) Unibet

                                One does not have to look far to see how these teams matched up against each other competitively. In late November Morocco went on to win 2-0 on the road in the world cup qualification fixture. I expect the same result or more 2 or 3-0. Tanzania have only scored 6 goals in their past dozen games where as Morocco has only allowed 5 in their last 9.

                                Comment

                                • DiamondJack
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-14
                                  • 3850

                                  #17
                                  JAN 17


                                  18. Zambia/Congo UNDER 2 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Pinnacle
                                  19. Zambia/Congo to DRAW @ 2.96/+196 (1u) Bet365

                                  Lean Correct Score 0-0

                                  Comment

                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 3850

                                    #18
                                    JAN 18

                                    20. Equatorial Guinea UNDER 1.5 @ 2.38/+138 (2u) Unibet
                                    21. FT Result DRAW @ 3.04/+204 (1u) Bet365
                                    22. Correct Score 0-0 @ 6.00/+500 (1/2 Unit) Bet365

                                    We are yet to see the good old 0-0 score line in this tournament, I think we might be due especially with this match up. 5 of the past combined 10 games have gone under 1.5 goals and this game is a not to lose first situation for both sides who are without a win after the first round. As a measure both teams played Burkina Faso recently and both teams drew that game.
                                    Last edited by DiamondJack; 01-17-24, 07:08 PM.

                                    Comment

                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 3850

                                      #19



                                      Jan 18

                                      23. Ivory Coast/Nigeria to DRAW @ 3.06/+206 (1u) Bet365

                                      Comment

                                      • DiamondJack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-14
                                        • 3850

                                        #20
                                        JAN 18

                                        24. Ghana +0.5 @ 1.79/-127 (1u) Pinnacle

                                        Comment

                                        • DiamondJack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-14
                                          • 3850

                                          #21
                                          JAN 19

                                          25. Cabo Verde ML @ 2.25/+125 (1u) Unibet

                                          Comment

                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 3850

                                            #22
                                            JAN 19

                                            26. Senegal ML @ 1.95/-105 (1u) Bet365

                                            Comment

                                            • DiamondJack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-14
                                              • 3850

                                              #23
                                              Jan 19

                                              27. Guinea/Gambia UNDER 2 @ 1.80/-125 (2u) Bet365

                                              Comment

                                              • DiamondJack
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-14
                                                • 3850

                                                #24
                                                JAN 20

                                                28. Mauritania UNDER 1.5 @ 2.23/+123 (1u) Unibet
                                                29. FT Result DRAW @ 2.99/+199 (1u) Bet365
                                                30. Correct Score 0-0 @ 5.50/+450 (1/2 Unit) Bet365

                                                Comment

                                                • DiamondJack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                  • 3850

                                                  #25
                                                  JAN 20


                                                  31. Tunisia UNDER 1.5 @ 2.40/+140 (1u) Unibet
                                                  32. FT Result DRAW @ 2.95/+195 (1u) Bet365
                                                  33. Correct Score 0-0 @ 6.25/+525 (1/2 Unit) Unibet

                                                  Comment

                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                    • 3850

                                                    #26
                                                    Jan 21

                                                    34. Morocco win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

                                                    Comment

                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                      • 3850

                                                      #27
                                                      Jan 24

                                                      35. Tunisia ML @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                      Comment

                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                        • 3850

                                                        #28
                                                        K/O ROUNDS Lets GOOOOOOOOOO

                                                        SAT JAN 27

                                                        36. Nigeria/Cameroon HT result DRAW @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle
                                                        37. Nigeria/Cameroon UNDER 2 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                        Comment

                                                        • DiamondJack
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-13-14
                                                          • 3850

                                                          #29
                                                          SUN JAN 28

                                                          38. E Guinea HT result DRAW @ 1.93/-107 (1u) Pinnacle
                                                          39. Full time Result DRAW @ 2.90/+190 (1u) Unibet
                                                          40. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 1.75/-133 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                          Comment

                                                          • DiamondJack
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-14
                                                            • 3850

                                                            #30
                                                            SUN JAN 28

                                                            41. Egypt/Congo Full time Result DRAW @ 2.95/+195 (1u) Bet365
                                                            42. Total Goals UNDER 1.5 @ 2.40/+140 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                            Comment

                                                            • DiamondJack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-13-14
                                                              • 3850

                                                              #31
                                                              MON JAN 29

                                                              43. Capo Verde ML @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
                                                              44. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 1.81/-123 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                              Comment

                                                              • DiamondJack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 3850

                                                                #32
                                                                MON JAN 29

                                                                45. Senegal to DRAW @ 3.14/+214 (1u) Pinnacle
                                                                46. Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle
                                                                Last edited by DiamondJack; 01-29-24, 02:02 PM.

                                                                Comment

                                                                • DiamondJack
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                                  • 3850

                                                                  #33
                                                                  TUE JAN 30


                                                                  47. Mali Total Goals UNDER 1.5 @ 2.23/+123 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                                  Comment

                                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 3850

                                                                    #34
                                                                    FRI FEB 2

                                                                    48. Angola +0.5 @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Unibet

                                                                    Comment

                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 3850

                                                                      #35
                                                                      SAT FEB 3

                                                                      49. Mali to DRAW @ 2.88/+188 (1u)
                                                                      50. Mali UNDER 1.5 @ 2.33/+133 (1u)

                                                                      Comment

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