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22. Man City/Real Madrid OVER 3 @ 1.97/-103 (UEFA CL) 1u Pinnacle
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
4857
#22
Updated K/O Record
14-7-1 +1096 Units
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
4857
#23
THU MAY 18
22. Basel +0.5 @ 2.27/+127 (UEFA CNF) 1u Pinnacle
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
4857
#24
WED June 7
23. West Ham PK @ 1.93/-107 (UEFA CNF) 1u Bet365 24. West Ham to Lift trophy @ 1.91/-110 (UEFA CNF) 1u Bet365 25. Total Goals in match 2 @ 3.40/+240 (UEFA CNF) 1/2u Bet365 26. Total Goals in match 3 @ 4.33/+333 (UEFA CNF) 1/2u Bet365
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
4857
#25
WED June 7
27. A Pk in match YES @ +162 (UEFA CNF) 1/2u Bet365 28. Total Cards UNDER 5 @ 1.98/-102 (UEFA CNF) 1/2u Bet365 29. West Ham 0 Card Handicap @ 1.93/-107 (UEFA CNF) 1/2u Bet365
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
4857
#26
Updated K/O Record
18-10-2 +1443
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
4857
#27
SAT June 10 Champions League Final
31. 1st Half Correct score 0-0 or 1st half Under 0.5 goals @ 3.25/+225 (1u) Bet365 32. HT/FT Result DRAW/Man City @ 4.33/+333 (1u) Bet365
Manchester City is no doubt the better side here and should come out as winners. However. there is zero value backing them at these odds especially on a neutral field. Consider the past 12 away Champions league games for City only 3W 6D 3L and 7 games going under 2.5 goals. Inter Milan's last 12 away CL games they have a better record of 6W 3D 3L, and 8 games going under the total. This gives us a 63% of the total going Under 2.5 goals.
Inter's manager Inzagi is a cup specialist winning 7 of his 8 cup finals, and we know anything can happen in a one off game. The Italians know how to park the bus and will try to frustrate City. The odds here represent recency bias in favour of City and if this game were in Manchester I would back them to win by a pair but its not, however I think eventually Manchester City will have enough to break down Inter in the second half.
The referee for this game will be Szymon Marciniak who also officiated the world cup Final between Argentina & France where we saw 7 yellow cards and 3 penalty kicks. He also issued 3 yellow cards to Man City on May 17th vs Real Madrid & 3 yellow cards against Inter vs Porto on Mar 14 both in CL action. The card prop is set at 4.5 and I will look to play that over IN GAME if I can get it at 3.5 cards at evens towards the end of the first half.
I know some gurus out there like the win to nil option for City. I would tread carefully. Since April in the top 5 European leagues the top 3 players with the most goals & assists were; 1. Martinez with 15 for Inter 2. Lukaku with 14 for Inter & 3. Haaland with 14 for City. Inter can be deadly on the counter versus City who will no doubt have the majority of possession. Thinking of a 2-1 win for City in regulation or a 1-1 final going into extra time.
