81. Bournemouth +0.5 @ 1.80/-125 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle 82. Tottenham ML @ 1.89/-112 (ENG) 1u Unibet 83. Tottenham OVER 2.5 @ 1.81/-123 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle 84. Aston Villa PK @ 1.67/-149 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle -------------------------------------------------------------- 55. Santa Clara to DRAW @ 3.47/+247 (POR) 1u Pinnacle 56. Braga +1 @ 2.00/+100 (POR) 1u Pinnacle -------------------------------------------------------------- 78. Rennes PK @ 2.14/+114 (FRA) 1u Unibet 79. Marseille +0.25 @ 1.91/-110 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle --------------------------------------------------------------- 89. Roma OVER 2 @ 1.75/-133 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
3940
#166
SUN MAY 7
80. Lorient/Brest UNDER 2.5 @ 1.91/-110 (FRA) 1u Bet365
Brest come into the game undefeated in their last 6 games and on the back of 3 straight clean sheets. Brest have done well lately but are still in a relegation battle. This game matters for Brest, every point matters for them. Time to park the bus and try to counter. The home side Lorient on the other hand have guaranteed their safety and I expect a letdown spot here after their win over PSG. Lorient at home have their past 4 games go under the total and were shut out in 3 of those past 4 games. This is a derby match so it should be a tight game. The last 13 head to head matches had less then 1 goal differential.
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
3940
#167
SUN MAY 7
90. Napoli ML @ 1.89/-112 (ITA) 2u Unibet
This line bewilders me. I know Napoli just won the league, and the game does not really matter. The way the odds here are priced seem to indicate the whole Napoli team got drunk and partied after their clinching the Scuddeto with a draw away from home. Fiorentina realistically also have nothing to play being out a dozen points behind a European spot. The key for me here is that Fiorentina host Basel after this game in the conference league semi final and winning that will give them a trophy along with 5 Million euros this season as well a place in Europe next season. They will not want to risk injury to any key players. This really seems like an exhibition pre season match that and I expect Napoli to put on a show for their fans in celebration of their first league championship in 30+ years.
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
3940
#168
SUN MAY 7
57. Vitoria Guimaraes ML @ 2.38/+138 (POR) 1u Pinnacle
Plenty of value for the home side here who are 4 points out of a European squad playing a side that are mid table with basically not much to play for this season. Form wise Vitoria are coming off an away win at Maritimo where as the visitors Vizela are winless in their last 3 games and come into this match having lost at home to Pacos Ferreira. The last 3 times Vizela played in Guimaraes they lost all 3. These lower division sides are pretty slim when it comes to squad depth especially with Vizela. They will be missing their full back Kiki Afonso who is suspended due to card accumulation. Give me the home side at any plus money here in this match up.
The past 7 head to head meetings between these two sides all resulted in Sporting wins and Pacos failed to score in all 7 games. Sporting have scored 15 goals in these matches for an average of 2.14 goals per game. 5 out of the last 7 matches yielded 2 goals or less and 2 times Sporting managed 3. One has to go back to 2016 that this fixture has seen more then 3 goals. Pacos Ferreira have only scored 23 goals in the league this season which is second worse behind Santa Clara who scored 22. Sporting pretty much locked up 3rd place in the league where as Pacos Ferreira are fighting for a home relegation play off position. This all points to a low scoring encounter as I don't see the motivation for Sporting and Pacos clearly lacks the quality up front.
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
3940
#170
MON MAY 8
85. Nottingham Forest ML @ 2.14/+114 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
A relegation battle in which both sides need the max 3 points, so I do not expect either side to sit back and settle for a draw. Forest are riddled with injuries but at home they have only lost two times since the start of October last year. The Saints are winless in their past 9 matches and pretty much doomed for the drop. The last head to head meeting between these sides was back in January in Southampton where Nottingham won 1-0. I have to back Forest hosting the table basement dwellers who have the leagues worse goal differential. I think home advantage in the key here and odds of any plus money offer value.
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
3940
#171
FRI May 12
59. Gil Vicente/Boavista UNDER 2.5 @ 1.88/-114 (POR) 1u Pinnacle
Aside from their last game Gil Vicente had 6 games in which they scored zero goals. In the league this year their games average only 2.16 goals per game. Coming into this game they will be without their leading midfield goal threat Vitor Carvalho who is suspended on card accumulation. Form wise 6 of the past 7 games have gone under the total for the home side and 3 of the past 5 for the visitors. The last 2 head to head meetings yielded score lines of 1-0 & 1-1. Looks like a 1-0 away final.
Leans Hertha Berlin +0.5
Comment
DiamondJack
SBR MVP
11-13-14
3940
#172
SAT MAY 13
60. Chaves ML @ 2.21/+121 (POR) 1u Pinnacle 61. Vizela to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (POR) 1u Marathon 62. Portimonense UNDER 3 @ 2.00/+100 (POR) 1u Pinnacle ------------------------------------------------------------------ 80. Strasbourg to DRAW @ 3.39/+239 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle ------------------------------------------------------------------ 46. Bochum ML @ 2.17/+117 (GER) 1u Pinnacle -------------------------------------------------------- 96. Real Sociedad UNDER 2.5 @ 1.87/-115 (SPA) 1u Bet365