Tweets Soccer Thread

[bigjonson]

Singapore
6:30 Home united/Singapore Armed forces Over 2.5 (-185)--would love to get over 3 at better odds but...

Sportsbook has at Over 3.5 +160

Would you book it at those odds????

4 goals is a lot.....

Thoughts???

[TWEETS]

I would rather have just over 3 at about even, but i would probably take those odds.

[bigjonson]

Well I smacked it for half a unit.... we'll see.

I like the play.

It's worth the risk/reward.

[TWEETS]

That was a disappointing loss on the singapore game. Singapore armed forces have fallen apart the last couple of weeks.

[bigjonson]

For Friday

Austria
1:30 SV Josko Fensterried (+115)

English League
1:45 Millwall/southend DRAW (+210)

Germany
1:30 FC Schake PK(-105)
11:00 SC Paderborn 07/Frankfurt over 2.5(-110)

Hungary
12:00 Ferencuarosi TC (-125)

Ireland
1:45 Cork city (+100)

Norway
12:00 Rosenborg BK (-153)

Singapore
6:30 Home united/Singapore Armed forces Over 2.5 (-185)--would love to get over 3 at better odds but...

Poland
10:45 Ruch Chorzow PK(-110)
1:00 Wisla Krakow (-167)

Not sure where you are seeing -110 but I got +175 here at Sportsbook.com

Not playing it. Instead I am playing the safe under. This looks like 0-0 match for sure.

We shall see.

[TWEETS]

Not sure where you are seeing -110 but I got +175 here at Sportsbook.com

Not playing it. Instead I am playing the safe under. This looks like 0-0 match for sure.

We shall see.

Which game you talking about?

[bigjonson]

10:45 Ruch Chorzow PK(-110)

[TWEETS]

Yeah I took the PK line at -110, i could very well see a draw here. The under looks like a good bet.

I am also liking the Hungary game to go over, but I dont know if I want to pay the -165 juice. May see if I can get a better line if 5 dimes ever puts up a O/U on the game.

[Rixsaw]

Yeah I took the PK line at -110, i could very well see a draw here. The under looks like a good bet.

I am also liking the Hungary game to go over, but I dont know if I want to pay the -165 juice. May see if I can get a better line if 5 dimes ever puts up a O/U on the game.

It's PK-even at Greek, but the o/u was like -179.

[TWEETS]

Yeah I took the PK line at -110, i could very well see a draw here. The under looks like a good bet.

I am also liking the Hungary game to go over, but I dont know if I want to pay the -165 juice. May see if I can get a better line if 5 dimes ever puts up a O/U on the game.

I did go ahead and take it at -165 and it looks like a winner.

[Totolover1409]

[TWEETS]

For Friday

Austria
1:30 SV Josko Fensterried (+115) Loss

English League
1:45 Millwall/southend DRAW (+210) WIN

Germany
1:30 FC Schake PK(-105) Push
11:00 SC Paderborn 07/Frankfurt over 2.5(-110) Loss

Hungary
12:00 Ferencuarosi TC (-125) Loss
over2.5 added (-165) win


Ireland
1:45 Cork city (+100) win

Norway
12:00 Rosenborg BK (-153) Win

Singapore
6:30 Home united/Singapore Armed forces Over 2.5 (-185)--would love to get over 3 at better odds but... LOSS

Poland
10:45 Ruch Chorzow PK(-110)Win
1:00 Wisla Krakow (-167) Win

6-4-1 +1.90

Singapore loss early hurt but picked up the nice hit on the Draw.

57-37-1 (+10.64 Units)

[TWEETS]

1 game for tonight

Chile
Audax Italiano (-137)

[TWEETS]

1 game for tonight

Chile
Audax Italiano (-137)Loss

57-38-1 (+9.27 units)

[Totolover1409]

any games for tomorrow tweet

[TWEETS]

11 for Saturday

Australia
2:00 AM Melbourne/N. Queensland Over 2.5 (-150)

Belgium
1:00 RSC Anderlecht (-125)

Croatia
1:00 NK Vartek Varazdin (-143)

France
12:00 Olympique Lyonnais (-105)
12:00 AS Nancy Lorraine PK(+125)

Finland
8:00 Tampere United (-105)

Poland
10:00 Dolcan Zabki (-117)
10:00 Flota Swinoujscie PK(-155)
10:30 Gornik Leczna/GKS Katowice Under 2.5 (-160)

Russia
11:30 Tom Tomsk PK(+200)

Romania
9:30 CS Gaz Metan Medias (-155)

[Wilforth]

Why did you fall into such a trap? You don't play a favorite of such chalk when that's the ONLY game in the league for the day.

[TWEETS]

Why did you fall into such a trap? You don't play a favorite of such chalk when that's the ONLY game in the league for the day.

Dammit, can we get a sticky with all the unwritten rules of soccer betting???

[Wilforth]

Short rules:

1) Avoid taking favorites in games which schedule is out of sync with other games in the league.
2) Avoid taking a favorite at any time when there's a significant and rapid line movement in favor of the favorite within 15 minutes of gametime.
3) Avoid taking a favorite when its record directly contrasts that of the opponent. For instance, don't take a home favorite that's 7-1-0 at home against a team with a road record of 0-1-7. And vice versa.
4) Avoid playing a top 3 team vs. a bottom 3 team, especially in the lower leagues.
5) Avoid playing a favorite that scored in their previous game about 3 to 4 times its average number of goals per game. For instance, if a team is averaging about 2 goals per game and they score between 6 to 8 goals in one game, avoid playing them in their next game.
6) For league games played at the same time, avoid playing the favorite with the most chalk, especially in the lower leagues. France Ligue 2 is a good example of a league where the favorite with the most chalk often loses (or at least loses the first half).

Those are just my thoughts for now. I'll elaborate on these when I do a write-up on the pitfalls in soccer betting.

[Totolover1409]

Wil, if I had SBR points, I'd give them to you

[Wilforth]

Tweets and Totolover1409,

Thanks.

[TWEETS]

11 for Saturday

Australia
2:00 AM Melbourne/N. Queensland Over 2.5 (-150) Loss

Belgium
1:00 RSC Anderlecht (-125) win

Croatia
1:00 NK Vartek Varazdin (-143) Win

France
12:00 Olympique Lyonnais (-105) Win
12:00 AS Nancy Lorraine PK(+125) Loss

Finland
8:00 Tampere United (-105) Win

Poland
10:00 Dolcan Zabki (-117) Loss
10:00 Flota Swinoujscie PK(-155) Push
10:30 Gornik Leczna/GKS Katowice Under 2.5 (-160) Loss

Russia
11:30 Tom Tomsk PK(+200) Loss

Romania
9:30 CS Gaz Metan Medias (-155) Loss

61-44-2 (+7.00 units)

[TWEETS]

Sunday's Card

Brazil
2:00 Corinthians (-150)
4:30 Goias (-125)
Goias/Santos Ov 2.5 (-160)

Czech
10:00 Victoria Plzen/Bohemians Draw (+185)
12:00 Jablonec (+115)

Croatia
1:15 HNK Rijeka (+200)

France
12:00 Vannes/EA guingamp Draw (+200)

Hungary
1:00 Fehevor FC (+115)

Ireland
1:00 Derry City (-143)

Norway
11:00 IK Start/FC Lyn Oslo Draw (+225)
11:00 Odd Greenland (-143)

Peru
3:00 Alianza Lima/Iquitos Under 2.5 (-120)

Sweden
10:00 Falkenbergs (-167)

Uruguay
8:15 Cerro (-167)

4 teamer Sweden/Norway
Heisenbergs
IF Elfsborg
Sogndal
Tromsdalen 1 to win 3.27

thoughts? Opinions?

[TWEETS]

Sunday's Card

Brazil
2:00 Corinthians (-150) Loss
4:30 Goias (-125) Win
Goias/Santos Ov 2.5 (-160) Win

Czech
10:00 Victoria Plzen/Bohemians Draw (+185) Loss
12:00 Jablonec (+115) Win

Croatia
1:15 HNK Rijeka (+200) win

France
12:00 Vannes/EA guingamp Draw (+200) Loss

Hungary
1:00 Fehevor FC (+115) Loss
Ireland
1:00 Derry City (-143) Win

Norway
11:00 IK Start/FC Lyn Oslo Draw (+225) Loss
11:00 Odd Greenland (-143) Win

Peru
3:00 Alianza Lima/Iquitos Under 2.5 (-120) Loss

Sweden
10:00 Falkenbergs (-167) Win

Uruguay
8:15 Cerro (-167) Loss

4 teamer Sweden/Norway
Heisenbergs
IF Elfsborg
Sogndal
Tromsdalen 1 to win 3.27 Loss

thoughts? Opinions?

68-52-2 (+6.20 units)

[TWEETS]

Running behind today, going to go ahead and take the Czech game to go under 2

FC Brno/Banik Ostrava U 2 (+108)

[TWEETS]

Here's the rest of my card for the day, feel good about this one.

Denmark
12:00 Odense (-233)

Germany
1:15 Karlsryher/TSV Munchen Under 2.5 (-135)

Israel
12:15 Hapoel Tel Aviv/Beiter Jerusalem Ov 2.5 (+110)

Sweden
12:00 Goteborg (-143)
12:00 Malmo (-125)
12:00 Atvideborgs (+125)

Turkey
1:00 Fenerbahce -1 (-120)

[TWEETS]

Here's the rest of my card for the day, feel good about this one.

Denmark
12:00 Odense (-233) Win

Germany
1:15 Karlsryher/TSV Munchen Under 2.5 (-135) Loss

Israel
12:15 Hapoel Tel Aviv/Beiter Jerusalem Ov 2.5 (+110) Loss

Sweden
12:00 Goteborg (-143) Loss
12:00 Malmo (-125) Loss
12:00 Atvideborgs (+125) Loss

Turkey
1:00 Fenerbahce -1 (-120) Win

Still on a good roll to fade me.

70-57-3 (+2.17 units)

[TWEETS]

Tuesday Card

Brazil 5:30 Porugesa (-181)

UEFA Champs
Debrenci PK (-140)
Atletico Madrid -1 (-150)
Anderlecht/Lyon Over 2.5 (-145)

English Conference
tamwoth/Wrexham under 2.5 (-145)

Norway
Honefoss (-115)

May have some Carling Cup plays too, gonna wait til morning for those

[Totolover1409]

Dunno why Bodog doesnt have any of these lines. I'm lookin at your picks daily tweet and they are doin me well. Keep em comin. Hopefully I can actually find some lines on bodog that you post

[Totolover1409]

Also, what about taking Lyon +150

[TWEETS]

Also, what about taking Lyon +150

I didn't see any real advantage for either side here. Anderlecht has been playing well enough that they could win it.

Surely Bodog has UEFA Champions games?

[TWEETS]

Another game that I would take if I could find a -1 line instead of -1.5 is Europa League Shakhtar Durestk.

[Phillth]

Also, what about taking Lyon +150

Lyon can lose today and still advance to the next round. Lay off it. Theyll play the scrubs

[Wilforth]

Also, what about taking Lyon +150

Don't expect Lyon to use their first team in this game. I think Lyon may just sort of "forfeit" the game, knowing Anderlecth can't turn the tables in 90 minutes. I'd lean:

Anderletch ML
Over

I wouldn't however put my money on a meaningless game.

[TWEETS]

Going to add 3 Carling Cup Plays

Hartlepool United/Burnley Under 2.5 (-130)
Sheffield Wednesday (-125)

4teamer 1 to win 3.14
Portsmouth
QP rogers
West Ham
Wolvers