2018-19 DJ's UEFA Champions League & Europa Thread

**Giroux** · 08-23-18, 03:38 PM

Thanks DJ!

**DiamondJack** · 08-23-18, 03:53 PM

Giroux--- Finally got some $ back from Europa

**boss_of_um** · 08-25-18, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by DiamondJack

Giroux--- Finally got some $ back from Europa

**DiamondJack** · 08-27-18, 10:24 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

August 30 --- FC Midtjylland v Malmo FF

36. Midtjylland ML @ 2.03/+103 (1 Unit) Pinnacle
37. Midtjylland OVER 2.5 @ 2.17/+117 (1 Unit) Marathon

The 1st leg finished 2-2 so I expect Malmo to try and go for it in the 2nd leg. The home side averaged 3.42 goals per game last season & Malmo average 2.84 no reason not to see goals here especially at plus money odds. Numbers wise I also have have to back the Danes to win outright. 20-16 in transfer value, 1563-1479 in ELO rank, 18-9 in Internationals, and 25.9- 18-9 in Uefa Coefficient.

**DiamondJack** · 08-27-18, 10:52 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

August 30 --- Bordeaux v Gent

38. Bordeaux ML @ 2.18/+118 (1 Unit) Marathon

Despite all the front office drama at Bordeaux the team continues to perform well I was impressed with their win versus Monaco on the weekend. The 1st leg here finished 0-0 in Belgium and being at home at plus money I have to give the edge to Bordeaux as all my numbers back the French side.

**DiamondJack** · 08-27-18, 10:56 AM

Europe record going into Thu Aug 30th

Champions league 11-11-1 +290 Units
Europa league 15-20-0 +067 Units

**franz555** · 08-27-18, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by DiamondJack

EUROPA LEAGUE

August 30 --- Bordeaux v Gent

38. Bordeaux ML @ 2.18/+118 (1 Unit) Marathon

Despite all the front office drama at Bordeaux the team continues to perform well I was impressed with their win versus Monaco on the weekend. The 1st leg here finished 0-0 in Belgium and being at home at plus money I have to give the edge to Bordeaux as all my numbers back the French side.

BOL DJ

Always appreciate your early posts and write ups

**DiamondJack** · 09-06-18, 03:24 PM

Housekeeping

Europe record going into the group stages

Champions League 11-11-1 +290 Units
Europa League 16-22-0 -015 Units

OVERALL 27-33-1 +275 Units

**DiamondJack** · 09-19-18, 08:27 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

September 20 --- RB Leipzig v Salzburg

39. Leipzig ML @ 1.90/-111 (1 Unit) Marathon

The Inaugural Energy Drink Derby should favour the home side as Leipzig plays in a much tougher league than Salzburg (Uefa Coefficient of 60.07 to 26.65). Leipzig as a team is also worth three times as much as Salzburg. Playing at home should also give the German side an edge where earlier this year they beat the likes of Marseille & Zenit two teams of better quality than Salzburg. The visitors rue a missed opportunity by being knocked out of the Champions league by Red Star last round.

**DiamondJack** · 10-02-18, 08:44 AM

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

October 2--- AEK Athens v Benfica

24. AEK /Benfica OVER 2.5 @ 2.52/+152 (1 Unit) Pinnacle

Last season the Champions League averaged 3.21 goals per game the season before that 3.04. This is the only match with a plus money price for the over today. Form wise 4 of the past 5 for AEK go over & 3 of the past 5 for Benfica also go over 2.5. I leagua acton Benfica average 3.17 gpg & AEK average 2.40. At this price its worth a punt.

**DiamondJack** · 10-02-18, 10:52 AM

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

October 3--- Tottenham v Barcelona

25. Tottenham +0.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1 Unit) Pinnacle

I don't think the form Barcelona is in currently warrants a favourite tag. Barca are winless in their past 3 where as Tottenham have won 3 straight. Barcelona have only won 1 game in the past 7 away Champions League games losing 3 and drawing 3. These sides met in July and drew 2-2 I would not be surprised at a similar result.

**DiamondJack** · 10-03-18, 08:36 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

October 4 --- Astana v Rennes

40. Astana/Rennes OVER 2.5 @ 2.36/+136 (1 Unit) Marathon

The Europa league averaged 2.71 goals per game last season and this season it also averages 2.71. In League action Astana averages 2.56 gpg and Rennes average 2.88. Form wise 4 of the past 5 for Rennes finish over & 3 of the past 5 for Astana also finish over. Any plus money price is value.

**DiamondJack** · 10-03-18, 08:48 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

October 4 --- Bordeaux v FC Copenhagen

41. Bordeaux OVER 2.5 @ 2.36/+136 (1 Unit) Pinnacle
42. Bordeaux ML @ 1.92/-108 (1 Unit) Marathon

Once again a decent plus money price on the total where we have Copenhagen average 3.09 goals per game in league play & Bordeaux average 2.63. I also like to back the home side with a n extra day of rest. The numbers also point to a home win with the Elo Rank 1632-1551 & Transfer Value of 108 to 25 million.Uefa Coefficient of 51.6 to 26.27.& 16-14 S&Y Internationals on the roster. Even with the home side resting a few players they should still have the quality to win.

**DiamondJack** · 10-03-18, 08:56 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

October 4 --- Zenit St Petersburg v Slavia Prague

43. Zenit ML @ 1.80/-125 (Bet365) 1 Unit

The odds here opened at 1.45/-222 2 weeks ago. I'm not going to going into the numbers as Zenit are much better in all categories. Slavia have only won once away from home in all European action in over 15 games. Unless Zenit is throwing the game. I'm jumping in but only with a single unit.

**DiamondJack** · 10-04-18, 04:18 PM

Updated

Champions League 12-12-1 +342 Units
Europa League 18-25-0 -098 Units

OVERALL 30-37-1 +244 Units

**DiamondJack** · 10-24-18, 08:55 AM

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

October 24--- Galatasaray v Schalke

26. Galatasaray to DRAW @ 3.25/+225 (1 Unit) Pinnacle
27. Galatasaray UNDER 1.5 @ 3.20/+220 (1 Unit) Bet365

I expect a low scoring game 0-0, 1-1 even 1-0 to either side brings in a profit. Form wise in the past 4 games for both sides all eight games finished under 2.5 and only 1 draw. Both sides have a great chance to advance from this group so playing not to lose will be priority.

**Giroux** · 10-24-18, 04:35 PM

Nice double W DJ!

**DiamondJack** · 10-24-18, 05:07 PM

EUROPA LEAGUE

October 25 --- Besiktas v Genk

44. Besiktas ML @ 2.14/+114 (Bet365) 1 Unit

In the past 17 games at home in European competition Besiktas only lost once and that was to Bayern Munich. Besiktas have a higher ELo rank 1671-1631 & a higher transfer value of 91 million to 74. Giving me plus money is a bonus as I had the game pegged at evens.

**DiamondJack** · 10-24-18, 06:47 PM

EUROPA LEAGUE

October 25 --- Jablonec v Astana

45. Jablonec OVER 2.5 @ 2.15/+115 (Marathon) 1 Unit

So far this season The Europa league has been averaging 3.00 goals per game. Jablonec average 2.92 in their domestic league matches and Astana average 2.55. 3 of the past 4 at home for Jablonec go over & 3 of the past 4 away for Astana go over. Plus money seems like value.

**DiamondJack** · 10-24-18, 07:20 PM

EUROPA LEAGUE

October 25 --- AC Milan v Real Betis

46. AC Milan ML @ 1.95/-105 (Marathon) 1 Unit

I have to back the home side at close to evens that has won 4 & drew 1 at home in their past 5 while scoring 11GF versus a side that away from home have only managed 1GF and a 1-1-3 record. Milan are the better side on paper hopefully that translates to a what I think might be a 1-0 or 2-0 win.

**DiamondJack** · 10-25-18, 09:01 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

October 25

47. Larnaca to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (Bet365) 1 Unit
48. Copenhagen to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (Bet365) 1 Unit
49. Marseille to DRAW @ 3.60/+260 (Bet365) 1 Unit
50. Sarpsborg to DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (Bet365)1 Unit
52. Standard Liege to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (Bet365) 1 Unit

Time for some Draw hunting in the Europa league. The last 2 rounds have resulted in less than 14% of games ending level. I'm hoping for a return to the mean today. 2 of the 5 for a decent profit.

**Stokes36** · 10-25-18, 03:53 PM

Sarpsborg with the clutch late goal, but St. Liege broke their tie late

Good calls, sir

**DiamondJack** · 11-08-18, 10:23 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

November 8th

53. Vorskla to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (Bet365) 1 Unit
54. Vorskla UNDER 1.5 @ 2.61/+161 (5Dimes) 2 Units

**DiamondJack** · 11-28-18, 07:09 PM

EUROPA LEAGUE

November 29th

55. Zurich ML @ 1.86/-116 (Marathon) 2 Units
56. Sporting ML @ 2.40/+140 (Bet365) 2 Units
57. BATE ML @ 2.10/+110 (Bet365) 2 Units
58. Jablonec/Rennes OVER 2.5 @ 2.38/+138 (Marathon) 1 Unit
59. Malmo +0.5 @ 1.81/-123 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

**DiamondJack** · 12-13-18, 10:12 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

December 13th

60. Celtic/Salzburg to DRAW @ 3.42/+242 (Marathon) 1 Unit

**DiamondJack** · 02-11-19, 05:44 PM

EUROPA LEAGUE

February 12th

61. Fenerbahce/Zenit to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (Marathon) 1 Unit
62. Fenerbahce/Zenit UNDER 1.5 @ 3.00/+200 (Bet365) 1 Unit

**DiamondJack** · 02-13-19, 07:53 PM

EUROPA LEAGUE

February 14th

63. Rennes to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (Bet365) 1U
64. Slavia to DRAW @ 3.32/+232 (Marathon) 1U
65. Benfica PK @ 2.00/+100 (Bet365) 1U
66. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 @ 2.34/+134 (Marathon) 1U
67. Lazio to DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (Marathon) 1U
68. Plzen to DRAW @ 3.32/+232 (Marathon) 1U
69. Sporting Lisbon ML @ 2.25/+125 (Bet365) 1U
70. Valencia ML @ 2.36/+136 (Marathon) 1U
71. Zurich UNDER 2.5 @ 2.13/+113 (Marathon) 1U

**DiamondJack** · 02-14-19, 05:50 PM

Updated

Champions League 14-12-1 +7.87 Units
Europa League 30-40-1 +8.15 Units

OVERALL 44-52-1 +16.02 Units

**DiamondJack** · 02-18-19, 04:07 PM

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

February 19--- Lyon v Barcelona

28. Barcelona ML @ 1.80/-125 (1 Unit) Bet365

Lyon have tied 5 straight CL games. Since 2013 at home they have only won one CL game and that was vs Dinamo Zagreb. They sit in 3rd place in France and must play BARCELONA who at tops in Spain and are undefeated in their past 6 CL games. I had the game pegged at 1.40/-250 for Barca. H2h Lyon has never won vs Barca, its a tad juiced but I dont fancy Lyon

**DiamondJack** · 02-19-19, 11:53 AM

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

February 20--- Atletico Madrid v Juventus

29. Atletico Madrid to DRAW @ 3.05/+205 (1 Unit) Pinnacle

30. Atletico Madrid UNDER 1.5 @ 2.62/+162 (1 Unit) Bet365

A battle of 2 stingy defenses. The home side has allowed only 17 GA in 24 games in league play. Juventus have only allowed 15 GA in 24 games. The 1st leg usually favors the Under. Hoping for a 0-0 result. 1-0 for either side or a 1-1 result all bring in a profit.

**DiamondJack** · 03-07-19, 10:12 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

March 7th

72. Valencia UNDER 2.5 @ 1.89/-112 (Marathon) 1U
73. Chelsea UNDER 2.5 @ 2.17/+117 (Marathon) 1U

**DiamondJack** · 04-11-19, 08:51 AM

EUROPA LEAGUE

April 11th

74. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 @ 2.27/+127 (Marathon) 1U
75. Benfica ML @ 2.30/+130 (Bet365) 1U

**DiamondJack** · 04-15-19, 05:32 PM

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

April 16--- Juventus v Ajax

31. Juventus/Ajax OVER 2.5 @ 1.83/-120 (Marathon) 1 Unit