Summer Pick Thread (100 plays)

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Decided to start one of these. Some picks in past have done ok. Last one, not so much.

Will follow similar rules, as I've laid out in past.

Plan to play thru 100 plays.

$100 = base unit

Will scale bet sizes accordingly.

Total risk will wind up btw $10k and $11k.

Target = clear +3.00 Net Units profit, which would put us ~ +3% ROI.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plan to be covering a variety of sports:

CFL
Soccer
Boxing
International BAsketball
NFL

Good luck to all!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play #1. Gold Cup soccer: USA -.5 (-315). 112 to win 35.

Arena fielding stronger lineup tonite. Something wrong if they can't win this in regulation.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 2-4. CFL, each risking 110 to win 100:

* Win/BC UND 56.5
* Calgary -10
* Sask/Calg UND 58

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 1 is 90-min play, btw.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play1 is a winner. YTD: (1 play) +35...on 112 risked.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 5. CfL: Ottawa +2.5 -108 (at Tor). 108 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 6. Ott/Tor UNDER 55.5. 110 to win 100.

I mangled the side-bet on Ott. U can now get a better #.

Harris is a great QB. 71% completions, should be a close game.

Note: there has been some talk that OTT got raw deal w/ compressed schedule that's limited their practice time.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

pLAY 7. Soccer - Women's Euro. England -0.25 (-102) (vs Spain). 102 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 5. CfL: Ottawa +2.5 -108 (at Tor). 108 to win 100.

Play8. Adding a unit. Ott +3.5. 110 to win 100.

Mangled the early bet, but worth an extra-unit at current price.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

pLAY 9. Soccer - Women's Euro. Italy +1.75 (-135) (vs Sweden). 108 to win 80.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Mentioned above that I mangled the early Ottawa bet. Did manage to win the late bet (but lose the early bet).

YTD (thru 8 plays): +317...on 872 Risked. +36.4% ROI.

Still early, 1play Pending.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 10-12. Japanese soccer (J1), for weekend 7/29:

* G Osaka -.5 (+155). 80 to win 124.
* Tokyo -.75 (-115). 92 to win 80.
* Yokohama -.5 (+121). 100 to win 121.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 13. MLB 904 StLouis Cardinals (Lynn/Gray) -120. 96 to win 80.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 14. Baseball (Mexican). Yucatan/Leon OVER 10.5 (+100). 100 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Can't believe it. Italy wins outright.

YTD (thru 8 plays): +397...on 980 Risked. +40.5% ROI.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Split on 2 baseball games.

YTD (thru 11 plays): +377...on 1176 Risked. +32.1% ROI.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 15/16. Soccer - Gold Cup Final (Double-unit play):

* Feel like this is worth 2units.

USA (90min) -.5 (-182). 91 to win 50.
USA (90min) -1 (+105). 100 to win 105.

I mentioned that this tournament has been awful. But Arena bulked up the lineup for Knockout stage. I see this as good value. Would be a sizable upset for Jamaica to win (or even get to extra-time).

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 17. Baseball (Mexican). Yucatan/Leon. OVER 9.5 (-107). 107 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 18. Baseball (Mexican). Mont/Tijuana. UNDER 9.5 (-110). 99 to win 90.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 19. Soccer - UEFA Champ Lg Qualifiers. Hapoel Beer Sheva -.25 (-102). 102 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 20. CFL (week06) - Hamilton +13. 110 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Bad losses on 2 baseball games.

YTD (thru 16 plays): +321...on 1675 Risked. +19.2% ROI.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 21. CFL: 372 WINN -3 (-103). 103 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 22-24. Europa League Qualifiers:

MladaBoleslav/SkendKorce OVER2 (-123). 86 to win 70.
PSVEind/Osijek UNDER 3(-105). 84 to win 80.
DinBuch/AthBilbao OVER 2.25 (-114). 80 to win 70.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 25/26. Mexican Baseball. These have been bad, so do as u see fit:

* Camp/Oaxaca OVER 9.5 (-115). 92 to win 80.
* Yuc/Leon OVER 9.5 (-115). 115 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

THURS Recap: pretty good day. WINN scores on last play of regulation, but no time to try for 2.

YTD (thru 22 plays): +508...on 2235 Risked. +22.7% ROI.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 27-29. Aussie Rules FB (Round 19):

* No Melb +17.5 (-105). 105 to win 100.
* St Kilda +37.5 (-108). 108 to win 100.
* GWS -39.5 (-114). 114 to win 100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 30-32. Mexican Baseball:

* Salt/Monclova UNDER 10.5 (-111). 111 to win 100.
* Tij/Aguas OVER 11 (+100). 150 to win 150.
* Oax/Tabasco UNDER 7.5 (+105). 100 to win 105.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Plays 33-35. Aussie Rules FB (Round 19):

* Western Bulldogs +5.5 (-109). 109 to win 100.
* West Coast -51.5 (-115). 69 to win 60.
* Adelaide -12 (-108). 81 to win 75.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 36. Soccer - Women's Euro 2017. Germany (90min) -1 (-125). 80 to win 64.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Record to include overnite results.

YTD (thru 30 plays): +768...on 3103 Risked. +24.8% ROI.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 37. Mexican Baseball:

* Monterrey/Laguna OVER 10.5 (+100). 80 to win 80.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 36. Soccer - Women's Euro 2017. Germany (90min) -1 (-125). 80 to win 64.

This game was Postponed. Coming right back w/ Germany at slightly different price:

* -0.75 (-140). 98 to win 70.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Play 38. Soccer-Women's Euro 2017. France (90min) pk (+100). 120 to win 120.