BTJ Challenge - Soccer plays (Round3)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-07-17, 12:20 AM

OK, I feel strongly enough about this play to release it as 1st play in Round 3.

For ground rules of Challenge, see above link. Basics are this:

* One unit = $100.
* Challenge is completed when we clear one unit.
* If I can't get to +1unit by play 33, then I'll send BTJ a pizza-coupon.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-07-17, 12:23 AM

Here's play #1:

706 NBA Cleveland Cavs (+3.5). 110 to win 100.

Not soccer, but doesn't matter. Soccer Forum is home base.

Just not buying the line. Public opinion swung too fast on this one. Just listen to the average putz, 10 days ago vs Today. "Close series" to "It's over".

Side benefit = chance to Fade JJGold.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-07-17, 12:29 AM

We try to fill the contract on 1st play. Go, Cavs!

The "elevator-man" Larry Nance might be too much.

**BeatTheJerk** · 06-07-17, 05:02 PM

Hey CTG I like this angle, but if I was currently betting I could not bet against the Warriors right now & the line pretty much tells you to ride Golden State. I have no clue what may prevail I'm not in the mind frame of a gambler. GL & I do hope you cash CTG you're a quality capper but most important your a selective bettor ! Money management 101 as well ...

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-07-17, 08:35 PM

Thx, BTJ. Digest this line:

I could not bet against the Warriors right now

Now...I KNOW we're on the right side!

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-07-17, 10:47 PM

BTJ, this one stings. What an embarrassing closeout. 11-0 run to finish.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-07-17, 10:48 PM

(1 play), 0-1. -110...on 110 risked.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-07-17, 10:53 PM

Play #2. World Cup U20 (semifinal). (90min) Venezuela pk (+100). 100 to win 100.

...Feel like Venezuela has been the team of the tournament. They'll be tough to beat here.

Feel like they were a little unlucky last out. Battered USA and had goal disallowed.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-08-17, 10:08 AM

Plays 3/4: WC Qualifiers - CONCACAF

* COSTA RICA -1 (+104). 100 to win 104.

* MEXICO -1.5 (-132). 132 TO win 100.

**BeatTheJerk** · 06-08-17, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

BTJ, this one stings. What an embarrassing closeout. 11-0 run to finish.

That's exactly what they did 3 out of the 4 quarters throughout that game. They finished with like a 28-6 run total 1st, 2nd, & 4th. That's a guesstimate not an accurate figure.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-08-17, 12:06 PM

Slightly modifying one bet-size:

Plays 3/4: WC Qualifiers - CONCACAF

* COSTA RICA -1 (+104). 100 to win 104.

...Changing it to 106 to win 110. If we go 2-0 today, that would get balance to +100.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-08-17, 05:30 PM

Good luck, boys. I like these plays. Hope we get there. If not, will have to work my way out of the hole.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-08-17, 05:33 PM

BTJ, that's a fair observation. Cleveland mostly played energized + pretty well.

Your note does indicate that they were outmanned. Fatigue legitimately an issue in this game.

In that sense, fair to say that they Lost and that it really wasn't a Bad Beat. But, man, looked so good late-on. +3.5 had to be trading at -1000 in-game.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-08-17, 11:19 PM

1-1 day.

ytd: (4 plays), -116...on 448 risked. Back to drawing-board.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-08-17, 11:42 PM

Play #5. Aussie Rules FB (AFL). HAWTHORN -8.5. 110 to win 100.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-09-17, 02:15 AM

Plays #6-10. Soccer: Euro WC Qualifiers (5 plays):

* Belarus -.5 (2.56). 100 to win 156.
* Andorra +2.5 (-115). 58 to win 50.
* Latvia +2.5 (-107). 140 to win 131.
* Estonia +2.25 (-108). 108 to win 100.
* Cyprus -2 (-122). 122 to win 100.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-09-17, 05:22 PM

Play #11: NBA (gm4) 708 Cleveland Cavs +6 (-111). 135 to win 122.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-09-17, 05:24 PM

Garbage showing on the Euro plays. Wish I would have had piece of Andorra moneyline. 22/1!

Day: -6...on 537 risked
ytd: -122...on 985 risked (2 plays pending)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-09-17, 11:17 PM

Cavs win. That gets us to break-even.

These Hawthorn pricks better get moving.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-10-17, 01:56 AM

Hawthorn loser.

Ytd: -110...on 1217 risked.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-10-17, 01:57 AM

Some Soccer plays for early Saturday. African Cup of Nations qualifiers:

* Cameroon -.5 (-108). 81 to win 75.
* Niger -.5 (-105). 126 to win 120.
* Niger/Swaziland: Over 1.75 (-105). 126 to win 120.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-10-17, 11:59 AM

Chasing again. I'm a hamburger.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-10-17, 12:20 PM

Two more Euro plays. Plays #15/16:

* San Marino +7.25 (+112). 100 to win 112.
* Norway -.5 (+222). 100 to win 222.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-10-17, 03:55 PM

I'm a hamburger:

* Norway draws. Battered the Czechs but couldn't get 2nd goal.

Euro: -44...on 200 risked.
ytd: -331...on 1750 Risked. Running up the national debt.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-10-17, 10:46 PM

Play 17. World Cup Qualifying (OFC). New Caledonia -.5 (+104). 100 to win 104.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-10-17, 11:42 PM

Plays 18-20. African Cup of Nations - Qualifiers

* Zimbabwe -1 (-119). 119 to win 100.
* Central Africa -0.5 (-108). 108 to win 100.
* Ghana -2 (-125). 80 to win 64.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 02:52 AM

Plays 21/22. African Totals for Sunday:

* Ghana/Ethiopia. UNDER 3 (-101). 101 to win 100.
* Tunisia/Egypt. OVER 2 (-103). 103 to win 100.
...Egypt plays some pretty wide-open games.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 03:19 AM

Play #23. World Cup U20 (Final). Playing Venezuela U20. Splitting my risk like this:
* (90min) +.5 (-122). 122 to win 100.
* (90min) -.5 (3.90). 30 to win 87.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 03:20 AM

We did win on New Cal:

* ytd: (17 plays) -227...on 1850 Risked.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 03:59 AM

Play #24. WC Qual (CONCACAF):

* MEXICO -1 (+105). 100 to win 105.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 04:09 AM

Plays #25/26. WC Qual (CONCACAF):

* PANAMA -0.5 (-111). 111 TO win 100.
* COSTA RICA -1.75 (-109). 109 to win 100.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 04:29 AM

Plays #27. WC Qual (Euro):

* Liechtenstein +4.5 (+111). 100 to win 111.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 04:40 AM

Plays #28. WC Qual (Euro):

* Wales -.5 (+510). 50 to win 255.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-11-17, 07:59 AM

Venez misses a PK, then loses 1-0. Plz jump in front...of a fkin truck.