Swarm Intelligence to predict Euro 2016

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  • nick2060
    SBR MVP
    • 10-28-08
    • 1051

    #1
    Swarm Intelligence to predict Euro 2016
    Hey guys,

    Not sure how many of you are aware of swarm intelligence but it's recently been used to predict the results of some sporting events such as the kentucky derby, and NHL Playoffs. So my question is, why aren't we all using this to predict the eurocup results and make some money!

    I'm sure most of you are not entirely sure what swarm intelligence is so have a look at this article for some added context - http://unanimous.ai/unu-superfecta-11k/

    If you already know what it is, then fantastic. As far as euro 2016 predictions, a small group of us have already been making predictions everyday in this swarm room http://go.unu.ai/unums/1334

    We'd love to have as many of you come to the room and make predictions with us since a larger group will in theory yield more accurate results - and frankly it's more fun that way. We're currently making predictions at 7am Eastern Standard time/11am GMT.

    Hope to see you all there for tomorrows games! Let me know if you have any questions.
  • cer
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-06-15
    • 397

    #2
    I want to try it. Can I get password?
    Thanks

    Originally posted by nick2060
    Hey guys,

    Not sure how many of you are aware of swarm intelligence but it's recently been used to predict the results of some sporting events such as the kentucky derby, and NHL Playoffs. So my question is, why aren't we all using this to predict the eurocup results and make some money!

    I'm sure most of you are not entirely sure what swarm intelligence is so have a look at this article for some added context - http://unanimous.ai/unu-superfecta-11k/

    If you already know what it is, then fantastic. As far as euro 2016 predictions, a small group of us have already been making predictions everyday in this swarm room http://go.unu.ai/unums/1334

    We'd love to have as many of you come to the room and make predictions with us since a larger group will in theory yield more accurate results - and frankly it's more fun that way. We're currently making predictions at 7am Eastern Standard time/11am GMT.

    Hope to see you all there for tomorrows games! Let me know if you have any questions.
    Comment
    • nick2060
      SBR MVP
      • 10-28-08
      • 1051

      #3
      There is no password on the room - the password screen just appears when the room is not active. It's only going to be active like 10 minutes before 7am EST until shortly after we're done picks. If you enter the room at those times there will not be a password prompt.

      Unfortunately as far as the euro 2016 room goes, you won't be able to try it until we pick tomorrow. Hope to see you there!
      Comment
      • smb26
        SBR High Roller
        • 06-05-14
        • 136

        #4
        I will check it today
        Comment
        • nick2060
          SBR MVP
          • 10-28-08
          • 1051

          #5
          Well I guess i'll share the results from today in case anybody is interested:

          • Russia vs. Slovakia

          Winner? Prediction: Draw Group size: 14 Brainpower* : 48%
          Over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals? Prediction: Under 2.5 Group size: 15 Brainpower: 100%
          Will both teams manage to score? Prediction: Yes Group size: 14 Brainpower: 100%
          Double chance - winner? Prediction: Russia or Draw Group size: 13 Brainpower: 100%
          First team to score? Prediction: Russia Group size: 13 Brainpower: 100%
          • Romania vs. Switzerland

          Winner? Prediction: Switzerland Group size: 14 Brainpower* : 45%
          Over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals? Prediction: Under 2.5 Group size: 11 Brainpower: 100%
          Will both teams manage to score? Prediction: No Group size: 10 Brainpower: 100%
          Double chance - winner? Prediction: Switzerland or Draw Group size: 11 Brainpower: 100%
          First team to score? Prediction: Switzerland Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100%
          • France vs. Albania

          Winner? Prediction: France Group size: 12 Brainpower* : 100%
          Over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals? Prediction: Over 2.5 Group size: 13 Brainpower: 100%
          Will both teams manage to score? Prediction: No Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100%
          Double chance - winner? Prediction: France or Draw Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100%
          First team to score? Prediction: France Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100%
          • Brainpower: this percentage shows how quickly the group made a decision. The higher the percentage the quicker the group was.
          Comment
          • -FlawlessKid
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-14-15
            • 151

            #6
            Like this thread, will try to participate next time. Thanks for sharing the results.
            Comment
            • Wonderbox
              SBR Rookie
              • 08-31-15
              • 33

              #7
              Russia games was a brutal 1-4 ! Hope ya do better on the next ones
              Comment
              • nick2060
                SBR MVP
                • 10-28-08
                • 1051

                #8
                From what i've read you're supposed to have 20 people participating for accurate results. Not trying to make excuses but i'm hoping we can get 20 or more people soon so we can gauge whether the record gets any better.
                Comment
                • lonnloe
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-26-16
                  • 254

                  #9
                  How did we do?
                  Comment
                  • cryptocap
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-04-14
                    • 1528

                    #10
                    ill stick with my mind of one and make the profits lol
                    Comment
                    • nick2060
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-28-08
                      • 1051

                      #11
                      New swarm starting in 15 minutes!

                      Yesterdays results were not good at all but again, 20 people or more are recommended for good results so hopefully we can get that today. Will work on a spreadsheet later this week to show all the results!
                      Comment
                      • bystrow
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-08-13
                        • 107

                        #12
                        I'm in today. Curios if it even works for soccer.
                        NVM
                        Comment
                        • Stackzilla
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-26-15
                          • 3372

                          #13
                          password??
                          Comment
                          • nick2060
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-28-08
                            • 1051

                            #14
                            So today we decided to turn off being able to see who other people are going for which is how it should've been done the whole time according to the research. Will be interesting to see what kind of difference it makes if any. Also worth noting that while I haven't compiled a spreadsheet the percentage of picks we've got right is actually pretty good to this point. Should be noted though that we aren't factoring the odds in picks, so many of the picks we've gotten right could have been very bad odds.

                            Anyways todays picks were:

                            16-Jun

                            • England vs. Wales

                            Winner? Prediction: Draw Group size: 17 Brainpower* : 68% - LOSS
                            Over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals? Prediction: Under 2.5 Group size: 15 Brainpower: 98% - LOSS
                            Will both teams manage to score? Prediction: Yes Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100% - WIN
                            Double chance - winner? Prediction: England or Draw Group size: 17 Brainpower: 66% - WIN
                            First team to score? Prediction: England Group size: 14 Brainpower: 100% - LOSS

                            • Ukraine vs. North Ireland

                            Winner? Prediction: Ukraine Group size: 13 Brainpower* : 100% - LOSS
                            Over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals? Prediction: Under 2.5 Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100% - WIN
                            Will both teams manage to score? Prediction: No Group size: 11 Brainpower: 100% - WIN
                            Double chance - winner? Prediction: Ukraine or Draw Group size: 10 Brainpower: 100% - LOSE
                            First team to score? Prediction: Ukraine Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100% - LOSE

                            • Germany vs. Poland

                            Winner? Prediction: Germany Group size: 12 Brainpower* : 100%
                            Over 2.5 or under 2.5 goals? Prediction: Over 2.5 Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100%
                            Will both teams manage to score? Prediction: Yes Group size: 13 Brainpower: 100%
                            Double chance - winner? Prediction: Germany or Draw Group size: 13 Brainpower: 100%
                            First team to score? Prediction: Germany Group size: 12 Brainpower: 100%
                            Comment
                            • nick2060
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-28-08
                              • 1051

                              #15
                              The room is now open for business! The record yesterday was dreadful but i'd still like to see what happens once we get the participation numbers up so feel free to come and participate. There's still a lot of tournament left!

                              Comment
                              • nick2060
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-28-08
                                • 1051

                                #16
                                So a solid announcement for today:

                                Since most people on these forums are North American we thought it'd be a good idea to hold a room at 7pm nightly to predict the next days results. We'll still be running the 7am room in the morning, so we're thinking of it as a European Room, and a North American room.

                                Hope to see you all there today at 7pm to predict tomorrows games - http://go.unu.ai/unums/1379
                                Comment
                                • Igor_1965
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-18-15
                                  • 2632

                                  #17
                                  Let's make a competition. Brainpower against me.


                                  I will flip a coin and I will do better 50% of the time.
                                  Comment
                                  • caddy42
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-10-14
                                    • 109

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • Igor_1965
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-18-15
                                      • 2632

                                      #19
                                      any luck? you posting a YTD?
                                      Comment
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