Let's take a look to see if there are any value in these road dogs:
5/9 BAYERN v. Augsberg (+563... draw +324)
5/9 BARCELONA v. Sociedad (+4144... draw +1875)
5/9 REAL MADRID v. Valencia (+664... draw +433)
5/9 JUVENTUS v. Cagliari (+577... draw +321)
Freak results tend to happen @ the end of the season anyway, and all four of these teams are huge weekend home favorites sandwiched between much more important and high-pressure midweek games.
- I find it hard to see Bayern losing a fourth consecutive match.
- Barcelona is so scorching hot right now that it'd be hard to back them to slip up, but at those odds...
- Valencia picked up a league draw in Madrid last season... best opponent of the four by far.
- Juventus has won the league and Cagliari need points desperately...
At a cursory glance, Valencia and Cagliari might be worth some consideration. What do you think?
Tomorrow when I have more time I'm going to try to track back the last few years of similar data to see how semifinalists have been doing in those in-between league fixtures.
5/9 BAYERN v. Augsberg (+563... draw +324)
5/9 BARCELONA v. Sociedad (+4144... draw +1875)
5/9 REAL MADRID v. Valencia (+664... draw +433)
5/9 JUVENTUS v. Cagliari (+577... draw +321)
Freak results tend to happen @ the end of the season anyway, and all four of these teams are huge weekend home favorites sandwiched between much more important and high-pressure midweek games.
- I find it hard to see Bayern losing a fourth consecutive match.
- Barcelona is so scorching hot right now that it'd be hard to back them to slip up, but at those odds...
- Valencia picked up a league draw in Madrid last season... best opponent of the four by far.
- Juventus has won the league and Cagliari need points desperately...
At a cursory glance, Valencia and Cagliari might be worth some consideration. What do you think?
Tomorrow when I have more time I'm going to try to track back the last few years of similar data to see how semifinalists have been doing in those in-between league fixtures.

