Norway NM Cup Round of 64..Play some draws!!

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    Norway NM Cup Round of 64..Play some draws!!
    28 games Wed and 4 on Thur. Only one single big upset in round (Floya at +550)...Big clubs still all playing on the road to the div 3 and 4 teams that won(and some 2)...

    Past 3 years the trend seems to be 2nd round draws seem to be profitable not surprising as more underdogs push the big clubs but fall short in extra time.Years before that, it was not the norm.

    2014(11/32) 8 draws over +300.
    2013(9/32)..6 over +300 and 2 +400 or more.
    2012(7/32)..all over +300

    So a suggestion would be to play some round robins with draws. With 2's possibly. Which ones to filter out is the question Well the odds are out for the games and here is the link.http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/norway/nm-cup/

    So looking at the past three years..Take off any crazy high draws..say +800 or above(a big clubs hardly ever lose in this cup in first two rounds or draw for that matter)Which eliminates 7-8 games..Then take out the pick em games..under +300..takes off about 5 depending on your book.So leaves you around 19-21 games to bet on your round robins. Take four 5 team round robins with 2's and if you are REALLY BALLSY take 4 five teamers with 3's...and tell your wife the mortgage is paid for next month.

    Thoughts or input welcomed..
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    So according to the odds and what I posted before..here are you games to group the draws in RR parlays..Now which ones in which parlays is up to you ..good luck!!

    Home teams listed

    Arendal +362
    Bysaen +388
    Eidsvold +571
    Fana +367
    Fram +368
    Flyngsdalin +458
    Gviok lyn +673
    Ham Kam +305
    K oslo +367
    Kjelas +604
    Orn +490
    Rodde +333
    Sola +379
    Stridheim +458
    V.haugeslund +395
    Vindjabart +376
    Tromsdalen +368
    Comment
    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #3
      Looks like Bovada has betting on all the totals!

      Over past years..the closer the odds..the less the goals on average...
      Comment
      • whareouttogetme
        SBR MVP
        • 09-26-10
        • 2721

        #4
        I didn't bet since I lost in the first round betting overs

        How did it go for you?
        Comment
        • dreamlanding
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-22-11
          • 316

          #5
          Just to report in... I followed beefcake's advice as a test... Played all draws between +300 and +800 as round robin two team parlays at $0.50 each. 17 games, 136 total parlays for a stake of $68.

          Came out in the neighborhood of +$300 return. I believe 7 of the 17 drew.

          Thanks for the profitable experiment idea, beefcake.
          Comment
          • beefcake
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-26-09
            • 14029

            #6
            Your welcome. I did pretty well as well. 8 draws out of 28 games with 5 in the range. Also many unders with this price being low..most of those games around 3.5..about 9 out of 15 there.

            Don't forget the four upsets which I kind of figured were due.

            4 games tommorw.but 3 out of 4 are HUGE dogs.
            Comment
            • beefcake
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-26-09
              • 14029

              #7
              6-11 on posted draws..Big money no whammies!!
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                Might as well try this again...I will hopefully post which ones today later or tomorrow
                Comment
                • beefcake
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 14029

                  #9
                  here you go...play these..

                  Asker
                  Baerum
                  Brattvag
                  Egersunds
                  Elverum
                  Fram
                  Gjovik-lyn
                  Honefoss
                  Kjeleas
                  Lyslekolster
                  Mjolner
                  Moss
                  nardo
                  stjordals blink
                  Stromen
                  vidar
                  Vindbjart
                  Forde
                  halden
                  Tromsladen
                  varegg

                  Varegg,mjolner, kind of on the cut off line..so leave those out if you want..gives you 19 to make 4-5 Round robins..who you take is up to you on each one.
                  Comment
                  • swordsandtequila
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-23-12
                    • 9757

                    #10


                    Comment
                    • cer
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-06-15
                      • 397

                      #11
                      I will try it, thanks
                      Comment
                      • beefcake
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 14029

                        #12
                        Only three. bummer.Still five games today.But two were on the list so not a comp!ete disaster.
                        Comment
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