Soccer betting

LFC1892 · 06-11-15, 02:10 PM

Nothing interesting for a big stake bet. Brazil outplayed Uruguay but coudn't score in regular time unfortunately. The only good game was Singapore but I missed it. Cambodia played with their B team.

I fancy Both to score-@2.00 in Spain-Costa Rica with 100$. Costa Rica will be eager to put up a strong challenge against Spain. Paulo Wanchope put out a weak team against Colombia but they should be in full strenght for this game.

LFC1892 · 06-12-15, 03:37 AM

2-1 for Spain. I created one simple system on excel based on 1x2 market. Backtested 10 games and had 7 winners. This means shit though considering that I checked only 10 games.

Woden Volley-Cooma-Cooma-@1.50
Stake: 200$

Wooden Volley-Cooma-Cooma -1ah-@1.90
Stake: 100$

LFC1892 · 06-12-15, 05:28 AM

Logon Lightning-Ipswich Knights-Ipswich Knights +1ah-@1.87
Stake: 100$

LFC1892 · 06-12-15, 09:50 AM

Both Australian games in the bag

I might have one big stake bet later...

BK-46-Kaapo-BK-46-@1.45
Stake: 150$

MuSa-Abo-Abo +0.5ah-@1.83
Stake: 100$

Kazakhstan-Turkey-Turkey -1ah-@1.79
Stake: 200$

LFC1892 · 06-12-15, 01:21 PM

Wales-Belgium-Wales +0.5 ah-@1.943
Stake: 150$

Iceland-Czech Republic-2/3 Total Goals-@1.95
Stake: 100$

Bosnia-Israel-Bosnia-@1.60
Stake: 600$

Reason: A must win situation for Bosnia. The impact of their new coach was eveident in the last two games against Andorra and Austria. All key players are back and most players are in form. Israel miss their best striker and they will park the bus and fight for draw here but their defensive skills are not good. The players are coming after their vacations cause the Israeli league ended a few weeks ago.

LFC1892 · 06-12-15, 04:00 PM

A clean sweep

SOCCER Update Record: 104-71-10
P/L: +13 371.35 $

adila1401 · 06-12-15, 04:45 PM

Very Nice LFC..Keep it up buddy!! BOL!

LFC1892 · 06-12-15, 05:05 PM

Cheers mate. I have to work for a couple of hours now but according to my estimations Sampaiao Correa have around 75% to win against Criciuma. I'm on them with 150 at @1.76. It's definitely worth a shot.

adila1401 · 06-12-15, 07:43 PM

Sampaiao Correa showed up late 1st half and never looked back!

framero · 06-12-15, 08:15 PM

Originally posted by LFC1892

A clean sweep

SOCCER Update Record: 104-71-10
P/L: +13 371.35 $

I can not get your picks on time bro, here comes the weekend I'll b home and I'll b keeping eye on you BOL

LFC1892 · 06-13-15, 01:13 AM

Cheers adilla. Bol framero.

Yanbian-Wuhan Zall-Wuhan Zall +0.5ah-@1.70- I took it @1.70 it just dropped to @1.60. Again according to my estimations around 75% in favour of Wuhan Zalll
Stake: 200$

LFC1892 · 06-13-15, 06:05 AM

Finland U21-Sweden U21-Sweden U21-@1.61
Stake: 150$

Malawi-Zimbabwe-Malawi-@1.60
Stake: 200$

k0karn · 06-13-15, 07:12 AM

Originally posted by LFC1892

Finland U21-Sweden U21-Sweden U21-@1.61
Stake: 150$

Odds shot up from 1.53 to 1.95 after 8 minutes, that's pretty fecked up.

LFC1892 · 06-13-15, 09:55 AM

Both games are from my new system. I wrote about it yday and still it has 60-65% win rate. One of the criteria is based on the range of opening-closing odds and any drastic movement can turn the pick. That was the case here.

Plenty of games later so there must be something interesting and why not a big stake bet again ( 75%+ win rate there).

LFC1892 · 06-13-15, 10:50 AM

Albania-France-France -1ah-@1.90
Stake: 600$

Reason: France starting with Giroud Griezmann and Lacazette. They can easily score at least 3 goals here. Lacazette will try to impress again and a lot of clubs will be watching him. Albania play ugly football with a lot of fouls but this is a friendly so I doubt they will use their main weapon so efficiently. According to my new system: 0%-40%-60% estimation.

LFC1892 · 06-13-15, 12:24 PM

France

30 min for this retarted pussies to turn the game.

2 shots for 70 min France is not playing seriously. I feel prety stupid betting on this trash friendlies. Still hope for a miracle and 1-2.

smithah2 · 06-13-15, 02:07 PM

Looking forward to what you've got rest of the day. Cheers buddy

adila1401 · 06-13-15, 02:09 PM

Ya that France game was brutal...no way they should be losing to that team...friendly or not

LFC1892 · 06-14-15, 10:58 AM

This new system is taking my whole time. I was only backtesting after the friendly so I didn't post.

Egypt-Tanzania-Over 2.5-@1.68
Stake: 300$

Egypt-Tanzania-Over 3-@2.17
Stake: 150$

Sudan-Sierra Leone-Sierra Leone +0.5ah-@2.09
Stake: 100$

LFC1892 · 06-14-15, 05:00 PM

Saint Lucia-Antigua and Barbuda-Over 2.5-@1.85
Stake: 250$

Blackballer · 06-14-15, 05:13 PM

Think France's new combination up front with Lacazette had something to do with France's struggle to generate goal chances.
I had France at well and was stunned after I saw the end result.

framero · 06-14-15, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by LFC1892

Saint Lucia-Antigua and Barbuda-Over 2.5-@1.85
Stake: 250$

Finally got one of your picks bro, nice done

smithah2 · 06-14-15, 11:01 PM

LFC1892 · 06-15-15, 03:45 AM

Cheers.

Let's see if the new system is worth or not.

Daeugu-Ansan Police-Ansan Police 0ah-@2.23
Stake: 100$

Daeugu-Ansan Police-Ansan Police +0.5ah-@1.61
Staek: 100$

LFC1892 · 06-15-15, 07:56 AM

Better stick to my usual methods and leave the new system now.

jontebond · 06-15-15, 08:01 AM

Originally posted by LFC1892

Better stick to my usual methods and leave the new system now.

What system are you trying?

LFC1892 · 06-15-15, 08:10 AM

Originally posted by jontebond

What system are you trying?

Based on a few criteria. The main one is based on odds movement. But it's 5-9- the games I posted here. There is obviously some problem I can't find out. Maybe some of the criteria are redundant.

smithah2 · 06-15-15, 09:26 AM

yeah i miss your over bets.

LFC1892 · 06-15-15, 01:05 PM

Ok let's get it.

Montenegro U21-Moldova U21- 2/3 Total Goals-@1.95
Stake: 200$

Montenegro U21-Moldova U21- Both teams to score-@2.10
Stake: 200$

Sheer Gambling · 06-15-15, 01:29 PM

my book doesnt have this line. You think the rain will not have any effect?
locked BTTS

Originally posted by LFC1892

Ok let's get it.

Montenegro U21-Moldova U21- 2/3 Total Goals-@1.95
Stake: 200$

Montenegro U21-Moldova U21- Both teams to score-@2.10
Stake: 200$

Raven66 · 06-15-15, 02:04 PM

#1 Rule..............Don't Bet Friendlies.

smithah2 · 06-15-15, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by Raven66

#1 Rule..............Don't Bet Friendlies.

What are you talking about, he's not betting on a friendly

Raven66 · 06-15-15, 03:56 PM

I`m talking about in general

LFC1892 · 06-15-15, 06:04 PM

Sorry about this one. Moldova 0 shots in 90 minutes which is pretty strange if you ask me. Bad last days for me but at this stage of the year it's hard to focus and analyse well. I will just try to keep it simple and do what I did before. Reasoning, information, observations...

Chile-Mexico-Under 2.5-@1.65
Stake: 300$

Reason: Both teams have some great players in attack but their defense is pretty underrated. Mexico did well against Bolivia which is apparently a good side considering they lead 1-3 against Ecuador. On the other hand Chile struggled to finish and create clear cut chances against Ecuador. I expect a close game here and probably a tight win for Chile.

Atl Tucuman-Union Mar Del Plata-Atl Tucuman -1ah-@1.83
Stake: 250$

Reason: We usually don't see a lot of goals in this league and most teams don't win with more than a goal. However the gap between these two teams is huge and I expect an easy home win. Union will be in the relegation battle and they will count on their home games to survive. They just can't play away and it's not a surpise they have the worst defense in the league. If they try to play open they will be punished because Atletico have some fast forwards. They will try to park the bus here but they lack the proper organisation. Atletico have the momentum and the home advantage as well. It will be a shock if they don't win this game.

LFC1892 · 06-16-15, 08:02 AM

SOCCER Update Record: 107-82-11
P/L: +11 601.85 $