Experient: 200 consecutive bets @1.01 Betfair odds

[rankslash]

I'm thinking of starting one of those journey threads. I know it will be unlikely to hit 200 times in a row but still I will try. The hardest part will be to find value picks. I'll target football/soccer LIVE bets that are 1.01 at Betfair and around 1.005-1.007 on other books.

[DCTrue]

...

[rankslash]

...

I get what you are saying bro and i'm aware of that. However that example is at 1.06 on Betfair. The bets I'll target are the ones LIVE at 1.01 around 80th min.
Example: Boca Juniors vs Rosario 2-0 80th min ... Boca ML @1.01 to hold 10 min a two goal advantage at home vs a weaker team.

[rankslash]

Also I decided that there will be no betting on FRIENDLY games both - club or international.

[DCTrue]

I get what you are saying bro and i'm aware of that. However that example is at 1.06 on Betfair. The bets I'll target are the ones LIVE at 1.01 around 80th min.
Example: Boca Juniors vs Rosario 2-0 80th min ... Boca ML @1.01 to hold 10 min a two goal advantage at home vs a weaker team.

Had that uploaded to another thread yesterday. It seemed to fit this theme too so... here it is.

Do you have a bankroll for this?

[rankslash]

Had that uploaded to another thread yesterday. It seemed to fit this theme too so... here it is.

Do you have a bankroll for this?

Of course I do.
I want to try my luck. I'm not saying it will be a successful journey.

[DCTrue]

With all due respect, I wouldn't try it, but if that's what you want to do, let us know how it goes

[juanquintero]

You are going all in every game right?

[rankslash]

You are going all in every game right?

Yes. It's an option to bet a flat amount for a 1 % interest, but I think I'll try with the all-in bets.

[canadabetting]

so give us the low down... whats the starting number? and what game are you starting with

[rankslash]

so give us the low down... whats the starting number? and what game are you starting with

Will start with 200 Eur.. trying to make it 1500.

[Rudeboy]

oh dear....

[rankslash]

All right guys, you don't like the idea. I guess I'll try something else. Just wanted to see your opinion.

[DCTrue]

I guess I'll try something else.

[DCTrue]

It's not that it wouldn't be "interesting", but risking 200Euros on a strategy like this seems too much. Putting yourself into a position where you risk your whole strategy bankroll on a single bet is always a bad idea...

You will feel sorry for the money if you lose them, you're not a millionaire. Let's say that you find many teams that are favorites and are 2-0 up in the 80th minute. Not long will pass and from time to time at these games the underdog will eventually score and make it 2-1, lets say in 85th minute. You will then be staying with your eyes wide open for the last 5+3 minutes and your money on the edge. And the underdog will surely be attacking with the whole team in all this time. You will be risking not only those 200Euros but also the money you've won until then and all the time and effort you put into this.

[DCTrue]

I know they didn't come back in the last 10 minutes, but it took me just 3 minutes to find something that resembles quite close to your worst nightmare when using such a plan

[DCTrue]

Yes I know Boca are favorites

[rankslash]

It's not that it wouldn't be "interesting", but risking 200Euros on a strategy like this seems too much. Putting yourself into a position where you risk your whole strategy bankroll on a single bet is always a bad idea...

You will feel sorry for the money if you lose them, you're not a millionaire. Let's say that you find many teams that are favorites and are 2-0 up in the 80th minute. Not long will pass and from time to time at these games the underdog will eventually score and make it 2-1, lets say in 85th minute. You will then be staying with your eyes wide open for the last 5+3 minutes and your money on the edge. And the underdog will surely be attacking with the whole team in all this time. You will be risking not only those 200Euros but also the money you've won until then and all the time and effort you put into this.

You're right. I guess it's not worth it.

[DCTrue]

This one's a beauty... two goals in minutes 90+6 and 90+10...

[rankslash]

I know they didn't come back in the last 10 minutes, but it took me just 3 minutes to find something that resembles quite close to your worst nightmare when using such a plan

The second one is definitely not at 1.01. Boca are way better than Lanus. The first one is close but odds around 55th min will be around 1.09-1.10.
Either way, I get what you are saying and I agree with you. I will probably start a standard thread for my picks as in the past.

[DCTrue]

...And crème de la crème, your worst nightmare for this strategy:

[DCTrue]

Anyway, you do what you want. It's your money. Just stating my point of view.

[DCTrue]

Quilmes were favorites there by the way. They had -0.25 @ 1.90 around the time that the game started.

[rankslash]

Yes, I got it. Thank you for your time and research bro.

[DCTrue]

Yes, I got it. Thank you for your time and research bro.

No problem. Have a nice day.

[Rudeboy]

DC is good ppls

[DCTrue]

Gl with the rest of the season Rudeboy! Those hockey tips were +EV

[Rudeboy]

Gl with the rest of the season Rudeboy! Those hockey tips were +EV

Thanks bud you too, cheers for the points.

+ev this guy gets it

[DCTrue]

Had some small stakes for this Monday morning game for 0-2 correct score on away team and checked the score. It didn't go 0-2, but .... nice coincidence

[Swagattack23]

maybe u can do this but avoid specific leagues were its very popular to score late gials... pick the right games and right teams and maybe iver a couple minths u get to ur goal .. ur not gonna make 1500 in a week or in a month but over time you could possibly accomplish it if u take the right games