Experient: 200 consecutive bets @1.01 Betfair odds

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  • rankslash
    SBR MVP
    • 07-29-13
    • 1562

    #1
    Experient: 200 consecutive bets @1.01 Betfair odds
    I'm thinking of starting one of those journey threads. I know it will be unlikely to hit 200 times in a row but still I will try. The hardest part will be to find value picks. I'll target football/soccer LIVE bets that are 1.01 at Betfair and around 1.005-1.007 on other books.
  • DCTrue
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-18-14
    • 836

    #2
    ...
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    • rankslash
      SBR MVP
      • 07-29-13
      • 1562

      #3
      Originally posted by DCTrue
      ...
      I get what you are saying bro and i'm aware of that. However that example is at 1.06 on Betfair. The bets I'll target are the ones LIVE at 1.01 around 80th min.
      Example: Boca Juniors vs Rosario 2-0 80th min ... Boca ML @1.01 to hold 10 min a two goal advantage at home vs a weaker team.
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      • rankslash
        SBR MVP
        • 07-29-13
        • 1562

        #4
        Also I decided that there will be no betting on FRIENDLY games both - club or international.
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        • DCTrue
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-18-14
          • 836

          #5
          Originally posted by rankslash
          I get what you are saying bro and i'm aware of that. However that example is at 1.06 on Betfair. The bets I'll target are the ones LIVE at 1.01 around 80th min.
          Example: Boca Juniors vs Rosario 2-0 80th min ... Boca ML @1.01 to hold 10 min a two goal advantage at home vs a weaker team.
          Had that uploaded to another thread yesterday. It seemed to fit this theme too so... here it is.

          Do you have a bankroll for this?
          Comment
          • rankslash
            SBR MVP
            • 07-29-13
            • 1562

            #6
            Originally posted by DCTrue
            Had that uploaded to another thread yesterday. It seemed to fit this theme too so... here it is.

            Do you have a bankroll for this?
            Of course I do.
            I want to try my luck. I'm not saying it will be a successful journey.
            Comment
            • DCTrue
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-18-14
              • 836

              #7
              With all due respect, I wouldn't try it, but if that's what you want to do, let us know how it goes
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              • juanquintero
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-29-14
                • 222

                #8
                You are going all in every game right?
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                • rankslash
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-29-13
                  • 1562

                  #9
                  Originally posted by juanquintero
                  You are going all in every game right?
                  Yes. It's an option to bet a flat amount for a 1 % interest, but I think I'll try with the all-in bets.
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                  • canadabetting
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-23-13
                    • 308

                    #10
                    so give us the low down... whats the starting number? and what game are you starting with
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                    • rankslash
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-29-13
                      • 1562

                      #11
                      Originally posted by canadabetting
                      so give us the low down... whats the starting number? and what game are you starting with
                      Will start with 200 Eur.. trying to make it 1500.
                      Comment
                      • Rudeboy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-15-14
                        • 5725

                        #12
                        oh dear....
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                        • rankslash
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-29-13
                          • 1562

                          #13
                          All right guys, you don't like the idea. I guess I'll try something else. Just wanted to see your opinion.
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                          • DCTrue
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-18-14
                            • 836

                            #14
                            Originally posted by rankslash
                            I guess I'll try something else.
                            Comment
                            • DCTrue
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-18-14
                              • 836

                              #15
                              It's not that it wouldn't be "interesting", but risking 200Euros on a strategy like this seems too much. Putting yourself into a position where you risk your whole strategy bankroll on a single bet is always a bad idea...

                              You will feel sorry for the money if you lose them, you're not a millionaire. Let's say that you find many teams that are favorites and are 2-0 up in the 80th minute. Not long will pass and from time to time at these games the underdog will eventually score and make it 2-1, lets say in 85th minute. You will then be staying with your eyes wide open for the last 5+3 minutes and your money on the edge. And the underdog will surely be attacking with the whole team in all this time. You will be risking not only those 200Euros but also the money you've won until then and all the time and effort you put into this.
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                              • DCTrue
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-18-14
                                • 836

                                #16
                                I know they didn't come back in the last 10 minutes, but it took me just 3 minutes to find something that resembles quite close to your worst nightmare when using such a plan
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                                • DCTrue
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-18-14
                                  • 836

                                  #17
                                  Yes I know Boca are favorites
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                                  • rankslash
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-29-13
                                    • 1562

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DCTrue
                                    It's not that it wouldn't be "interesting", but risking 200Euros on a strategy like this seems too much. Putting yourself into a position where you risk your whole strategy bankroll on a single bet is always a bad idea...

                                    You will feel sorry for the money if you lose them, you're not a millionaire. Let's say that you find many teams that are favorites and are 2-0 up in the 80th minute. Not long will pass and from time to time at these games the underdog will eventually score and make it 2-1, lets say in 85th minute. You will then be staying with your eyes wide open for the last 5+3 minutes and your money on the edge. And the underdog will surely be attacking with the whole team in all this time. You will be risking not only those 200Euros but also the money you've won until then and all the time and effort you put into this.
                                    You're right. I guess it's not worth it.
                                    Comment
                                    • DCTrue
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-18-14
                                      • 836

                                      #19
                                      This one's a beauty... two goals in minutes 90+6 and 90+10...
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                                      • rankslash
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-29-13
                                        • 1562

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by DCTrue
                                        I know they didn't come back in the last 10 minutes, but it took me just 3 minutes to find something that resembles quite close to your worst nightmare when using such a plan
                                        The second one is definitely not at 1.01. Boca are way better than Lanus. The first one is close but odds around 55th min will be around 1.09-1.10.
                                        Either way, I get what you are saying and I agree with you. I will probably start a standard thread for my picks as in the past.
                                        Comment
                                        • DCTrue
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-18-14
                                          • 836

                                          #21
                                          ...And crème de la crème, your worst nightmare for this strategy:
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                                          • DCTrue
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-18-14
                                            • 836

                                            #22
                                            Anyway, you do what you want. It's your money. Just stating my point of view.
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                                            • DCTrue
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-18-14
                                              • 836

                                              #23
                                              Quilmes were favorites there by the way. They had -0.25 @ 1.90 around the time that the game started.
                                              Comment
                                              • rankslash
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-29-13
                                                • 1562

                                                #24
                                                Yes, I got it. Thank you for your time and research bro.
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                                                • DCTrue
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-18-14
                                                  • 836

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by rankslash
                                                  Yes, I got it. Thank you for your time and research bro.
                                                  No problem. Have a nice day.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Rudeboy
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 07-15-14
                                                    • 5725

                                                    #26
                                                    DC is good ppls
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                                                    • DCTrue
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-18-14
                                                      • 836

                                                      #27
                                                      Gl with the rest of the season Rudeboy! Those hockey tips were +EV
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                                                      • Rudeboy
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-15-14
                                                        • 5725

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by DCTrue
                                                        Gl with the rest of the season Rudeboy! Those hockey tips were +EV
                                                        Thanks bud you too, cheers for the points.

                                                        +ev this guy gets it
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                                                        • DCTrue
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-18-14
                                                          • 836

                                                          #29
                                                          Had some small stakes for this Monday morning game for 0-2 correct score on away team and checked the score. It didn't go 0-2, but .... nice coincidence
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                                                          • Swagattack23
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 03-19-15
                                                            • 90

                                                            #30
                                                            maybe u can do this but avoid specific leagues were its very popular to score late gials... pick the right games and right teams and maybe iver a couple minths u get to ur goal .. ur not gonna make 1500 in a week or in a month but over time you could possibly accomplish it if u take the right games
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