MLS/LigaMX

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    MLS/LigaMX
    Just sharing from what I have been watching in these two leagues. Maybe it helps, maybe it doesn't.

    Monitoring the 2nd week of MLS after making no plays and watching last week. So far, 11 matches complete and only TWO have gone to three goals.

    1st half Under 1 looks like a cash cow so far. Only those two that went over for the match have gone over 1 in the 1st half.

    May just play all 1H: Under 1s tonight and see where the chips land.


    LigaMX, kind of picking and choosing plays here and there. With about 9-10 matches this session for LigaMX, there are some decent trends developing.

    Overs: Chiapas 7/9, Tijuana 7/10, Toluca 6/9, PUMAS 6/9
    Unders: Cruz Azul 7/9, Tigres 6/9, Leones Negroes 7/10

  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    Based on that, LigaMX tonight ...

    Chiapas-PUMAS o2.5 @ +115 or LIVE you can probably get o2 at a reasonable price if you can sit early without a goal being scored.

    Possibilities
    Atlas-Monterrey o2 @ -125
    Leon-Cruz Azul Draw

    The Atlas one, the only problem is it's mostly that both teams concede a ton - there scoring is not stellar, but with a low total it seems worth a shot. Leon-Cruz Azul could also be an under shot, but it's chalky and Leon has been a little leaky giving up goals even though Cruz Azul doesn't score on the road.



    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      Chicago-Vancouver scoreless in the 35th min 1H. Under 1 trend looking good there.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        CHI-VAN @ HT 0-0, another 1H Under. Gonna ride those for 0.5 unit until the trend changes.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          8th min: 1H Over 0.5 Puebla-Guadalajara @ -136
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
            8th min: 1H Over 0.5 Puebla-Guadalajara @ -136
            Gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo ooooooooalllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll llll! Love my Mexican announcers.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Also to track - four draws in those first eleven MLS matches.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                2/2 MLS 1Hs Under 1 tonight
                Comment
                • rankslash
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-29-13
                  • 1562

                  #9
                  What's the deal with MLS this year? These guys can't score f'n goal, it's like watching French Ligue 2.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #10
                    French League 2 scores goals LoL much more so than MLS.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      With Tigres-Pachuca as an o2 for the full match, I think an opportunity in the 1H to go Over 0.5 when the price is right. Will monitor it live.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Fukk missed the start and they already scored. Tracking now to see about betting for a 2nd 1H goal to be scored ...
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Alright here we go.

                          15th min: Tigres-Pachucha 1H Over 1.5 @ -116
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #14
                            There's one 1H MLS over. Tough bust on a push with a late goal by KC
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #15
                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                              Alright here we go.

                              15th min: Tigres-Pachucha 1H Over 1.5 @ -116
                              Goooooooooooooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaal llllllllllllllllllllllll!
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #16
                                FC Dallas puts in the 1st Over of the night for MLS. They might be a team to watch for Overs. Last year they had a really solid run of overs, especially at home.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #17
                                  There's all the MLS goals now. Looks like all the late games are going 1H Over. Hard to bet Seattle going Under 1 at home.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                    Based on that, LigaMX tonight ...

                                    Chiapas-PUMAS o2.5 @ +115 or LIVE you can probably get o2 at a reasonable price if you can sit early without a goal being scored.

                                    Possibilities
                                    Atlas-Monterrey o2 @ -125
                                    Leon-Cruz Azul Draw

                                    The Atlas one, the only problem is it's mostly that both teams concede a ton - there scoring is not stellar, but with a low total it seems worth a shot. Leon-Cruz Azul could also be an under shot, but it's chalky and Leon has been a little leaky giving up goals even though Cruz Azul doesn't score on the road.



                                    In lieu of Atlas-Monterrey o2, going to do the LIVE bet in the 1H for Over 0.5. Price should be decent within the 1st 10 mins if they can go that long without giving one up. Banking on poor defense continuing for both.
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #19
                                      7th min: Atlas-Monterrey 1H Over 0.5 @ -142
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #20
                                        Well shit. No goal 1H Atlas-Monterrey.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #21
                                          Draw, yes!
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #22
                                            3.15.15

                                            Toluca-Queretaro today at 2pm ET. Toluca is one of the Overs clubs I highlighted. O2.5 is +113 right now. Toluca has scored overs in 3/4 @ home, Queretaro has overs in 3/5 on the road - scoring and conceding in all five. Might be one to try an over 0.5 in the 1H a little bit in or wait LIVE for 10-15 mins to see if you can get a flat total of 2 at a reasonable price.

                                            I'm leaning 1H Over 0.5, but going to look a little more.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #23
                                              Toluca-Queretaro going to go full match Over 2. Opened @ -158, so we'll see if we can get 10 mins or so off the match with no goals and get that price dropped down.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #24
                                                10th minute: Toluca-Queretaro Over 2 @ -120
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #25
                                                  Scoreless @ HT, but lots of chances. Feels like goals are coming.

                                                  Rain might help, been some slips.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #26
                                                    2H has not produced nearly what the 1H did in LigaMX. Be hard pressed to push this 2 goal total without something really quick as time is starting to tick down.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #27
                                                      MLS today ..

                                                      Thinking 1H Over 1 NYC-New England. Playing their 1st ever home match + New England's defense got shredded by Seattle last week, thinking there should be a goal in the 1H.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chuda
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-27-14
                                                        • 11076

                                                        #28
                                                        The turf at Yankee Stadium ism like potato field...
                                                        i think i`ll just try straight home win... new england missing 2 starting XI players
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #29
                                                          Villa goal. Could have been a couple already. Lots of time to get #2
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #30
                                                            Good lord there could have been 3-4 goals this half.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chuda
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-27-14
                                                              • 11076

                                                              #31
                                                              what you think of next game.... should go overs...
                                                              i am thinking to take BTTS and LA @ 4.2
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #32
                                                                Jesus Christ. Right on the money again and no goal.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by chuda
                                                                  what you think of next game.... should go overs...
                                                                  i am thinking to take BTTS and LA @ 4.2
                                                                  Not sure, Portland very tough to score on at home mostly. Probably 1H under try on that one. LA seems like they are a big time 2H goal scoring team.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Oh well. Was well worth the try at + money, winds up pushing somehow. Probably think about taking o2.5 for the match still. Cannot believe there won't be more goals in this one.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Going to wait out the 1st ten mins of the 2nd half and see how it goes, maybe jump on the flat total of 2 on the Over NYC-NE. There's got to be at least one more goal.
                                                                      Comment
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