Boxing Day Premier League Total Goals

[smithah2]

Bovada has a total premier league goals special for friday dec 26 boxing day. They have the total set at 30.5. I feel like the under is a steal here as all 10 matches would need to average 3.1 goals. Its boxing day so I can see some wild matches like a 4-1 or 3-2 or even 3-3, 4-4. but still, even with 1 or 2 high scoring games. most other matches would still need to have at least 2 or 3 goals to hit 31. I mean if you have 1 match go with just 1 goal, which i think is reasonable to say therell be a 1 goal game, the other 9 would have to net 30 goals.

Anyways, is the Under really as huge of a steal or lock as Im thinking it is?
By the way Bovada either made a typo or something it says ...

Friday Soccer Specials - Total Premier League Goals
for matches played 26th dec. All 11 games must play.

[smithah2]

So either they just made a typo and they mean 10 matches and the total is 30.5 cause thats what they think it would be for 10 matches. But it somehow they also could have made the total 30.5 in relation to 11 matches in 1 day. Am I crazy though? Am i missing something haha. Theres only 20 clubs in the EPL, so thats 10 matches on boxing day. and I think a more reasonable total would be around 27.5 over or under for 10 matches. I think Under 30.5 is a steal @ 1.87

[red_bulls_75]

I love the under!

[chuda]

got to be mistake, with that 11th game... everyone else is settled for 27.5 goals..
i would say take it unders anyway..(if i would be with Bovada, i would try, maybe mistake what still will be paid and will be corrected soon)
there is couple of tight match ups and another thing is , teams will be rotated, and with 2nd game coming in 48hrs, players and managers won`t be putting out everything into boxing day. i see couple of games, where some managers would rather choose to sit and defend and hope for a best and prioritize sundays game instead.

[rankslash]

Boxing day is always low scoring. Matches like Man Utd and Newcastle are just exception.

[chidondollars]

Chelsea and Man u can easily score 5 each

[smithah2]

yes even if man u and chelsea score 5 each. 8 games would still need 21 goals for the over. I took the under guys

[Book Crook]

I think this is a pretty safe bet.