Chuda`s corner

[chuda]

84 w - 21 p - 144 l
Total : -3.1u

[chuda]

been in and out for last week... have 2 days now to spend 24/7 here muaaaaahahahaa
lets kick of

[chuda]

AFC Champions League qualifications:
Central Coast Mariners - Guangzou R&F

great game so early and prices are great no matter what and who you play. Guangzou R&F are newcomers to AFC CL since they became "Rich&Force" and i think they are much better than not so good performing this season CCM. and price is only in CCM favour because of home pitch, midseason in A league and expierience in AFC. but i`ll argue all of those...
R&F had a great preparations in Tyrkey with new boss from Getafe Contra, ex AC Milan and Atletico Madrid player, he brought in with him from Getafe highly rated Michel Herrerro as ATM. and seems he and a team have found `click` straight away, beating side like Dinamo Bucharesti 3 - 1 and holding off Rumanian Prolesti. under Herrerro R&F plays 433 attacking football trough wings and middle with fast transition from attack to defense during game. in 3 games under him so far this year, 6 scored 1 conceded and team looks very promosing for ambitions to fill this club looks for this season.
CCM got home draw only because of Australia being higher ranked at draw , but they record in AFC is ... 3 wins and 7 loses in last 10, including much weaker teams along a way. CCM boss Moss said will be looking forward to this game as a morale boosting oportunity to their bad season (only 3 wins out of 17 so far).

bookies have set high number @ 2.05 for over 2.5 for overish teams here because of draw possibility... yep 1 - 1 in 90 minutes could easy be result, as this is only one leg and extra time and pens will ensure group stages, with both sides want so much.
i think R&F will put one for sure... and if not 2 or 3 past CCM. worth to mention that last season where they got 3rd place and AFC CL spot under Swen Goran Erricson, they were criticized for leaky defense... i think this could be improved now, but CCM at home could get goal...
With players who make spine, like Herrerro as playmaker, Moroccan striker Abderrazak Hamdallah(22 goals in 22 games last season) and defensive midfielder Jang Hyun-soo (from Asia cup final)... hard to see them getting beat by badly playing CCM this season.. i actually think it will be 3 - 1 to away side...
R&F DNB @ 1.72 ...2u win
BTTS @ 1.90 ...1u win
BTTS and R&F to win @ 5 ....0.5u win
..........................
+4.34u

[chuda]

AFC Champions League qualifications:

over 2.5 in :

Beijing Guoan V Bangkok Glass
FC Seoul V Hanoi T&T
Kashiwa Reysol V Chonburi

treble @ 3.37....1u win
.............
+2.37u

[chuda]

AFC Champions League qualifications:
Bunyodkor Tashkent - Al Jazira SC

one thing what wories me a bit is why price going the other way... i mean, i don`t see much of value for home side and only reason in favour of home side i could find is that it`s bit chilli in Tashkent , around 6 - 8 Celsius... other thing is , they been drawn as home side, because historicaly Uzbekistan sides have earned better places to UAE clubs.Bonyodkor done well last season in AFC , reaching last 16 round, but to get trashed there by AL Hilal. they are no mugs, they will fancy their chances today and they have players like Roshidov from Asia cup on a wing...
but i am Al Jazira for 2 reasons... form and fact that it`s midseason in UAE league , whereas Bunyodkor for preperations played few weak teams in PFL cup and haven`t been impressive, with few nil nil`s and one nil`s against nobodies. Al Jazira is on fire... they have highest goals scored for in a league, they are 1st at a moment and coming from 4 game winning streak. with new player like Mirko Vucinic and Ali Mabkhout, who just comes from winning "golden boot" in Asian cup, with 5 goals... there is good chance for him to impress today as bundesliga club is ready to take him this summer...
so firepower and form for me... as well as match fitness after 60 minutes should carry trough UAE side... 2 - 0 for me...
Al Jazira to win @ 2.45 ....1u loss
Al Jazira -1 AH @ 4 ...1u loss
.................
-2u

fksk didn`t know al jazira is not in full strenght, don`t know why, but that`s why odds was going other way...

[chuda]

over 2.5 in :

IFK Varnamo v Mjallby
Strommen v Notodden

double @ 2.18 ...1u win
............
+1.18u

[chuda]

bet in play...CL... 73rd min...0 - 0 and 1 - 1 ...

Shakter DNB and PSG DNB : double @ 3.45 ....1u push
...........
+/- 0

[chuda]

89 w - 22 p - 146 l
Total : +2.79u

[chuda]

UEFA CL:
Basel - Porto

BTTS @ 1.90 ....1u win
Home no bet : Draw @ 2.25 ...1u win


Shalke - Real Madrid

BTTS and Real Madrid to win @ 2.80 ...1u loss
.................
+1.15u

..........
f di mateo and his footballl.... if he is not getting CL spot he will be first out by summer in germany...

[chuda]

over 2.5 in :

Cliftonville Reserves v Portadown Reserves
Glenavon Reserves v Glentoran Reserves
Norwich U21 v Man City U21

treble @ 2.25 ...1u win
...............
+1.25u

[chuda]

Birmingham V Middlesbrough

BTTS @ 1.90 ....1u win
......
+0.9u

[chuda]

new yourk red bulls and csd comunicaciones to win: double @ 2.49 ...1u loss
..............
-1u

[chuda]

well, if one poisonous can iindusry toy can`t do it, than don`t expecting any better from other one tomorrow...

[chuda]

finally some meaning to Europe League this season. race for only place in CL...
Expecting last 32 go seriously about it, first legs underish mainly and few teams around like , Inter, Spurs, Liverpool , Everton, Villareal ... to treat this one as bigger chance than getting top 4 domestic finish...
Final will be in Warsaw .. kind a plays in mind, will be any amends to Legia`s expeling from CL along the way, as well as they are only polish side left...
could be harder to call, but that`s why it`s pays better, any calls is evens or above, any double pays 5x times...
if English team wins this one, there is a chance of 5 English teams next year in CL ...
favourites are Roma @ 11 and then another Italians - Napoli @ 13 ... and outsiders AaB ...
i think it will be between spanish and english clubs...

[oldscho0led]

Leaning Besiktas +1 later. Your thoughts on that game?

[chuda]

early kickoff in Europa league:
AaB Aalborg - Club Brugge

ok price on inform away team. as always, draw is a danger here, as Aab in europa at home have been very strong, last 3 wins, beating sides like Dynamo Kiev, Steau Bucharesti and Rio Ave and all in just last 6 months. but that was all before winter break and this comes as first competitve game. 5 friendlies they had, they didn`t win none and conceded in 4 of them.
on other hand, season in Belgium is in full swing, and they are on fire this season, they are first , they have twice goal tally on difference compared to second - Anderlecht, and last time Brugge lost in Europa was 12 games ago...
i think fact, that they don`t have to win here, will work their favour... sit deep, break against team whose defense is not settled , on back of mind, you know you have a home game, so no preasure , no fear ... win is bonus and something to look for in such a favourable draw...

Club Brugge @ 2.15 ...1u win


PSV Eindhoven - Zenit SantPetersburg

both teams missing regular Defenders... PSV - Rekik and Zenit - Lombaerts.
if you look at a Eredevisie table, looks like PSV flying. 11 wins and one loss in a small cup game... well, i don`t rate dutch league too much and PSV record in Europa in last 6 months or so is nothing to be proud of, few wins over Europa minnows and plenty conceded against them as well...
they are slight favourites here at home, because of form and fact that Zenit waking up after winter break and had only one friendly for preperations. not encouradging, but they are still favourites to quallify and overall stronger team. those woes and struggles in europe Zenit had and has under AVB is because he never been good breaking small teams and organizing defense. with CB spending most of time around half way line. now for first leg they can sit deeper. scoring still seasms no issue as they put 3 past Polish side in last friendly. taking on board PSV form and Zenit abilitty to score...defensive changes for both teams.

BTTS @ 1.80 ....1u loss
Zenit DNB @ 2.10 ...1u win


Roma - Feyenoord

good few injuries on both sides.. on attack front for away team is missing striker Manu and at a back is doubtfull Van Beik.
Iturbe , Castan , Strootman, Ibarbo out, Hollebas suspended... but that`s a bit blessing in diquise for me. as players like Totti, Ljaljic, Pjanic, Maicon been rested and likely to start.

Roma: Skorupski – Torosidis Astori Manolas Cole – Keita De Rossi Nainggolan – Gervinho Doumbia Ljajić

Feyenoord: Vermeer – Wilkshire Boulahrouz Kongolo Nelom – El Ahmadi Immers Clasie – Toornstra Kazim-Richards Boëtius.

Feyenoord does bit worse than above mentioned PSV and away in Europe they have 9 loses and one last win, and 2 wins like in a decade. Rudi Garcia said they are in this competition with 100 %, wanna be respected in Europe and thing is, they will want to put to bed this tie early, here at home, because then they play second leg, they have away game to Juventus after, so pretty much everyone would like to get that one out of they and sorted. hard to see young Dutch side holding of Roma at their ground...

Roma -1.5 @ 2.20 ...1u loss


Trabzonspor - Napoli

Benitez only give that much as Higuain will start up front, second choice keeper in goals and Inler in midfield. either way they should have enough to find a net for me...
Trabzonspor have plenty all kind of injuries and suspencions, but thing it`s self, that they do pretty well of late... have full sold out stadium and their attacking football, produces constant scoring. it`s their best chance at home to get a goal to carry over to next leg. and hard to see this one as nil nil...

BTTS @ 1.85 ...1u loss


Young Boys - Everton

the same here, simple, but should hit bet. Young boys have scored in all but one game from last 15. pitch is their favour as well, they have now syntetic 4g surface, to which something Everton are not used to. they did train on 3g for last few days, but for example,went Spurs went to play on artificial surface against Sparta not so long ago, they conceded 3 goals in 30 minutes, just because they haven`t been used to ball bauncing differently...
Everton travelled with 8 missings from squad, but there is still strong team to be out and this one is serious game for Everton, as they intended to go all way... they are here to sit back and get good result for home leg, and to not let much chances for bouncing ball to endanger net, main focus will be pressing high and not let it close. but this is one of their best trades, and players like Peenar, Neismith Lukaku should get one past Swiss side... they kind allways gets goal in travels and even thou should be bit frustrating game to watch and play, as lots of midfield battles and misspassing expected, should "bounce" one in for them as well...
team travelled : Howard, Robles, Alcaraz, Jagielka, Stones, Coleman, Oviedo, Garbutt, Barry, Besic, McCarthy, Barkley, Gibson, Mirallas, Atsu, Naismith, Lukaku, Griffiths, Browning, Duffus.
*every time i see this game on a list anywhere, there is allways in my head.... "Young man, there's no need to feel down.I said, young man.... " don`t get me wrong, just sayin
BTTS @ 1.80 ...1u win


Wolfsburg - Sporting CP

interesting form for both, Wolfsburg haven`t lost 13 games now and Sporting has like 2 loses in 20 games. .. draw or it`s time for some to lose taking form of late and fact that Sporting missing William in defense and Slimani in attack, kind a feels like Wolfsburg should win. expected few player rotation for home side, but nothing key... Sporting always have been a threat on a counters...

BTTS and Wolfsburg to win @ 3.20 ....1u loss


*me spell cheker showes oll red, but i ain`t bothered
........................
-0.95u

[chuda]

@oldscho0led

thinking abaut it myself...
liverpool ain`t gonna beat them by 2 goals...
arsenal couldn`t ...spurs couldn`t .... sterling seems won`t be playing... gerrard, lucas out, markovic suspended...
and price on Liverpool is a joke as always...just about lowest of the whole round
they can`t even crack bolton.
besiktas have good few injuries themselves, but they will be looking to bring this back to home and they have good players to get a goal themselves..
don`t know yet what i`ll do for this one, but + 1 AH @ 1.97 sounds like play ..

remember basel seems was in worse situation and i cashed in on basel at ht.. maybe i`ll try again

[chuda]

...............

[Betlitelli]

Villarreal should destroy rusty Salzburg without key players left in last 6months Kempl,Alan,Mane combo to qualify with Wolfsburg ( goal festa in Wolfsburg expected)
Best dogs IMO: Torino and Legia to QF singles...

[Jayvin89]

Thoughts on AJAX over Legia and SPURS over Fiorentina?

[chuda]

just back....

@ Jayvin89.... cince ajax price have went over @2 now, and Legia missing Radovic and Duda, maybe they are worth to take...
they have been unreliable of late, but i think they will win...legia could score easy here too....

Spurs been great at home, very7 revived team, holding man u , beating chelski and arsenal, but they have problem to break team who sits deep and orgonized.... and that what italians are here to do.... will be very orgonized and try to explore Spurs opening tonight...
on good day Spurs could be very rampant and win games with 3 -4 goals scored if things go their they , but sometimes they can`t do s...t and 1 -1 or even upset is possible...


@Betlitelli ...yeahh , RBS is abbonded project now... in winter break sold with no replacements, don`t think they keep kigh expectations and goals anymore. villareal should win and score 2 at least....

[Betlitelli]

Radovic will play probably last game...Hard game to predict cos 2:1, 3:2 still not bad for Legia and they wont risk too much... Radovic chinese bitch Ajax win

[chuda]

Celtic - Inter

BTTS and Inter to win @ 4.60 ...1u loss ...


don`t rate Celtic at all of late... 60.000 tickets sold and will be usual european nights at Park, but Inter team is there to advance between these two and with strongest squad. italians should be too orgonized and too good for them , but celtics should find a net at home...
DNB @ 1.72... is good odds and probably safer option...but @ 4.60 ....
..............
-1u

[chuda]

mnhaa,.... tought i could get dissapointment in wolfsburg game... 0 - 0 ...
pretty much fireworks so far besides few games... looking to add 2 games for overs for next kick off

[chuda]

Tottenham - Fiorentina

Tottenham to win @ 2.20....1u loss

even thou fiorentina has one of best away records in Europa, price for inform home team is good, they are out tonight to winnit , and with "white hart lane" effect - one of noisiest places in epl of late. they could get this one done...
................
-1u

[chuda]

Liverpool: Mignolet, Can, Skrtel, Sakho, Allen, Henderson, Moreno, Ibe, Coutinho, Lallana, Sturridge.
Subs: Lovren, Lambert, Manquillo, Borini, Balotelli, Sterling, Ward.


Besiktas: Cenk, Serdar, Ersan, Franco, Motta, Olcay, Veli, Hutchinson, Gokhan, Sosa, Ba.
Subs: Enes, Mustafa, Oguzhan, Tolgay, Necip, Kerim, Opare.

thinking .... btts or overs....

[chuda]

Guingamp - Dinamo Kiev

over 2 @ 1.81 ...1u win

too good price... 2 goals is nothing.... Guingamp plays attacking football and good form this season, Kiev can easy get one on counters...
..............
+0.81u

[chuda]

Liverpool - Besiktas

over 10.5 corners @ 2.10 ...1u win
............
+1.1u

[chuda]

ehhh.... respected my a...e , roma can`t beat kids at home ...

you would think tyrkish would errapt and get one goal at home being down all game...

around -1u after first round....

[chuda]

looks like liverpool will be out in a first round, if they are not coming out with different attitude ...
i need just 2 more corners

[chuda]

guingamp DNB is at @ 1.72 now,... if i`ll get at @2 i`ll take it... they should be able to get one at home against 8 man d.kiev...win
...............
bet won, but not counting here as i didn`t post on time....

[chuda]

arghhhhhhhhhhhhh never backed up celtic bet........ over 5.5 around 85th minute was @4 and 5 ....1u and doesn`t matter what happens fk , wasted such a winnings....

[chuda]

98 w - 22 p - 154 l
Total : +4.05u

[chuda]

since A League is postponed... will take on National Premiere league than

Bentleigh Greens V North Geelong Warriors

Geelong W is newcomers to NPL and will be eager on first game to see they strenght and match Bentleigh greens, who done allraight last season getting in top 6 of NPL. in australia there is no much difference, higher league ...lower league... anybody can beat anybody on a day. last season Warriors was highest scorers in division, so i expect them to find one at least. and if Bentleigh Greens aiming for top finish again, then they should start this one with a win...

BTTS and Bentleigh Greens to win @ 3 ... 0.5u loss
................
-0.5u

[chuda]

Aston Villa - Stoke

BTTS @ 1.95 ....1u win
Aston Villa/ Aston Villa @ 4.20 ...1u loss


Hull City - QPR

BTTS and Hull City to win @ 4.50 ....1u win


Crystal Palace - Arsenal

Race to 2 goals - Arsenal @ 1.95 ....2u win


Chelsea Burnley

Chelsea -1.5 first half handicap @ 3 ....1u loss
....................
+4.35u