A New Day (Same ole picks)

[Jas]

Hey everyone,

Posting in this new thread because the old one is spamming copies and I don't know how to close them. (http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l-betting.html)

Feel free to drop me a line of advice or criticism on any picks. Still doing 6-13 team parlays, but most of the picks will be 3-team parlays. Even if you don't play parlays, hope you'll get some single winners through this thread.

[Jas]

Update

Yesterday we missed 2 parlays, and roll on with 2 more.

Here's an update on yesterday's roll on results:

Ceara VS ABCRN
	Over	2½	-120
	Joinville EC VS BkofAma
	Over	2½	+105
	Colorado Rapids VS LA Galaxy
	Galaxy		+144

Both Over bets came in late and setup a chance to make some money on the LA Galaxy result. Not sure yet if I'll hedge, so I'll wait and see how both teams lineup before giving Colorado any concern.

The 2nd parlay:

Soccer - 20426 Zenit St Petersburg +100 for Game
Soccer - 20422 Slovan Bratislava/BATE Borisov over 2 -115 for Game
Soccer - 13325 Omiya Ardija +210 for Game

This was played late in the night after a disappointing performance by Mexican side Cruz Azul. Omiya came in with very good odds because of their terrible form this season, and their opponents -a league down- came in as favorites with an incredible run of only 1 loss and a handful of draws out of like 25+ games.

Omiya were outplayed, but 2 goals in the 80th saw them steal the win. Feeling confidant about the BATE over, but I'll be following the Zenit game live to see if it needs hedging.

[Jas]

Absolutely frustrated by that Slovan vs BATE result. Thought it was 2-1, then the linesman flagged for offside...Annoyed. It's a push, so the parlay does win a little money, but that Slovan goal would have given me $900. Glad to win less though compared to not winning at all.

Once I stop swearing, I'll pick and post my next 3

[Jas]

Focused on the LA Galaxy vs Colorado match later today, but still like this parlay.

Chapecoense VS Fluminense
	Over	2	-115
	General Diaz VS Cobresal
	Diaz		+120
	Clermont Foot VS Gazelec Ajaccio
	Over	2	-111

It's a soft bet, but I went for safety with my focus on tonight's MLS match. The Brazilian match is the hardest of the three, but I feel both teams will score and Fluminense will score twice. General Diaz is one of those teams that I just like from that league, I like Libertad also, but didn;t bet on them because they are away and might draw.

I'm rooting for Clermont because they have a female manager, but they haven't played so well under her. Gazelec is coming off a midweek beatdown, but they are still an excellent club that can score goals imo.

[Jas]

Huh

http://www.coloradorapids.com/video/...tw52TLy_yL-AVr
Colorado Rapids manager, Pablo Mastroeni, making me feel very confident about an LA Galaxy win...

[nyyanks773]

Hey Jas

Any thoughts on Concacaf champs league?

[Jas]

Cd fas

Hey Ny

It's a tough set of fixtures, so I'm staying out. I think there will be goal in the WaterHouse vs DC game, and Jamaican teams don't usually perform well Stateside imo. I'd play DC to win, but it depends on who they field.

I like the CD FAS vs Impact game more, because I think the Impact will send out a weak squad and the players won't be up for it. Impact are flying all the way from Montreal to San Salvador to play CD FAS on 4 days rest, then have to fly from San Salvador to New York for the Red Bulls 3 days later. That's a long travel plan, I doubt they will field a strong side with Red Bulls coming on this crazy trip.

I also really rate CD FAS striker Blanco. He's the only player that I know in El Salvador, so he's always hyped up in my mind and I'm usually expecting him to score. He usually doesn't, but today could be the day he gets CD FAS a home result. I'd play the PK or + on CD FAS, if I was betting it tonight.

Blanco is suppose to be the best player in the country by the way. (Don't hold me to that after tonight)

[Jas]

What a screw up, Dunivant! Horrible player. Glad I hedged the Galaxy game, but the Colorado manager's speech made me hedge for $100 less than I was going to before his speech. Just hoping it doesn't end in a draw now.


Chapecoense VS Fluminense 0-0 at half time, not looking good. Fluminense had the better of the chances and should have scored already, but now it's looking like Chap will take a goalless draw...

[Jas]

Mastroeni must have given one hell of a HT speech for Colorado to fold like that in the 2nd half. Still glad I hedged it, even though I'd have won a little more, if I didn't. The heart attack of watching this match would have been too much without the hedge. Good win to have though.

Lost some money on the last parlay because of Fluminense...What has happened to that man Fred since the Worldcup. He has been a shadow of himself the last 3 months. Was hoping Fred would score today, and was expecting Bruno Rangel to get one too. Good to see Rangel back, he's a fun player to watch and Chap are so awful without him.

Looking forward to tomorrow's matches, hope to post picks before midday for anyone following

[nyyanks773]

Jas you have good insight. I will probably not see your picks today because I'll be at work. Let's find some strong plays this weekend.

[Jas]

Thanks NY

Hope you didn't lose anything yesterday on the FAS game, Montreal played their strongest side. I'm taking NY Red Bulls this weekend when they play the Impact.

[Jas]

Feeling "OK" about this parlay:

Genk VS AA Gent
	Genk		+160
	Herediano VS A.D.IsidroMetapan
	Herediano	-1½	-114
	Trujillanos VS Independiente
	Over	2	-108

I think Independiente will score 3 goals, but I'm not sure how defensive Trujillanos will be, so I didn't play Independiente to win. This one could be a draw (the goalless kind). The bet is on Independiente to force this match into a goalfest.

[Jas]

Very disappointing result. Parlay busted, I played it too safe, going for the safer over, instead of trusting my instinct on the win. Not going to try to push any of the remaining games, will select another tomorrow and ligue 2 looks good for it.

[Jas]

Next parlay: Arles Avignon VS Sochaux
	Over	2	-120
	Monarcas Morelia VS Tigre
	Morelia	pk	+127
	Den Bosch VS Waalwijk
	Bosch		-120

Very late in the night to play this one, but better to get it out now before I flip flop on the monarcas game. Might play another tomorrow and a little more about the picks.

[Jas]

Couldn't resist a little sneaky parlay with the PSG game:

Clermont Foot VS Gazelec Ajaccio
	Over	2	-111
	Roda JC VS FC Eindhoven
	JC		-137
	Evian TG VS PSG
	Over	2½	-121

There should be goals today. *Looking at you today Cavani*

[Jas]

Cavani...Cavani

Annoyed by the Den Bosh red card, they did well to end 2-3 but still deserved to lose that game. The PSG game is shock of the day for me, really expected Cavani to step up today and prove his worth. O'well, coming "close" doesn't count. Ready to pick another before tomorrow's big matches

[Jas]

Can't wait for the games tomorrow. Today was a nice betting day for me despite the parlays that were lost. I'm setting up tomorrow with:

Aston Villa VS Newcastle United
	United	pk	+110
	Rec de Huelva VS Zaragoza
	Over	2	-120
	Barnsley VS Gillingham
	Over	2½	-114

Not a conservative play, but I did like what I saw from Newcastle last week vs ManCity. I think they've made two fantastic signings and Sissoko is coming on nicely. I'm hoping Gillingham score 3 vs Barnsley, but wouldn't be surprised if it's much closer win for them in the final minutes.

[Jas]

Bah! It didn't go as plan with Newcastle pulling a PSG today. However, still alive to make some money on the last parlay.

No rest for the wicked though:

Borussia Dortmund VS Bayer Leverkusen
	Over	3	-122
	New York Red Bulls VS Montreal Impact
	Bulls	-1	-111
	Kortrijk VS Oostende
	Kortrijk		+132

This one is going to be fun to watch.

[Jas]

Things getting exciting today! Gutted about the Dortmund result especially after the early goal. Hedging the first parlay proving useful.

New York Red Bulls VS Montreal Impact
	Bulls	-1	-108
	Botafogo RJ VS Chapecoense
	Over	2	-120
	Newells Old Boys VS Belgrano
	Over	2	-111

Safety pick for now. Might play one more parlay before the night is out.

[Jas]

Haven't played a public parlay in a bit. I'm setting this one up for today:

Arsenal VS Besiktas
	Over	2½	-104
	Ludogorets Razgrad VS Steaua Bucharest
	Over	2	-109
	AlianzaLima VS Barcelona SC
	SC		+176

A nice little punt on Arsenal and Bestikas descending into chaos. Barcelona already has the tie won up 0-3 on Agg and they are on the road. Usually you'd go for the home team to pull one or 2 back on Agg but I'm thinking Barcelona to win 1-5 on Agg