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[mgoncalves10]

Domestic leagues are beginning, and it's time to make some money.. First couple of weeks could be a little tricky because you don't really know what to expect, and a lot of players may still not be at their best fitness.

So today we have some Dutch League action and French Ligue 1.. Going to take a look at some plays, but share your thoughts.. We also have some MLS action, and Community Shield tomorrow...

Pending From This Morning:

Parlay: Zenit (ML), Heerenven (ML), Lille (-1) - $25 --> $58
Parlay: Metz - Lille (U2.5), Bastia - Marseille (U2.5) - $25 --> $47.08

[chuda]

2 bets for me for community shield...

arsenal to lift a trophy @ 2.20 ...1u
BTTS and arsenal to win @ 5.25 ....1u

Arsenal missing - Wallcott, Podolski, Mertesacker, Ozil...and of course... Diaby congrats Diaby for an other line in Guinness world record book
City missing - Aguero, Negredo, Lampard, Fernandinho, Kompany, Demichelis, Zabaleta and Sagna ...

some sites saying kompany and sagna will play, but how much i understood from pelegrini, then all WC players besides toure and jeko won`t be for a game and sagna won`t play against former club... if they play that`s significantly stronger back line, but without them man city back 4 is too thin... as well as in midfield besides of toure, debut will be handed to fernando, what should take time to adjust and between players and to english style. up front is ok, silva , nasri , jovetic , jeko... speed , creativity , finishing...
arsenal the same squad as at emirates cup - diaby it`s bit dangerous to relay my bet on sanogo up front, as most likely sanogo to start, but maybe he found confidence after hat trick, plus there is sanchez now and cambell . arseanl back 4 should do ok here, they have gibbs . koschelny, chambers and debuchy .. midfield is packed for arsenal and on a field and on a bench for later subs ...
man city has done more serious pre season training with the same bunch then arsenal, but same bunch couldn`t do half strength liverpool and not that strong olimpiacos, don`t see them outplaying arsenal either... draw is likely , that`s why i have 2 bets, but i think arsenal win outscore city in this one... 2 - 1

[mgoncalves10]

2 bets for me for community shield...

arsenal to lift a trophy @ 2.20 ...1u
BTTS and arsenal to win @ 5.25 ....1u

Arsenal missing - Wallcott, Podolski, Mertesacker, Ozil...and of course... Diaby congrats Diaby for an other line in Guinness world record book
City missing - Aguero, Negredo, Lampard, Fernandinho, Kompany, Demichelis, Zabaleta and Sagna ...

some sites saying kompany and sagna will play, but how much i understood from pelegrini, then all WC players besides toure and jeko won`t be for a game and sagna won`t play against former club... if they play that`s significantly stronger back line, but without them man city back 4 is too thin... as well as in midfield besides of toure, debut will be handed to fernando, what should take time to adjust and between players and to english style. up front is ok, silva , nasri , jovetic , jeko... speed , creativity , finishing...
arsenal the same squad as at emirates cup - diaby it`s bit dangerous to relay my bet on sanogo up front, as most likely sanogo to start, but maybe he found confidence after hat trick, plus there is sanchez now and cambell . arseanl back 4 should do ok here, they have gibbs . koschelny, chambers and debuchy .. midfield is packed for arsenal and on a field and on a bench for later subs ...
man city has done more serious pre season training with the same bunch then arsenal, but same bunch couldn`t do half strength liverpool and not that strong olimpiacos, don`t see them outplaying arsenal either... draw is likely , that`s why i have 2 bets, but i think arsenal win outscore city in this one... 2 - 1

I haven't looked at the odds for tomorrow's match yet, but I too like Arsenal in this one, although I'm an Arsenal fan. With City missing so many players, I think Arsenal can take advantage of the City back line with Kompany missing.

I could see Arsene Wenger starting with a front 3 of Campbell, Alexis and Ox.. With Alexis & Campbell switching throughout the match. He could also play with Sanogo up top, but I think this should be our front three, seeing as Giroud is lacking match fitness..

[mgoncalves10]

Wasn't at my laptop so didn't get a chance to post 2 live bets..

Zenit (ML), Heerenven (ML), Lille (-1) ... $25 --> $58
Metz - Lille (U2.5), Bastia - Marseille (U2.5) ... $25 --> $47.08
Marseille (O2.5) ... $39.60 --> $30
Bastia - Marseille (O4) ... $37.25 --> $25

(2-2-0, $5.00)

Will be looking into some MLS action tonight. There are still 20 minutes remaining in the Marseille match, but I think I'm done with Live Bets for this match... If you have insight for some MLS games, please share..

[mgoncalves10]

Looking at:

- Cruzeiro (ML) -121
- Fluminense (ML) -180

May even take Fluminense -1 at +100

MLS

- Columbus - Toronto (O2.5) -115 looks like a good option
- Dallas - Colorado (O2.5) -115 ... Colorado is not great on the road, and 7 of their last 10 away from home have gone over 2.5...

[mgoncalves10]

Cruzeiro (ML) ... $38.10 --> $30

[mgoncalves10]

Dallas - Colorado O2.5 ... $28.75 --> $25

[mgoncalves10]

Parlay: Real Salt Lake - DC United (U2.5), Portland - Chivas (O2.5) ... $25 --> $53.34

[mgoncalves10]

Saturday Totals

I wish I had taken my own advice on some of the picks I had mentioned because I didn't take all of the ones I talked about...

Zenit (ML), Heerenven (ML), Lille (-1) ... $25 --> $58
Metz - Lille (U2.5), Bastia - Marseille (U2.5) ... $25 --> $47.08
Marseille (O2.5) ... $39.60 --> $30
Bastia - Marseille (O4) ... $37.25 --> $25
Cruzeiro (ML) ... $38.10 --> $30
Dallas - Colorado (O2.5) ... $28.75 --> $25
Parlay: Real Salt Lake - DC United (U2.5), Portland - Chivas (O2.5) ... $25 --> $53.34


(3-4-0, $33.10)

Early leans for tomorrow:

Russia

- Dinamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow (O2.5) -125

England

- Arsenal - Manchester City

• Over 2.5 (-143)
• Over 1 (-130) I think there will be at least 1 goal in the first half
• Arsenal (ML) +223 City missing some key players.. I think Arsenal takes this 2-1...

Holland

- Ajax (ML) -185

Feyenoord at -120 away from home looks tempting, but Den Haag tends to do well at home, so I may skip on that one..

France

- AS Monaco (ML) -235 .. I may parlay this because that's a lot of juice on the ML.. Spread is -1.5, which I'm not confident with... I also like the Over 1 in the first half in this one. I see at least 1 goal in the first 45 Minutes here.

- Lyon - Rennes (U2.5) -135 ... This is tempting seeing as 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two sides has gone under 2.5.. Also debating on taking Lyon (ML) -125...


Share your thoughts on these picks, and if you have some picks of your own... I'll post my finals picks once I make some final decisions.

[mgoncalves10]

Confirmed Picks For Sunday:

Spartak Moscow - Dinamo Moscow (O2.5) ... $31.25 --> $25
Parlay: Monaco, Ajax, AIK, Malmo ... $25 --> $111.23

[mgoncalves10]

Arsenal ML
Over 1 First Half

[mgoncalves10]

3-0-0 so far today.

[paco]

Confirmed Picks For Sunday:

Spartak Moscow - Dinamo Moscow (O2.5) ... $31.25 --> $25
Parlay: Monaco, Ajax, AIK, Malmo ... $25 --> $111.23

Malmo is gonna blow it. Likely draw now since goteborg tied

[paco]

Malmo what a joke. Scores a goal and concedes 40 seconds later now

[mgoncalves10]

Arsenal ML ... $25 --> $51.25
Arsenal - City (O1, First Half) ... $32.50 --> $25
Spartak Moscow - Dinamo Moscow (O2.5) ... $31.25 --> $25
Parlay: Monaco, Ajax, AIK, Malmo ... $25 --> $111.23


YTD:(6-5-0, $43.15)


Will post more picks on Monday morning for any potential leans/thoughts..

[mgoncalves10]

Malmo what a joke. Scores a goal and concedes 40 seconds later now

yeah that pissed me off, but Monaco blew it as well, so at least Malmo wasn't the only one to ruin my parlay. I wanted to put more $$ on the Arsenal money line, but being an Arsenal fan, I just felt that I was letting my passion for the team get in the way.. but damn did they earn that..

Either way, was a lucrative weekend for some footy action..

[youbecool]

can someone give me a quick lesdon on how parlays work?

[chuda]

double...treble... whatever ... one odds X other odds = is your winnings....
man u @ 3 parlay with man c @ 3 gives you 9 ... and so on

[youbecool]

can someone give me a quick lesdon on how parlays work?

[youbecool]

so basically a multi bet

[chuda]

yep

... i`m just after taking napoli @ 2.50 for tomorow friendly... 2u

napoli still has a week + till CL game, they after beating barcelona in friendly.... and psg season started , they this week still to get amends for 1st game, against bastia later this week, sorely they won`t have none of first XI ... napoli can afford to field strong team and i think this price will go down like a beer in stomach

[mgoncalves10]

yep

... i`m just after taking napoli @ 2.50 for tomorow friendly... 2u

napoli still has a week + till CL game, they after beating barcelona in friendly.... and psg season started , they this week still to get amends for 1st game, against bastia later this week, sorely they won`t have none of first XI ... napoli can afford to field strong team and i think this price will go down like a beer in stomach

Unfortunately my bookie doesn't have friendly's... So i'll be looking into some action in Denmark, Sweden, and maybe Argentina later tonight.. If you have any insight, let us know.. And let's start the week off on a good note.

[mgoncalves10]

Leans for Monday....

Denmark

• Esbjerg - Silkeborg
  • Under 2.5 Total ... $29.50 --> $25

[mgoncalves10]

Argentina


Arsenal Sarandi vs Estudiantes

• Under 2 (-120)

My lean for the under is due to the fact that 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two sides has totaled 2 or less... If not the Under 2, I may take a stab at Estudiantes as a PK at -150... Will post final decision later..

Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield

• Over 2 (-115)

Thinking worst case scenario with the O2 here could be a push, but may take my chances.


I have not confirmed these picks yet, but if I do, i'll post the confirmation on here before the match..

[mgoncalves10]

I wasn't able to get the Estudianyes pick in time, so it will now likely hit.,

Confirmed:

Tigre - Sarsfield O2.5 ... $28.75 --> $25

[mgoncalves10]

Monday Totals

YTD: (7-6-0, $39.40)

Tigre - Sarsfield O2.5 ... $28.75 --> $25
Esbjerg - Silkeborg (Under 2.5) ... $29.50 --> $25

[mgoncalves10]

Zenit St. Petersburg (-1, -1.5) +100 ... $25 --> $25

So 1-2 for Zenit is a half-loser for me... dammit! Lost $12.50 since they didn't cover the -1.5, but pushed the -1..

YTD: (7-7-0, $26.90)

[paco]

Malmo stinking it up again as a -240 fav down 2-0 lol

[paco]

Malmo stinking it up again as a -240 fav down 2-0 lol

Malmo scores last 3 goals in 30 mins to win 3-2!

[Kopi]

Malmo scores last 3 goals in 30 mins to win 3-2!

unreal. wish i would have gotten down on that instead of throwing my money away on bayern today lol

[mgoncalves10]

Pick for Thursday...

Lokomotiv Moscow (-1) -110 ... $27.25 --> $25

FC Rostov has been giving up goals for fun, so playing away to Lokomotiv, I don't see things being any different. Taking the chance they cover the spread, but I see a push as the worst case scenario here hopefully.

[paco]

^^^ on the same bet

[mgoncalves10]

^^^ on the same bet [ATTACH]71719[/ATTACH]

2-0 at Halftime, and Rostov got a red card.

[mgoncalves10]

I had a feeling that would happen. Up a man and 2 goals, and somehow they manage to concede and get a red card...

Well at least it pushed and didn't lose..

[mgoncalves10]

ytd: (7-7-1, $26.90)