World Cup 2014

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  • moshi
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-18-11
    • 801

    #281
    Originally posted by firekillex
    brazil germany at 23.0 is a great pick, wish i wouldve seen that
    Only way for that to hit is if one of them finishes second in their group, then wins all their matches following. If they both finish top of their group (which is what it seems to be trending to) and win their remaining matches, they will meet in the semi-finals.
    Comment
    • FrenchTranslat°
      SBR Rookie
      • 06-17-14
      • 41

      #282
      hello, I'm french is my first post on this website, I use google translation, you get to understand me?
      For us French is not very funny because our offer betting is limited
      but I'm happy to be here, there is a lot of people that I see!
      Comment
      • mewalke11
        SBR High Roller
        • 06-14-14
        • 101

        #283
        Originally posted by FrenchTranslat°
        hello, I'm french is my first post on this website, I use google translation, you get to understand me?
        For us French is not very funny because our offer betting is limited
        but I'm happy to be here, there is a lot of people that I see!
        Yea dude reads pretty clear. To bad about your limited betting options.
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #284
          Originally posted by FrenchTranslat°
          hello, I'm french is my first post on this website, I use google translation, you get to understand me?
          For us French is not very funny because our offer betting is limited
          but I'm happy to be here, there is a lot of people that I see!
          Comment
          • dinis11
            Restricted User
            • 06-17-14
            • 1

            #285
            I have this feeling Argentina are going to make a serious run this year. The games are practically a home game and everyone is healthy. You should google the miles from the head training facility to the stadiums they are playing in, people keep saying home advantage for Brazil, Argentina have just as much home advantage.
            Comment
            • iloseagain
              Restricted User
              • 06-29-10
              • 10681

              #286
              I dont know why i cant figure this out.. Russia ML is -115 and their goal line is -0.5 -110... What is the difference between these two lines? If you bet ML and they draw, you lose, correct? So arent those essentially the same thing?
              Comment
              • leetreaper
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 10-23-10
                • 34841

                #287
                Originally posted by iloseagain
                I dont know why i cant figure this out.. Russia ML is -115 and their goal line is -0.5 -110... What is the difference between these two lines? If you bet ML and they draw, you lose, correct? So arent those essentially the same thing?
                both the same
                Comment
                • leetreaper
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 10-23-10
                  • 34841

                  #288
                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                  Comment
                  • iloseagain
                    Restricted User
                    • 06-29-10
                    • 10681

                    #289
                    Originally posted by leetreaper
                    both the same
                    ok thats what i thought.. I jus couldnt figure out why the lines were different.. Makes no sense why one would have more juice than the other
                    Comment
                    • iloseagain
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-29-10
                      • 10681

                      #290
                      Russia up to -125 on my book now so good call on the over night line again
                      Comment
                      • leetreaper
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-23-10
                        • 34841

                        #291
                        Originally posted by iloseagain
                        Russia up to -125 on my book now so good call on the over night line again
                        Yep, looks like it's gonna be the trend...
                        Comment
                        • Big Bear
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-01-11
                          • 43253

                          #292
                          Originally posted by dinis11
                          I have this feeling Argentina are going to make a serious run this year. The games are practically a home game and everyone is healthy. You should google the miles from the head training facility to the stadiums they are playing in, people keep saying home advantage for Brazil, Argentina have just as much home advantage.
                          you think Argentina fans will continue to travel?
                          Comment
                          • leetreaper
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-23-10
                            • 34841

                            #293
                            2. Belgium -1.5 +110

                            3. Belgium Under 3.0 -141
                            Comment
                            • packerd_00
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-22-13
                              • 17809

                              #294
                              Got Mexico to qualify out of group A,anyone else like them to get through.
                              Comment
                              • WildCelticsFan
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-19-14
                                • 5420

                                #295
                                Originally posted by leetreaper
                                2. Belgium -1.5 +110

                                3. Belgium Under 3.0 -141
                                im on Belgium -1.5 too, but any particular reason your leaning under 3?
                                Comment
                                • GT21Megatron
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-20-13
                                  • 10818

                                  #296
                                  Mexico is gonna get ****** up
                                  Comment
                                  • plekz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-28-13
                                    • 1491

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by packerd_00
                                    Got Mexico to qualify out of group A,anyone else like them to get through.
                                    If Croatia play their two remaining like they did the opening against Brazil, Mehico are in for a hurting.
                                    Comment
                                    • bernardoGui
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 04-01-14
                                      • 475

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by packerd_00
                                      Got Mexico to qualify out of group A,anyone else like them to get through.
                                      It certainly looks good for Mexico.

                                      They have an impressive record vs. Brazil
                                      - 6 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses since 2000. By this record, Mexico is the team that have beaten Brazil at most occasions since 2000. They are aware of this and will be arriving at- and play tonights game with great confidence. The role as dogs suits the Mexican players just fine whereas I suspect the role as Cup-contenders is laying heavily on the Brazilian shoulders.. We already saw that in Game 1 vs. Croatia.

                                      Some stats for the mystics out there
                                      :

                                      * 16th of June 1954: Brazil 5 - Mexico 0.

                                      * 19th of July 2004: Brazil 4 - Mexico 0.

                                      * 17th of June 2014: Brazil ? - Mexico ?.



                                      Obviously, I don't know which team will win or even if there will be a winner. I feel quite certain though, that there will be goals. Mexico had two goals dismissed in their first game and they created enough chances to score even more than three. Brazil scored two regular goals and one penalty-goal vs. Croatia. They conceded one goal (an own goal).

                                      06-17-14; Brazil vs. Mexico: OVER 2.5 goals.

                                      GL.


                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #299
                                        Comment
                                        • plekz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-28-13
                                          • 1491

                                          #300
                                          Vaughany:

                                          Holland plays very attractive and entertaining Football. And i HOPE to hell that Robben and RVP stay fit (Sneijder too) Cuz they might be able to rustle a few of the favorites then.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #301
                                            as good a chance as anybody if they play like they did against Spain! hard to tell if it was more to do with how bad Spain were though than how good Netherlands were!
                                            Comment
                                            • packerd_00
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-22-13
                                              • 17809

                                              #302
                                              Originally posted by plekz
                                              If Croatia play their two remaining like they did the opening against Brazil, Mehico are in for a hurting.
                                              Yeah guess I gotta hope Mexico can at least pickup a draw against Croatia
                                              Comment
                                              • packerd_00
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-22-13
                                                • 17809

                                                #303
                                                Mexico=bernardoGui;22080177]It certainly looks good for Mexico.

                                                They have an impressive record vs. Brazil
                                                - 6 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses since 2000. By this record, Mexico is the team that have beaten Brazil at most occasions since 2000. They are aware of this and will be arriving at- and play tonights game with great confidence. The role as dogs suits the Mexican players just fine whereas I suspect the role as Cup-contenders is laying heavily on the Brazilian shoulders.. We already saw that in Game 1 vs. Croatia.

                                                Some stats for the mystics out there
                                                :

                                                * 16th of June 1954: Brazil 5 - Mexico 0.

                                                * 19th of July 2004: Brazil 4 - Mexico 0.

                                                * 17th of June 2014: Brazil ? - Mexico ?.



                                                Obviously, I don't know which team will win or even if there will be a winner. I feel quite certain though, that there will be goals. Mexico had two goals dismissed in their first game and they created enough chances to score even more than three. Brazil scored two regular goals and one penalty-goal vs. Croatia. They conceded one goal (an own goal).

                                                06-17-14; Brazil vs. Mexico: OVER 2.5 goals.

                                                GL.


                                                [/QUOTE]
                                                Mexico Seems to have Brazils number,fingers crossed they show up today.
                                                Comment
                                                • survive
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-08-11
                                                  • 2388

                                                  #304
                                                  Algeria under 0.5 -110 looks appealing. Assuming they park the bus
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Martinr
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-08-13
                                                    • 529

                                                    #305
                                                    Originally posted by iloseagain
                                                    I dont know why i cant figure this out.. Russia ML is -115 and their goal line is -0.5 -110... What is the difference between these two lines? If you bet ML and they draw, you lose, correct? So arent those essentially the same thing?
                                                    I know I'm repeating myself here, as I posted similar comments in another thread, but there's a bit of interest in these 2 markets.
                                                    There are a couple of reasons why the lines are different.

                                                    1: Books can get away with adding more juice to a 3 way market. The 3 way market might be framed at 105% or so, and the 2 way AH market around 102-103%. The big books do seem to be keeping both markets around the 102-103% range for the World Cup though. If you have a book that offers alternative AH markets, then you'll probably find that these are juiced higher, and have lower limits.

                                                    2: The 2 markets are treated by the books as independent of each other. So they might take a large bet in the 2 way market (-0.5) and bring the price into -115 to balance the ledger, but the 3 way market can still handle some action on the favourite, so the price is left at -110. Usually, but not always, it's the AH line (2 way market) that moves first as traditionally this market attracts the biggest bets.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mcdonae101
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-02-14
                                                      • 3646

                                                      #306
                                                      Originally posted by survive
                                                      Algeria under 0.5 -110 looks appealing. Assuming they park the bus
                                                      Looks like the bus left the station
                                                      Comment
                                                      • survive
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-08-11
                                                        • 2388

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by mcdonae101
                                                        Looks like the bus left the station
                                                        Yep. Horrible call by me
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iloseagain
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-29-10
                                                          • 10681

                                                          #308
                                                          Originally posted by Martinr
                                                          I know I'm repeating myself here, as I posted similar comments in another thread, but there's a bit of interest in these 2 markets.
                                                          There are a couple of reasons why the lines are different.

                                                          1: Books can get away with adding more juice to a 3 way market. The 3 way market might be framed at 105% or so, and the 2 way AH market around 102-103%. The big books do seem to be keeping both markets around the 102-103% range for the World Cup though. If you have a book that offers alternative AH markets, then you'll probably find that these are juiced higher, and have lower limits.

                                                          2: The 2 markets are treated by the books as independent of each other. So they might take a large bet in the 2 way market (-0.5) and bring the price into -115 to balance the ledger, but the 3 way market can still handle some action on the favourite, so the price is left at -110. Usually, but not always, it's the AH line (2 way market) that moves first as traditionally this market attracts the biggest bets.
                                                          Got it.. Thank u sir
                                                          Comment
                                                          • twestacott
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-02-14
                                                            • 1044

                                                            #309
                                                            Worst possible start for us. Best we can hope for now is that Belgium doesnt score twice or that they blow Algeria out of the water so that we can split these two bets.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • leetreaper
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 10-23-10
                                                              • 34841

                                                              #310
                                                              Yeah, need under now for an even split. We'll get em on Brazil game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TakingVegasMoney
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-20-14
                                                                • 1014

                                                                #311
                                                                Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                                Yeah, need under now for an even split. We'll get em on Brazil game.
                                                                What are you leaning on playing in brazil game
                                                                Comment
                                                                • leetreaper
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                                  • 34841

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Originally posted by TakingVegasMoney
                                                                  What are you leaning on playing in brazil game
                                                                  Will post in a bit.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • twestacott
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-02-14
                                                                    • 1044

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Belgium goal at the 70' mark
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • twestacott
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-02-14
                                                                      • 1044

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Belgium go ahead goal 80'
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TakingVegasMoney
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-20-14
                                                                        • 1014

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Fuckers!!! Get another one Belgium
                                                                        Comment
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