Please be honest, is it a stupid bet or not ?

[tipsadontlikehim]

recently i had a tough loss in tennis (lost 3 000 )

i wanted to win this back step by step by playing "safe plays" only and low odds

So, so far I cashed with 2 "safe bets" which were

- Berdych to beat Isner @1.25 (bet 2500 to win 625)
- my second play was yesterday when Nadal beat Murray @1.175 (bet 4000 to win 700)

Now i was thinking, I saw Germany to advance from Group G @1.17 is it honestly worth playing 3K on this to win 500 ?

This is a short-term strategy as i don't like playing low odds

(i Know i'll have to wait until the end of june to cash it but i don't mind it)

thanks for the serious replies

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Germany is the most consistent int team when it comes to Euro Championship or World Cup.
They never failed to advance past the group stage in a WC.
BUT
They also have the third toughest group in this WC, after group D and B (imo). Manageable of course, but still tough.
United States are a dark horse this year, very hard to predict their future and with Klinsmann at the elm...
African teams like Ghana are always a danger: they can be blew out completely or play the game of their life.

They have at least 75-80% to advance for sure, but don't know if it's worth a 1.17 shot to be honest.

[Betlitelli]

It`s not worth it when best german player Reus is injured and probably won`t be 100% fit in group stage games.Absolutely no value here, Portugal and Ghana are dangerous teams and can shock the world

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Reus probably won't play at all in WC.
But Germany isn't a one player team like Portugal...

[heathaterno1]

recently i had a tough loss in tennis (lost 3 000 )

i wanted to win this back step by step by playing "safe plays" only and low odds

So, so far I cashed with 2 "safe bets" which were

- Berdych to beat Isner @1.25 (bet 2500 to win 625)
- my second play was yesterday when Nadal beat Murray @1.175 (bet 4000 to win 700)

Now i was thinking, I saw Germany to advance from Group G @1.17 is it honestly worth playing 3K on this to win 500 ?

This is a short-term strategy as i don't like playing low odds

(i Know i'll have to wait until the end of june to cash it but i don't mind it)

thanks for the serious replies

Awesome bet. The best bet. Honestly. SportsAnalyst is a penetrating switched on individual who knows his stuff. Everything the guy wrote is true. And germany is not a one man team as he said just like last world cup where their captain and '' best '' player got injured in Michael Ballack. Their playmaker just like this time missed the world cup. Germany still made the semi finals and arguably should have made the final where they more than likely would hav won it. Their world cup doesnt depend on Reus.

Sweinsteiger { injury concern I must admit but will be there }
Kroos { who can play in the aboves role }
Goetze
Muller
Podolski
Klose
Lahm { defender but can make surging runs }
Schurrle
Ozil
Khedira

All world class and attacking talent. As TSA also mentioned, theyve qualified out of the world cup every single time. Even last world cup where they lost to serbia in their 2nd match, they still won their next topping their group. They can win this world cup and imo will make the semi's at the very least.

Their last 4 comps has seen them make the semis 3 times for 3 thrid place finishes and in the other comp made the final of euro 2008 where they also lost their second group game. Even after a set back they come back strong. Awesome bet, do it. Or, if you want the money even sooner take Argentina to beat Iran at the same odds theyll win by 3 plus goals the score should really be double that if not more. Thats their 2nd match up in the group. I'd honestly put 100k on that game.

[heathaterno1]

Do the Argentina bet actually. Its one game, less wait, they could start a man down and still crush Iran.

[vasilli07]

My recommended plays

To finish bottom of group bet

1) Australia @ 1.25
2) Costa Rica @ 1.18
3) Honduras @ 1.33

[heathaterno1]

My recommended plays

To finish bottom of group bet

1) Australia @ 1.25
2) Costa Rica @ 1.18
3) Honduras @ 1.33

good bets. Rubbish teams. Australia would be lucky to score a goal and in reality should lose every game by at least 3 goals. Vidal { if he plays } and Chile in their opening game should desecrate the Aussies.

[tipsadontlikehim]

thanks for the replies guys, appreciate it. Will think about it, i also like the Australia play but i don't have this option on Pinnacle.

[JayLA]

good bets. Rubbish teams. Australia would be lucky to score a goal and in reality should lose every game by at least 3 goals. Vidal { if he plays } and Chile in their opening game should desecrate the Aussies.

Talk like this will assure the austrailians draw chile you fkn mutt

[heathaterno1]

Talk like this will assure the austrailians draw chile you fkn mutt

Only a dumb penetrate like you would believe that. Thats why youre a broke mofo with no money or no bitch.

It's not your fault bro. You're were just a kid.

[gopolks]

I honesty think the USA, can beat Ghana, then get two draws to go through.

[JayLA]

Only a dumb penetrate like you would believe that. Thats why youre a broke mofo with no money or no bitch.

It's not your fault bro. You're were just a kid.

Lol always funny seeing you ghosts talk shit.

[vasilli07]

I honesty think the USA, can beat Ghana, then get two draws to go through.

USA will have to travel further to play their matches than any other team. For the group stage, it has been estimated that the squad could record as many as 11,500 miles from their base camp in just 10 days – compare this to Belgium, who have just 435 miles to travel for their three games, and it is clear that the draw has been far luckier to some than others.

[JayLA]

USA will have to travel further to play their matches than any other team. For the group stage, it has been estimated that the squad could record as many as 11,500 miles from their base camp in just 10 days – compare this to Belgium, who have just 435 miles to travel for their three games, and it is clear that the draw has been far luckier to some than others.

I noticed that. Interesting. How will the teams be traveling, via plane exclusively?

[KalouKalou]

You should combine Argentina and Brazil to qualify.

[vasilli07]

I noticed that. Interesting. How will the teams be traveling, via plane exclusively?

I think so unless their base is extremely near to the stadium.

[tipsadontlikehim]

You should combine Argentina and Brazil to qualify.

I am actually happy with Argentina to beat Iran
so i just played this



yeah that's a lot of money and very juicy but i like it. I can't see how Argentina would not win.

I am playing it now because the odds will drop to 1.15 or less in the next days.

[gopolks]

If the states beat Ghana, then hold on for two draws, they might go through.

[tipsadontlikehim]

If the states beat Ghana, then hold on for two draws, they might go through.

Yes like i said, my initial thought was Germany to qualify @1.17 but i much prefer Argentina to beat Iran @1.19

[heathaterno1]

I am actually happy with Argentina to beat Iran
so i just played this



yeah that's a lot of money and very juicy but i like it. I can't see how Argentina would not win.

I am playing it now because the odds will drop to 1.15 or less in the next days.

Great bet! Good luck and thanks for taking my advice on board. You are right it will drop so nice work getting on early. Careful as these bets get addictive so take a step back after this.

[heathaterno1]

Argentina will win by 3 goals minimum.

[tipsadontlikehim]

Great bet! Good luck and thanks for taking my advice on board. You are right it will drop so nice work getting on early. Careful as these bets get addictive so take a step back after this.

thanks, yep i am aware, careful with these kind of bets, i am in a period where i bet 1 time a week or less (don't have time) so we'll see.
I hope they win at least by 2 to prevent some stress!

[heathaterno1]

thanks, yep i am aware, careful with these kind of bets, i am in a period where i bet 1 time a week or less (don't have time) so we'll see.
I hope they win at least by 2 to prevent some stress!

Champ, don't worry, they'll win by about 8!

[tipsadontlikehim]

haha yeah at least

what are your next bets heathaterno?

[EasyPicks]

Reus probably won't play at all in WC.
But Germany isn't a one player team like Portugal...

what the fkk are you saying? one man team Portugal? did u even watch the last games by Portugal w/o Ronaldo?

PT has one of the hardest defenses in all the WC (Pepe+Alves and two world class goalkeepers). Nani is rising (he needs it badly to make a good wc), Moutinho is an elite midfielder.....

only freaking problem is the usual forwards....fkk them

[EasyPicks]

Yes like i said, my initial thought was Germany to qualify @1.17 but i much prefer Argentina to beat Iran @1.19

that one is in the bag.

you can also risk a little more betting higher odds (and be safe) with Ivory Coast pk against Japan.

[heathaterno1]

haha yeah at least

what are your next bets heathaterno?

I need Argentina to beat Bosnia and I'm all good If Holland beats Australia I'm even better if France beats Honduras, Italy and Uruguay beat Costa Rica and Spain beats Australia I'm flying and if a couple more win then I'm retiring

[tipsadontlikehim]

that one is in the bag.

you can also risk a little more betting higher odds (and be safe) with Ivory Coast pk against Japan.

thx for the advice but for some reason i support japan (got friends from there) so won't play on this

I need Argentina to beat Bosnia and I'm all good If Holland beats Australia I'm even better if France beats Honduras, Italy and Uruguay beat Costa Rica and Spain beats Australia I'm flying and if a couple more win then I'm retiring

cool ! good luck! they all look good to me except Italy i can't trust them, won't be surprised with a draw lol
the rest should hit i guess

[tipsadontlikehim]

OH
MY
FUUUUUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCKKKKKKKKK



and my gf is near by me right now ........


heathaterno1 man that was the most stressfu l bet of my life!!!

[greeksleek]

OH
MY
FUUUUUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCKKKKKKKKK



and my gf is near by me right now ........


heathaterno1 man that was the most stressfu l bet of my life!!!

Hey man, what a win! Crazy, glad you won bro!