group stage "to qualify" acca...

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  • chuda
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-27-14
    • 11079

    #1
    group stage "to qualify" acca...
    here is odds from betfair...
    Group A - To Qualify

    Brazil 1/50
    Croatia 11/10
    Mexico 6/5
    Cameroon 4/1

    Group B - To Qualify

    Spain 1/8
    Netherlands 4/6
    Chile 4/5
    Australia 12/1

    Group C - To Qualify

    Colombia 2/7
    Ivory Coast 19/20
    Japan 11/10
    Greece 15/8

    Group D - To Qualify

    Italy 2/5
    Uruguay 4/7
    England 4/7
    Costa Rica 8/1

    Group E - To Qualify

    France 1/5
    Switzerland 4/6
    Ecuador 10/11
    Honduras 13/2

    Group F - To Qualify

    Argentina 1/33
    Bosnia 5/6
    Nigeria 13/8
    Iran 4/1

    Group G - To Qualify

    Germany 1/8
    Portugal 4/9

    USA 11/4
    Ghana 11/4

    Group H - To Qualify

    Belgium 1/4
    Russia 4/9
    South Korea 13/8
    Algeria 7/2


    my idea is, as i will play all i can "in play", i`ll do this kind of acca before group stages as a big bet and around round 3 i can alternate with smaller bets if anything is shaky by then. i think teams like argentina, brazil, france, spain shouldn`t bring any group stage shock by not qualifying, i won`t touch c group as i think everyone can upset anyone there...i think belgium will do well this cup and should past algeria and one of two , either south korea or russia... biggest worry for me is germany and portugal , both going past usa and ghana... i have them in acca as Group G - Dual Forecast Germany/Portugal 8/11 and italy between pretty even much ups as urugay and england, but italy`s first game with england should be in favour for them.
    acca of 7 lines is @ 4.29
    or on a safe side 6folds out of 7 is ~ @ 3.5 or 7 units brings 24.71 unit...as well in case of something going wrong and one line looses, then rest should still get money back... and if there is 2 lines loosing , then i am taking a break till september
    so what are you think? worth a shoot ? if nobody will change my mind, i`ll go for it ...
  • easyliving
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-25-12
    • 8876

    #2
    colombia not to qualify worth a play as Falcao out for the competition and the Ivory Coast is a very talented squad as well as Japan, and the Greeks are always a threat with their defensive play.
    Comment
    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #3
      Anybody got a decent parlay that pays 5 to 1 with these?
      Comment
      • chuda
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-27-14
        • 11079

        #4
        Originally posted by Big Bear
        Anybody got a decent parlay that pays 5 to 1 with these?
        i would suggest russia , urugay and ivory coast to qualify @ 4.43..
        or if you like, swap russia to korea or urugay to england or ivory coast to japan any combination on treble will be 5/1 or bigger
        Comment
        • whareouttogetme
          SBR MVP
          • 09-26-10
          • 2721

          #5
          Portugal, Russia, Bosnia, Mexico

          edit: or this one

          Ivory Coast @ 10/11
          Belgium & Russia @ 4/6
          Germany & Portugal @ 4/6
          Argentina @ 1/25
          Brazil @ 1/20
          Spain @ 1/6

          5.75/1
          Comment
          • SarahPalin
            SBR MVP
            • 11-26-13
            • 1489

            #6
            are mexico the most overrated team going to world cup?
            Comment
            • whareouttogetme
              SBR MVP
              • 09-26-10
              • 2721

              #7
              Originally posted by SarahPalin
              are mexico the most overrated team going to world cup?
              No, that would be Belgium.
              Comment
              • SarahPalin
                SBR MVP
                • 11-26-13
                • 1489

                #8
                belgium france spain germany make a decent acca
                Comment
                • easyliving
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-25-12
                  • 8876

                  #9
                  Originally posted by SarahPalin
                  are mexico the most overrated team going to world cup?
                  they looked awful in qualifying and wouldn't have qualified if it wasn't for an extra time goal by the USA. They likely don't get past the group stages here.
                  Comment
                  • JayLA
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-11-12
                    • 7806

                    #10
                    Originally posted by easyliving
                    colombia not to qualify worth a play as Falcao out for the competition and the Ivory Coast is a very talented squad as well as Japan, and the Greeks are always a threat with their defensive play.
                    Colombia has plenty of goal scoring talent, regardless of falcao. Colombia qualifying depends on their defense vs ivory coast power and japan speed.

                    Dont do it.
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      Originally posted by chuda
                      i would suggest russia , urugay and ivory coast to qualify @ 4.43..
                      or if you like, swap russia to korea or urugay to england or ivory coast to japan any combination on treble will be 5/1 or bigger
                      i was thinking
                      USA N2Q -350
                      Japan 2 Qualify
                      S. Korea 2 Qualify
                      Chile 2 Qualify

                      But a parlay of Russia, Uruguay, and Japan pays 5 to 1?
                      Comment
                      • whareouttogetme
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-26-10
                        • 2721

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                        i was thinking
                        USA N2Q -350
                        Japan 2 Qualify
                        S. Korea 2 Qualify
                        Chile 2 Qualify

                        But a parlay of Russia, Uruguay, and Japan pays 5 to 1?
                        Wouldn't pick South Korea over Bel/Rus or Chile over Ger/Por
                        Comment
                        • chuda
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-27-14
                          • 11079

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                          i was thinking
                          USA N2Q -350
                          Japan 2 Qualify
                          S. Korea 2 Qualify
                          Chile 2 Qualify

                          But a parlay of Russia, Uruguay, and Japan pays 5 to 1?
                          that`s @4.77 but if u add something like usa n2q to it, then it should be around 5/1 ...

                          i think if, you believe these 3 can do it, than it`s not too bad for 5/1 for a medium stake.... as well as outcome of these three more likely to be known more or less by second game, because in a first round of games, key games are russia - skorea... japan - ivoryc... and 2nd round game england - urugvay...
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by whareouttogetme
                            Wouldn't pick South Korea over Bel/Rus or Chile over Ger/Por
                            Chile has to worry about Netherlands and Spain.
                            Comment
                            • Mac0
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 06-04-14
                              • 7

                              #15
                              Chile is a good team, i expect to qualify to next round.
                              Comment
                              • whareouttogetme
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-26-10
                                • 2721

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Big Bear
                                Chile has to worry about Netherlands and Spain.
                                Yeah, I put that first but then I changed it cause it didn't seem right.

                                Still, even though Chile are good, I don't see Spain and Netherlands going out
                                Comment
                                • Mac0
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 06-04-14
                                  • 7

                                  #17
                                  Spain is out.
                                  Comment
                                  • whareouttogetme
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-26-10
                                    • 2721

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Mac0
                                    Spain is out.
                                    Yeah, screwed me over too. Only other group qualification bet I have alive has Portugal in it. FML
                                    Comment
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