Aussie Punter's BTTS and Overs/Unders THREAD - Get in here if you need money.

[AussiePunter123]

My system is pretty basic, I look for value, so, ALL bets will be 1.90 or greater. No juicing here.

This thread is dedicated soley to BTTS and Overs/Unders.

BEST OF LUCK TO ALL that venture in here.

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#1 Liverpool v Newcastle


PLAY: BTTS NO @ 2.15 (Sporting Bet)

Rationale: Newcastle have scored away from home once in their last 6 away fixtures. Liverpool have scored 5/6 in their last 6 home fixtures. Head to head this line has cashed 50% of the time out of the last 6 fixtures between Liverpool and Newcastle.

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# 2 Sunderland v Swansea



PLAY: BTTS NO @ 2.10

Rationale: This tip is a bit more on hunch. Swansea have scored goals in 6/7 of their last away fixtures. Sunderland have conceded in 2 out of 6 of their last matches at home. At home, in their last 7 matches only once has each team (Sunderland and opponent) scored at least once each.

H2H of the last 5 matches between these clubs, only once has each team scored.

CHEEKY SIDE BET (NOT OFFICIAL): Tottenham BTTS NO @ 2.10 (Last 5/6 H2H fixtures cashed)



BOL to all and gamble responsibly.

[Merkel]

Jesus. How many friggin threads do you need?

[AussiePunter123]

Dont worry about the threads, what do you think of my plays?

[Merkel]

On first sight, I hate both. But I haven't looked in depth at those matches.

[Merkel]

"At first sight." (English not my first language)

[AussiePunter123]

What nationality are you mate?

[Merkel]

I got 2 passports and I don't care to share that info. (Not trying to be a dick, I could have just made something up).

[AussiePunter123]

Give me some plays mate.

I have to put food on the table some how.

[Merkel]

You're the prolific gambler, seems like you got no problem getting plays. My soccer is done for today. Only bet outstanding is Clippers-Thunder over 213.5. Cheerio.

[AussiePunter123]

Profit or loss for the day mate?

[edabramov]

You need discipline. You bet more games in a day than I do in a week.

[AussiePunter123]

Could be my mentor? You up or down for the year mate?

[Marillion]

You're the prolific gambler, seems like you got no problem getting plays. My soccer is done for today. Only bet outstanding is Clippers-Thunder over 213.5. Cheerio.

Thanks, tailed and made $$.

[addic3t]

You need discipline. You bet more games in a day than I do in a week.

Im sure he already know about it. He repeated few times and explained it to peoples about money management and discipline.

[Merkel]

Thanks, tailed and made $$.

I wouldn't tail a total stranger who never posts plays, but glad you won.

[Merkel]

Could be my mentor? You up or down for the year mate?

No. And if I wasn't up I would quit, because then it becomes a giant waste of time.

[AussiePunter123]

#4 San Jose v Wilsterman



BTTS No @ 2.15

Away team has failed to score in its last 4 away matches.

BOL and sex to all.

[Merkel]

On first sight, I hate both. But I haven't looked in depth at those matches.

I wanna confirm I hate both.

[AussiePunter123]

I have been destroyed this weekend by the bookies.

Just reloaded. Brand new start coming up.

Lets do this.

[edabramov]

i remember wayyy back like 1-2 months ago when you were posting in the fixed thread, your picks looked good even even though you acted weird.. but now I don't know what happened. You getting carried away with all the matches being " fixed ".

[AussiePunter123]

I dont think any of these matches were fixed, I was more simply betting using statistics.

I seem to do better watching live in play odds and betting from there.

[msy123]

Any picks today???

[AussiePunter123]

I got that bolivia game a few posts above coming up.

I think it is good value at over 2.00.

[AussiePunter123]

Have a play here if anyone wants a small stake with good value.

Brazil Serie A

Atletico Mineiro ** v Cruzeiro **




Under 1.5 @ 3.05
Under 0.5 @ 7.50


Rationale

Last 3 head to head matches between these 2 clubs, a total of 1 goal has been scored. U1.5 has cashed 4/6 of the last 6 fixtures at home for the home team. I think these odds have good value, especially if you want to have a small wager.

BOL to all.

[AussiePunter123]

All bets above have been settled

BTTS

2 wins
2 loses

+0.25 units

Unders/Overs

0 win
1 loss

-1 unit

OVERALL: -0.75 units

[AussiePunter123]

White Caps v Toronto (CANADA)



Over 2.5 goals @ 1.88 (sportsbet)

Whitecaps: Last 5 games @ home all cleared 2.5 goals total. L5 games @ home (avg 2.4 goals for) (1.8 goals against)
Toronto: L5 games @ away: 3/5 cleared 2.5 goals total. L5 games away: (avg 1 goal for) (1.2 goals against)

H2H L5 games: 2/5 cleared 2.5 goals total

[AussiePunter123]

White Caps v Toronto (CANADA)



Over 2.5 goals @ 1.88 (sportsbet)

Whitecaps: Last 5 games @ home all cleared 2.5 goals total. L5 games @ home (avg 2.4 goals for) (1.8 goals against)
Toronto: L5 games @ away: 3/5 cleared 2.5 goals total. L5 games away: (avg 1 goal for) (1.2 goals against)

H2H L5 games: 2/5 cleared 2.5 goals total

RESULT: WIN (2-1 final score)

Overs/Under Record

1 win
1 loss
0 pushes

Final:-0.12

[AussiePunter123]

Overall: +0.13 units

[AussiePunter123]

Tromso v Baerum (Norway Division 1)



Play: Under 2.5 @ 2.60

Rationale: Played 4 games at home in 2014, 3/4 have gone under 2.5 goals. Away team, away from home, 2/4 games have gone under 2.5. I put the chances of going under 2.5 @ 60%. Odds imply 38%.

Overall Record: +0.13 units

EDIT: Loss

Overall Record

BTTS: 2 wins, 2 loss =+0.25 units
Overs: 1 win, 0 loss, 0 loss = +0.88 units
Unders: 0 wins, 2 loss = -2 units

TOTAL: -0.87 units

[AussiePunter123]

KV Oostende v Kortrijk (Belgium Juplier League)



PLAY: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80

Rationale:

Last 5/6 home games for the home side have been under 2.5 goals.
Last 3/6 away games for the away side have been under 2.5 goals.

I think the current price offers good value.

EDIT: LOSS -1

[AussiePunter123]

TOTAL: -1.87 units

[AussiePunter123]

Sevilla v Elche (Spain)

BTTS No @ $2.20

Sevilla has held the away team goal-less in its last 4 fixtures. Elche isn't a high scoring team away from home.

Not sure why overs is at 1.67 ???

RESULT: LOSS -1

[AussiePunter123]

Chievo V Internazionale (Italy Serie A)

BTTS No @ 2.15

Chievo has scored once at home in its last 5 home fixtures. The away team has conceded in 2 of its last 5 away games.

RESULT: LOSS -1

[edabramov]

dam, last minute useless goal to fuk your bet over.

you just can't seem to win

[AussiePunter123]

dam, last minute useless goal to fuk your bet over.

you just can't seem to win

Not wrong mate. Just the way it goes. RELOAD.