I understand betting unders because the value continues to improve every minute that goes by that there isn't a goal but its the opposite with overs, the value gets worse.
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before the game always bet unders cause your winning before the game even starts!!!! WOWComment -
Value improves as game goes on? At 45th minute under 1.5 will be ( for example ) -120, at 60th live it will be -200.Comment -
what happens if it involves two teams who score 90% of their goals in second half of games?
there are plenty of teams that consistently have a strategy where they keep it tight for an hour than open up. Atletico Madrid are one of the best examples of this away from home. Plenty of other teams score a lot more goals in second half of games than they do first half...as a random example...Arminia Bielefeld have scored 19 goals at home this season and 16 have come in second half of games, plenty of other teams are similar.
Pescara are currently playing Novara in Serie B. 0-0 at HT, but Novara have conceded 30 goals away form home this season and 21 of them have come in second half of games, and they've scored 10 of 14 in second half of games so somebody may see this as a better situation to wait and live bet at HT then play the Over 2 or over 2.5 at start of game.Comment -
as you are watching a game you can sometimes feel a goal coming with periods of sustained pressure or very open play where teams are charging at one another and not trackin back...it makes perfect sense...probably one of the best plays i ever made was OVER 2.5 in the 80th minute of the champions league final..i felt bayern or borussia were not keen on extra time and were pushing for a goal...to my reward Robben scored in the 89th minute on a really great play!Comment -
-120 > -200 improvement, helpme.Comment -
I think I may have mis-read your thread.
On the other note, you're retarded because a goal can happen any minute and boom your chance at betting it is gone.
So yea, I think you're retarded.Comment -
yes it would in this instance, but I was using it as an example, and you'd of done it in every Novara game so far this season you would be certainly be up. Pescara hit the post twice in second half, if I'd of played the over 1 live at HT instead of over 2.5 before game Id of certainly felt better losing the former than the latterComment -
you are assuming there wont be any goals! for over 1.5/under 1.5 second half - overs a are looking for a goal before 65, if it hits they are in a better position than under backers.
of course if we assume no goals are scored, then yes over 1.5 is a stupid bet.Comment -
cant believe i bothered to respond
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I bet the live over 2 in krylya sovetov samara vs amkar and that has hit easily...I've also bet over 2.5, 3 +105 gaz metan medias vs ceahlaul and they scored one for me so far. I'm thinking match ends with atleast 3. Truth is I do better picking spots live (overs) than I do before the matchesComment
