Soccer Tips (continued on from 'fixed' thread)

[AussiePunter123]

Since the other 'fixed' thread has gone south, I thought I'd start a thread, more or less to help me keep track of my plays.

I have a simple system.

1) Only bet on home teams
2) Minimise risk as often as possible by playing double chance or DNB option.
3) Use dropping odds to guide my choices (ideally drops of at least 15%)
4) Head to head analysis on the two teams at hand (play is locked in if team has good home record against the opposing team
5) Browse betfair to look at money wagered

Ideally, we want to develop discipline. We need good record keeping as well to help improve your performance and analysis.

I have two types of picks - 'official plays' and 'leans'.

Leans are basically just hunches based on dropping odds without any real analysis, I don't wager money on these picks and they are more for experience.

Leans for Today ( no official plays)

England U17 v Czech Republic U17 (0200 Australian time)

England have a strong record at home and the odds have come in moderately for England.

ENGLAND @ 1.70 (Marathon Bet)

Record

Official plays (since 19th March)

11 wins
3 losses
4 pushes

+6.13 units

Leans (since 24th March)

3 wins
1 loss
0 pushes

+1.23 units

BOL and sex to all.

[SarahPalin]

youll be back

[TheSportsAnalyst]

AP I suggest you to reset your record, which was already been spotted as fake in the other thread (losses discounted an posts edited after kickoff) or you'll never get the credit you're looking for.

Cheers.

[Cainerz]

I appreciate the new thread Aussiepunter, it was a nightmare to find any of your picks/leans in the old one. Lot of great info in that other thread though, it's just chaos like you said.

SportsAnalyst, you've put forth some great insight that I've benefitted from in the other thread and seem to know your stuff. But at the same time you have been trolling AP pretty hard. Get off his ass man. The other thread was public domain, but this is his thread you're coming into and dogging him on. You don't need to be a hero. Let others do the research and see if AP is worth tailing. Worry about yourself...

Keep up the great work Aussie!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

I appreciate the new thread Aussiepunter, it was a nightmare to find any of your picks/leans in the old one. Lot of great info in that other thread though, it's just chaos like you said.

SportsAnalyst, you've put forth some great insight that I've benefitted from in the other thread and seem to know your stuff. But at the same time you have been trolling AP pretty hard. Get off his ass man. The other thread was public domain, but this is his thread you're coming into and dogging him on. You don't need to be a hero. Let others do the research and see if AP is worth tailing. Worry about yourself...

Keep up the great work Aussie!

lol

bye AP ghost!

[GiveMeaBJ]

lol

bye AP ghost!

I'm not the only one who got that feeling? Good to hear.

[Cainerz]

There's no need for us to clog the thread any further with this nonsense... but I can assure you I'm a real person (just joined SBR) and I just didn't think it was cool for you to be hating on AP in his own thread. I wish you the best of luck with your betting fellas...

[JOHNNY DOBBS]

aussie P is the real deal. go to the other thread if you don't like it. This one's for fixer fans only, no wallys allowed.

[edabramov]

Lol 3-21-14, 4 posts , 3 of them dedicated to dik-riding Aussie.

I will admit Aussie does have decent picks he loses credibility when pulling the " I WANT MORE FIXES " type of stuff.

[AussiePunter123]

Lol 3-21-14, 4 posts , 3 of them dedicated to dik-riding Aussie.

I will admit Aussie does have decent picks he loses credibility when pulling the " I WANT MORE FIXES " type of stuff.

I did that once, got found out, but still kept the result incorporated into my record.

England won 1-0 for what it is worth.

[AussiePunter123]

Leans and random bets (since March 24th)

6 wins
1 loss
0 pushes

+3.1 units

England U17 won 1-0
Zeledon DNB won 2-0
Ludogorets DNB WON

[AussiePunter123]

LEAN

Turkey U17 @ 1.95 (marathon bet) (away team)

[AussiePunter123]

3 leg parlay.

Stade Rennes v Lille UNDER 2.5 @ 1.53
Getafe v Villarreal Double Chance (1X) @ 1.61
Real Sociedad v Valladolid OVER 2.5 @ 1.67

Total odds: 4.11

BOL and sex to all.

[AussiePunter123]

Levski @ 1.83 (Bulgaria A PFG)

Plovidv V Levski (Bulgaria A PFG) O2.5 goals @ 1.80

BOL and sex to all.

[AussiePunter123]

LEAN

Turkey U17 @ 1.95 (marathon bet) (away team)

Turkey won 0-1

[buzzmann]

[QUOTE=AussiePunter123;21494344]Leans and random bets (since March 24th)

6 wins
1 loss
0 pushes

+3.1 units

England U17 won 1-0
Zeledon DNB won 2-0
Ludogorets DNB WON[/QUOTE

Why do you keep posting your leans and recording them if you DO NOT WAGER ON THEM? Fm your confusing

[AussiePunter123]

[QUOTE=buzzmann;21499746]

Leans and random bets (since March 24th)

6 wins
1 loss
0 pushes

+3.1 units

England U17 won 1-0
Zeledon DNB won 2-0
Ludogorets DNB WON[/QUOTE

Why do you keep posting your leans and recording them if you DO NOT WAGER ON THEM? Fm your confusing

Get out if you dont like it mate.

[buzzmann]

Your a joke MATE,,lol. Posting leans when in your own words. You say you don't bet on them lol. Then you post here and that other bs thread about you winning your leans fm,,get a life

[buzzmann]

This guy adds units to a total that shouldn't exist. He states on his first post that he doesn't wager on leans. Well WTF???

[AussiePunter123]

Im keeping a record for myself.

Please, go away.

[AussiePunter123]

Official Play

Raja Casablanca (Morocco) @ 1.50 (Bet 365)

[AussiePunter123]

Levski @ 1.83 (Bulgaria A PFG)

Plovidv V Levski (Bulgaria A PFG) O2.5 goals @ 1.80

BOL and sex to all.

Updated Lean Record (Since 24th March 2014)

8 wins
2 losses
0 pushes

+3.88 units

[AleksejJ]

My bookie wont take my bet on Raja Casablanca, this is the first time this has happened. At first it said they wont accept a single, so I parlayed it with Ajax over 0.5, and then they said they arent accepting any bets on that game. strange.

[AussiePunter123]

3 leg parlay.

Stade Rennes v Lille UNDER 2.5 @ 1.53
Getafe v Villarreal Double Chance (1X) @ 1.61
Real Sociedad v Valladolid OVER 2.5 @ 1.67

Total odds: 4.11

BOL and sex to all.

Parlay Record

0 wins
1 loss

-1 units

[AussiePunter123]

Official Play

Raja Casablanca (Morocco) @ 1.50 (Bet 365)

Won 3-1.

[AussiePunter123]

Updated Official Plays

12 wins
3 losses
4 pushes

+6.63 units

[AussiePunter123]

Lean

(Straight Bet) Al Rayyan SC @ 1.63 Al Rayyan SC vs Al Arabi Doha SC (QATAR)

BOL and sex to all

[AussiePunter123]

Parlay (3 leg)

Dusseldorf v Ingolstadt Over 1.5 goals @ 1.40
St Pauli v Greuther Furth Over 1.5 goals @ 1.28
Almere City v MVV Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70

Total: $3.05

BOL and sex to all.

[SarahPalin]

aussie man wheres the next play your lucca was gold and since then nothing at least post some good 1 plays in other thread

[AussiePunter123]

Lean

(Straight Bet) Al Rayyan SC @ 1.63 Al Rayyan SC vs Al Arabi Doha SC (QATAR)

BOL and sex to all

1-1 draw.

[AussiePunter123]

Parlay (3 leg)

Dusseldorf v Ingolstadt Over 1.5 goals @ 1.40
St Pauli v Greuther Furth Over 1.5 goals @ 1.28
Almere City v MVV Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70

Total: $3.05

BOL and sex to all.

Another dud.

[maverick4u]

Hey where u from bro melb or syd

[AussiePunter123]

Neither. From Qld. Why?

[SarahPalin]

aussie who you like for tonight?

[AussiePunter123]

Updated Lean Record (Since 24th March 2014)

8 wins
2 losses
0 pushes

+3.88 units

Updated. (since 24th March 2014)

8 wins
3 losses
0 pushes

+2.88 units