Karayilan's Saturday Picks

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  • Karayilan9
    Restricted User
    • 01-10-09
    • 3742

    #1
    Karayilan's Saturday Picks
    Current record: W 23. P 5. L 10

    Chelsea vs Wigan - Under 2.5 +100


    Chelsea have struggled to score at goal all season and that hasn't changed with their new managerial appointment. However, one thing that has changed is their defense is even more solid now. If Chelsea scores first they will kill the game. Wigan on the other hand have one of the best defensive records and have kept clean sheets in their last 3 games.

    Dortmund vs Hoffenheim - Over 2.5 -125

    I will carry on riding the Hoffenheim over train, I even think they could win this game, last week they were so unlucky to only come back with a draw missing a last minute penalty.

    Espanyol vs Real Madrid - Real Madrid +110

    In my opinion Madrid are only getting such high odds because people are overestimating Espanyol who beat Barcelona at the New Camp. Anyone who watched the match knows they won it not because of their brilliant football but due to Barcelona's embarrasing blunders and getting a man sent off.
    Read Madrid are on fire, I have been riding the Madrid train for 5 games straight and they have won every game. They will be fired up after their loss to Liverpool @ home.

    Fenerbahce vs Sivasspor - Sivasspor +0 , +0.5

    Sivasspor are still being underestimated, this team have won their backers so much money this season and I'm still on this train.
    Fenerbahce are getting backers well because their Fenerbahce, they have tens of millions of fans and people who don't even watch them but think they are a good team because of their past suceses who back them blindly no matter what.
    Fenerbahce has been playing awfull, I was disgusted with their performance last week, there is no team spirit, they are playing with no heart, they didn't even threaten their mid-table opponents.
    Sivasspor are a very good team, they are solid at the back and dangerous on attack, they are not Number 1 in Turkey for no reason. I will back them to Win or Draw because I think they are capable of both.

    However, I really suggest that this game be watched, if Fenerbahce starts the game as they did the last one I'm going to back Sivas for an outright win @ +350 , if they play as I suspect there is HUGE value in this play. The only problem is Fenerbahce has been very unpredictable, that is why I will watch the opening minutes and their lineup first.
  • Karayilan9
    Restricted User
    • 01-10-09
    • 3742

    #2
    Current record: W 24. P 5. L 13

    Chelsea vs Wigan - Under 2.5 +100 - Loss


    Dortmund vs Hoffenheim - Over 2.5 -125 - Loss

    Espanyol vs Real Madrid - Real Madrid +110 - Win

    Fenerbahce vs Sivasspor - Sivasspor +0 , +0.5 - Loss

    Well today record wise it wasn't good, infact it was awfull. However, I actually made alot of money today and I'm going to explain how.

    The key to soccer betting is "in-game betting". To make money in this area you have to use the system to your advantage and where possible create a situation where you can only win in a game.

    I'll use the games above as examples.

    The Chelsea vs Wigan game, when Chelsea scored as I predicted they tried to kill the game, they defended and did not take any risks in being too attackive.
    The books know that Chelsea has done the same so many times this season so inflate the odds for the "Over 2.5" goals and lower the Under 2.5 goals so low its not worth taking.

    The Odds for Under 2.5 goals at the beginning of the game were +100, by the 60th minute the odds for over 2.5 goals was +700.

    If you put $100 on the Under at the start of game you make $100 profit.
    Then if you put $30 on the Over in the 60th minute you make $210 - $100 = $110 profit if its Over. If it stays under you make $70. Whatever you do its profit.

    Now you can play around with it and its more tricky then it sounds but if you watch soccer and know when to act, for example key substitutions, tactical changes, injuries, red cards etc you can make life alot less stressfull.
    Comment
    • google99
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-08-09
      • 592

      #3
      thanks for the very useful in-game betting tips Karayilan, you mind tell me which book you use for live betting soccer or the one you recommended?

      thanks in advanced.

      btw.. do you post your soccer play anymore anywhere on this forum.. maybe I missed them ?

      thanks
      Comment
      • Karayilan9
        Restricted User
        • 01-10-09
        • 3742

        #4
        Google, I usually use Betfair or Bet365 for in-play live soccer betting, I'm not sure if you can use them in the U.S? I think you can use bet365?.

        I post some soccer picks I really like in the "Ck Mafia NBA" thread.

        From now on I'm going to post my picks in one page to make it easier.
        Comment
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