EP36's Deep, Deep Soccer Thoughts

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #141
    Adding...
    Denmark: Sonderjyske-Esbjerg Over 2.5 [-121]
    Spain: ]1st Half] Real Valladolid-Osasuna Over 0.5/1 [-140]

    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #142
      tempted to play 1st half over 1 in Sond/Esbjerg game, Sond are conceding goals for fun at moment
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #143
        I had to think hard about it. Defenses are shite, but Esbjerg has burned me a couple times by not scoring even against very poor teams. Hoping today that poor D outweighs so-so offense.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #144
          Esbjerg is laying another egg. Never going to bet on an over with them again this season.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #145
            Looks like my brain is still broken. FML.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #146
              11.23.13
              Germany: Augsburg-Hoffenheim Over 2.5/3
              Comment
              • BrianKay
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-20-12
                • 203

                #147
                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                11.23.13
                Germany: Augsburg-Hoffenheim Over 2.5/3
                Bullshit...should have flew over. Third goal called off in first half, and then no mas
                Comment
                • Vaughany
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 45563

                  #148
                  Yee rare tht hoffenheim dont score, especially away from home were they are so damgerous on counter usually.
                  Comment
                  • CFCSpecialOne
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 10-18-13
                    • 44

                    #149
                    I have followed you for a few years for sure Eagles Phan and being a fan myself, I have chose to fade myself and our plays have often been similar. What would your numbers be if you faded yourself ? Its so hard to bet against yourself but it has helped me recently, but it is so easy I feel to just go back to thinking we know what the hell will actually happen in matches. I always like your writeups and it seems you have a lot of cred on here, cheers and BOL always.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #150
                      Monday [11.25.13]
                      Italy Serie A: Roma-Cagliari Over 10 Corners (Betting Live)
                      Turkey Super Lig: Akhisar Belediyespor-Karabuksport Ove 2/2.5 [-120]

                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #151
                        Figures, I was skeered Besiktas would lay an egg, so I looked at the other Turkish match and liked the home side scoring goals and hopefully giving up some. Instead, 0-0. Besiktas up 3-0. Weee!
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #152
                          At least the corners bet is looking golden. Gonna look at some 2nd half bets today.
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #153
                            England Premier" [2nd Half] West Brom-Aston Villa over 1.5 [+104]
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #154
                              Boo ya.
                              Comment
                              • onemoregoal
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-04-13
                                • 8149

                                #155
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #156
                                  I saw an interesting note that Villa supposedly has been the best come-from-behind team in the EPL at working to take at least a point when they fall behind. Don't know if that translates to them being a good 2nd half bet all the time, but might be worth watching.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #157
                                    Spain La Liga: [2nd Half] Malaga-Athletic Club Over 1/1.5 [-120]
                                    Comment
                                    • Vaughany
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 03-07-10
                                      • 45563

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                      I saw an interesting note that Villa supposedly has been the best come-from-behind team in the EPL at working to take at least a point when they fall behind. Don't know if that translates to them being a good 2nd half bet all the time, but might be worth watching.
                                      Yee Villa have scored 82% of their total goals this season in second half of games, so def a good side to bet on in second half of games (or to be on goals in second half). similar to Groningen in Holland
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #159
                                        Hell to the yeah! Found a little mojo today with the 2nd half plays and the corners prop was a nice one too. Maybe I can get back in the right direction on these.
                                        Comment
                                        • onemoregoal
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-04-13
                                          • 8149

                                          #160
                                          had overs.... drained the life out of me.
                                          Comment
                                          • Giz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-06-13
                                            • 1703

                                            #161
                                            Well done.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #162
                                              Tuesday [11.26.13]
                                              Champions League: Zenit-Atletico Madrid Total Corners Over 10
                                              Champions League: Napoli +1 [+105]

                                              *Will monitor for any 2nd half plays that make sense too. Good luck dudes.

                                              Comment
                                              • Giz
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-06-13
                                                • 1703

                                                #163
                                                Don't fancy Napoli tonight as I think it will be a push for sure, will be tailing some of your live half time bets until you lose if there is any. BOL.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #164
                                                  Not a fan of anything in this early match. Zenit has done everything, but score - but I don't know that they will keep pushing if they cannot find a goal as a draw still keeps them in decent position, but f-ing up and losing on a mistake kills them.

                                                  Just gonna sit on my corners bet.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #165
                                                    unlucky with the corners play...if Alderwiereld's header had of gone over or Courtois of pushed it over like he intended you'd of been only 1 off!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #166
                                                      Champions League: [2nd Half] Porto-Austria Wien Over 1.5/2 [-108]
                                                      You could certainly take Porto -1/1.5 and look for the outright win, but anything can happen at this point especially with a team pressing for goals in the 2nd half. Porto should be out for blood and dominated all the stats except where it counted. They need to net an early one and open things up even more.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #167
                                                        Finally some luck for Napoli! At least back within 1. I'd take a push after this match. Could have been a lot more goals on either side in this one. Porto better cram another one in.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #168
                                                          Fukk and fukk is what this looks like.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #169
                                                            So much for any mojo returning. It was crushed back into my asshole.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #170
                                                              Wednesday [11.27.13]
                                                              Champions League: Bayern Munchen Team Total Over 2 [-115]
                                                              Bayern is in the pole position in the group and will like to leave nothing to chance on the last match day when they host Man City. That means they should be in search of the full three points in Moscow. The home side have allowed at least two goals in all four group stage matches. Bayern only failed to score at least three goals once so far in this group. That did come in the last match on the road vs. Plzen. It wasn't for a lack of effort though with 18 shots on goal and 28 altogether. They dominated the home meeting with these two, a 3-0 win with 13 shots on goal. A better finishing touch should see them at least net twice. Let's see it.

                                                              Bayer Leverkusen-Manchester United Over 2.5 [-130]
                                                              Even though Man U. is without Van Persie and have not exactly been piling goals up in CL play, I think this seems a smart-ish try. Leverkusen have been a brilliant scoring side @ home in all competitions this term with two goals or more in 8/9 overall. There are just two clean sheets in that mix. United had their lone breakout game in CL play with four goals @ home against this club. Since, they have scored just two goals in three matches. These two are fighting it out atop this group with Shakhtar looming in 3rd place, just two behind Leverkusen and three behind United. A draw and a win for Shakhtar would knot all three teams on eight points heading into the final match day. United might find that okay playing at home, but Leverkusen will be on the road and even though Real Sociedad sits at the bottom of this group - they have been very competitive and would offer a tough test for a team that might need a result to qualify for the next round. That's why I think there should be effort for the win to be sought after really by both teams to leave less to chance on that last match day. Both have plenty of quality in attack to make it happen.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #171
                                                                Updated with my other pick today. No half times for me today as I will be traveling. Good luck.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Giz
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-06-13
                                                                  • 1703

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Best of luck EP, not tailing although Bayern TT looks a push at best the conditions in Russia do not favour the Germans however the other game both clubs have a solid foundation from the goalkeeper through the middle could see a 1-0 game or a 3-3 game if that makes sense, I hope you hit both.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #173
                                                                    I don't see the conditions as that much of a detriment. It's certainly cold, but it's cold in Europe this time of year. Might be 10-15 degrees colder than they have played in lately, but from what I saw today is much better for them vs. a game tomorrow where some snow is expected. I did see in another thread it snowed earlier, but the pitch looked okay for now. Never know how that effects things I suppose.

                                                                    We shall see how it goes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #174
                                                                      EZPZ for Bayern
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ZorroToy
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 09-26-11
                                                                        • 153

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Heard from somewhere that RVP could be playing but ...yea Good luck with your bets.
                                                                        Comment
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