BigBurk's soccer plays

[BigBurk]

Let's give this another go. Been primarily playing live in-game the last year, making a decent profit, but the action is a lot less. Will use this thread to post my other pre game bets.

1) FC Twente ML vs. Ajax Amsterdam, 2.25 (1x)

Ajax has been in bad form this year when it comes to away games, not winning a single one up to today. Also, Ajax will still be missing Moisander and Duarte against a Twente squad getting in better shape each week. This one will be close, where I expect Twente to take it on home advantage.

[BigBurk]

2) AC Milan ML vs. Udinese, 1.80 (1x)

We all know Milan has been playing bad lately, but so has Udinese (especially in away games). With Barcelona around the corner Milan needs the win here to boost their self esteem and I expect them to take this one.

[EasyPicks]

Gl bro

[BigBurk]

1) FC Twente ML vs. Ajax Amsterdam, 2.25 (1x) *LOSS*

2) AC Milan ML vs. Udinese, 1.80 (1x) *WINNER*

1-1 on Saturday, with a late equalizer from Ajax (much deserved though) on the downside. Looking at todays card in a few.

[BigBurk]

3) Real Betis Sevilla ML vs. Elche, 1.75 (1x)

[swordsandtequila]

Good luck Burk, good to see you back posting soccer.

[BigBurk]

Thanks mate! Hope I can hit the magic 53% mark.

[BigBurk]

4) Trabzonspor ML vs. Sivasspor, 1.85 (1x)

[BigBurk]

Hmm Trabzon probably won't win this, after just getting the red card. Shame.

[EasyPicks]

Elche also making a surprise..or maybe not! The odd drop from 5.75 to 4.33 before ko

[BigBurk]

Could you believe that? Betis not even being able equalizing against a 10 man Elche squad?

[BigBurk]

5) Celtic ML vs. Ajax, 2.45 (1x)

6) Celtic DNB vs. Ajax, 1.75 (2x)

Moisander ruled out for tonight, so Ajax will be playing with a really young defence, yet again. Even with Commons and Brown out I expect Celtic to go hard at Ajax tonight if they are willing to make a chance in this group. Ajax always has difficulties with the long ball being played on them and with the home advantage, I see Celtic taking this one in a 1-0 type of victory.

7) Borussia Dortmund DNB @ Arsenal, 2.10 (1x)

The whole world seems to be on Arsenal tonight, underestimating Borussia a lot. Borussia can not afford to lose yet another one. I see a draw in this one to be honest, but it's still Germans, they can sneake out the win in this one.

8) Steau Bucaresti DNB vs. Basel, 2.08 (1x)

Seriously? Bucaresti DNB at even money? At home? If Steau wants to have a chance to become at least third, tonight is key for them.

[BigBurk]

Well, Dortmund snuck out the win as I mentioned and Ajax was Ajax. A lot better than Celtic, creating chance after chance (and missing them) only to give away two cheap goals. But we'll get them in two weeks when they visit Amsterdam.

Oh yeah, +4 units softens the pain a bit.

[plekz]

I'm planin on using PSG as one leg of a two teamer tomorrow, and then i'm torn between Galatasary - Manchester City for the second, you have any input to share on this? or maybe even another alternative?

[EasyPicks]

very nice hits man!

[BigBurk]

Quick round up on the score so far; 4-3 (57%), +1.85x

Looking at tonight's card, but it's hard to find some nice value imo.

[BigBurk]

9) Shakhtar Donetsk X2 @ Leverkusen, 1.80 (1x)

10) PSG -1½ @ Anderlecht, 2.18 (1x)

[BigBurk]

Added the PSG play, really can't see Anderlecht keeping close in this one. This is it, no more plays will be added. Good luck to everyone!

[EasyPicks]

no one is taking a shot at Bayern -2.5...... and everybody likes PSG to cover...

[BigBurk]

I don't like it either being on the public side, but having seen Anderlecht lately.... I just hope Cavani and Zlatan manage to play great together. Seems like they are far better when one of them is benched.

As for Bayern, I fear they might be a bit passive tonight and found the 2.5 a bit risky. I can image people playing it though seeing their starting line up.

About starting lineups, I think Sociedad has a real shot tonight at Utd given Utds starting eleven...

[BigBurk]

Zlatan is a fkn beast.

[BigBurk]

Well, it's safe to say the plays are going 1-1 tonight, with a tiny bit of profit.

[EasyPicks]

Zlatan is a fkn beast.

amazing third goal...just speechless!!

And that fkker comes to Portugal November 15 to the WC playoff....damn it! I hope he breaks a leg until then eheheh

[BigBurk]

You're Portuguese EP? Shame either Zlatan or Ronaldo won't be at the WC next year, but if I'd had to chose, I hope Sweden goes through. We as The Netherlands don't like to play the Portugese on tourneys!!

[EasyPicks]

You're Portuguese EP? Shame either Zlatan or Ronaldo won't be at the WC next year, but if I'd had to chose, I hope Sweden goes through. We as The Netherlands don't like to play the Portugese on tourneys!!

yes I am!

We are playing like sh*t and don't deserve to be in the WC but It would be an amazing loss for the WC in general if Portugal didn't go (mainly bcs the WC it's in our brother country Brasil)

[EasyPicks]

You're Portuguese EP? Shame either Zlatan or Ronaldo won't be at the WC next year, but if I'd had to chose, I hope Sweden goes through. We as The Netherlands don't like to play the Portugese on tourneys!!

ohh and btw both of them play like sh*t in the national teams (except for once in a while....a big while)

[BigBurk]

Early games:

11) RC Genk ML vs. Rapid Wien, 1.75 (1x)

12) PAOK Saloniki ML vs. Maccabi Haifa, 1.80 (1x)

13) Shakhtar K. 1X vs. AZ Alkmaar, 1.98 (1x)

14) Dinamo Kiev -1½ vs. FC Thun, 2.08

[BigBurk]

ohh and btw both of them play like sh*t in the national teams (except for once in a while....a big while)

True! I agree Portugal should be present next year, but if they are, please do not draw the same group as us.

[BigBurk]

I'm also considering a play on Shakhtar K. at home against AZ (1X, 1.92) but can't pull the trigger just yet.

[BigBurk]

Glad to receive you guys' input on the plays (especially the ones not locked in yet), since the EL is a tough nut to crack!

[BigBurk]

I'm also considering a play on Shakhtar K. at home against AZ (1X, 1.92) but can't pull the trigger just yet.

13) Shakhtar K. 1X vs. AZ Alkmaar, 1.98 (1x)

[zizoudane10]

Wanted to play Lyon too at first, but Rijeka is def able to put one in themselves, so I decided to not go with the AHC.

Still thinking about Salzburg.... I hate Austrian football, but honestly I think they are going to take this easily at home today. Just can't pull the trigger right now, no idea why...

[BigBurk]

Yeah I see your point.. Have to do some thinking!

Shakhtar starting strong, two huge chances in the first 2 mins.

[plekz]

Salzburg has looked solid, St.Liege managed to draw last time against Elfsborg who are straight up TRASH.

[zizoudane10]

Salzburg has looked solid, St.Liege managed to draw last time against Elfsborg who are straight up TRASH.

Yeah exactly. I could honestly see a 3:0, 3:1 here.