Can someone care to explain me these odds?
							
						
					Chile vs Ecuador WTF
				
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	mytsunamiSBR Sharp- 12-10-11
- 281
 
 #1Chile vs Ecuador WTFTags: None
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	VaughanySBR Aristocracy- 03-07-10
- 45563
 
 #2See further down in forum. Both teams only need a point qualifyComment
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	VaughanySBR Aristocracy- 03-07-10
- 45563
 
 #3See further down in forum. Both teams only need a point qualifyComment
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	tauraSBR Rookie- 09-13-12
- 20
 
 #4h2h or goal difference, which one counts first? if it's goal difference then even if uruguay wins and chile/ecuador loses both can advance. anyways ill put some money on ecuador just cause of the juicy oddsComment
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	vasilli07SBR MVP- 05-08-11
- 3955
 
 #5Ecuador has a +5 GD, Chile +3 and Uruguay -1. As long as both teams don't lose by 3 goals or more, they should both still go through even if there is a winner in their game. Uruguay will have to beat Argentina by at least 2 goals to overtake Chile(if they lose by 3 goals) and Ecuador(if they lose by 5 goals). Do I see that happening? Very slim chance.Comment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #6so is anyone going to play this one or not?Comment
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	tauraSBR Rookie- 09-13-12
- 20
 
 #7thanks vasili..since everyone is betting on the draw i might go against itComment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #8might just play chile ML, my beloved Arturo to prove everyone wrongComment
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	vasilli07SBR MVP- 05-08-11
- 3955
 
 #9Yes, if playing a side, I will also go with Chile. Ecuador is a horrible away team, winless so far in 7 away games, scoring 4 goals and conceding 11.Comment
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	EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy- 12-06-06
- 71662
 
 #10I understand the concept here too that one point guarantees them both to get in ... but I don't think Chile know how to play it safe. Realistically, the chances of Uruguay beating Argentina by a large enough goal differential to overtake either team is fairly remote one would think. Ecuador especially appears in no danger of losing out in that scenario with a +5 goal margin, while Uruguay is -1. Even if Ecuador gets smoked by three goals ... anyone think Uruguay is going to beat Argentina by three to make up that sort of difference?
 
 Chiile is +3, so they would have to get beat by at least two I would think for Uruguay to entertain maybe a really long shot at tying them for goal differential if they can beat Argentina by two. Uruguay though from all reports seem pretty well resigned to being a playoff team and don't seem to mind.
 
 I'm very tempted to try Over 2 goals in the match. Need to see lineups to make sure both coaches are at least on appearances going to field a strong enough side to expect goals. But if it's a mostly normal XI for both ... Chile has only had one match in qualifying not see at least two goals.
 
 If anyone has a link to lineups ... post away for the curious.Comment
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	VaughanySBR Aristocracy- 03-07-10
- 45563
 
 #11GRANDE ARTURO!!!!!!! Shame that he has to play this because he's probably gonna be fatigued for the big games at Fiorentina and RealOriginally posted by andy888888might just play chile ML, my beloved Arturo to prove everyone wrong 
 
  Comment Comment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #12Originally posted by VaughanyGRANDE ARTURO!!!!!!! Shame that he has to play this because he's probably gonna be fatigued for the big games at Fiorentina and Real 
 
  
 fricking pratdelli did the same with Pirlo today. grrrrrrrrrrrComment
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	VaughanySBR Aristocracy- 03-07-10
- 45563
 
 #13Expected Chile lineup:
 Bravo; Isla, Medel, González y Mena; Díaz, Vidal y Aránguiz; Valdivia, Sánchez y VargasComment
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	VaughanySBR Aristocracy- 03-07-10
- 45563
 
 #14Yeah what a stupid pointless move, played whole fuuckin game as well! And got Verratti sat there on the benchOriginally posted by andy888888fricking pratdelli did the same with Pirlo today. grrrrrrrrrrr Comment Comment
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	EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy- 12-06-06
- 71662
 
 #15Well if that Chile lineup is close to what they field ... that doesn't look like a squad that's going to sit around and look for a draw. Tough not to like goals as long as Vargas & Sanchez are in there.Comment
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	lucasdawgSBR MVP- 02-19-13
- 3399
 
 #16going with chile for this, uruaguay game is at the same time so i expect chile to secure a win at home to make sure there position is solid.Comment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #17Originally posted by VaughanyExpected Chile lineup:
 Bravo; Isla, Medel, González y Mena; Díaz, Vidal y Aránguiz; Valdivia, Sánchez y Vargas
 i sense Isla will f*ck me over some how and medel to get a Red card after Vidal scored 3 Comment Comment
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	lucasdawgSBR MVP- 02-19-13
- 3399
 
 #18from 10 attempts, ecuador has never beaten chile in a world cup qualifer at satiago. they are 6-0-0 scoring 19 and conceded 2 in the last 6 home matches. where as ecuador are 1-3-2 scoring 6 and conceding 7 on away in the last 6 matches. chile have won 6 consecutive matches at home i really doubt the fans would accept a draw.Comment
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	bigboiiSBR Rookie- 10-09-13
- 10
 
 #19what about URuguay v Argentina tongiht??.. Will Uruguay be up for the win?? they have there full squad where as Argentina are playing with a depleted one.. no aguero, higuain, di maria etc...Comment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #20wouldn't be surprised to see a draw with uruguay, i know they are fielding a stronger team but head to head, argentina haven't lost to uruguay in 90 mins for a while nowComment
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	lucasdawgSBR MVP- 02-19-13
- 3399
 
 #21i also took uruaguay in a separate play, i think they should win argentina playin with subsComment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #22well the lines on a draw in chile look to have moved more into Chile's favourComment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #23Goaaaaaaaalllllllllll sancheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz zzzComment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #24BANG 2-0!!!! don't do a repeat against colombia on me now please Chile!Comment
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	lucasdawgSBR MVP- 02-19-13
- 3399
 
 #252-1 zzzz lets hope chile can hold itComment
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	andy888888SBR MVP- 09-27-12
- 1288
 
 #26played a small one on the draw just incase.
 
 same with argentina tooComment
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	lucasdawgSBR MVP- 02-19-13
- 3399
 
 #27chile and uruguay pulled thru for me pre dece night thanks for the thread made me put some late plays Comment Comment
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	VaughanySBR Aristocracy- 03-07-10
- 45563
 
 #28I imagine a lot got burnt by those draw odds thinking it was fixed, just like Shakhtar/Juve last seasonComment
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