Lurked Enough: Swedish Sundays

[cherub]

Lurked plenty on this forum and done my betting. Time to try and add something to the mix. Followed Swedish/English soccer for 15 years so.

BIG Game in Sweden - MALMÖ FF V AIK. Second place versus Third place and whoever wins will be the league leader.

That said - should be a scoring game which Malmö will win. They have won 6 straight at home against AIK (10 meetings since 96) and only lost 3 games at home since last season.

1 U = 50$

1 U on MFF AIK O2,5
1 u on MFF to win first half
1 U on MFF to win ml


Feel free to call me an idiot if neccessary

[Romanovik]

Naa

AIK +1
Anderlech
honka

is the winning combo.

[stemellor]

Good luck!

[cherub]

Hah luck is a lady and i'm doing sick things to her tonight..

1-0 MFF Halftime after 1-0 at 45.30

The over looks really poor tho

[cherub]

1 U = 50$ (Starting 10 U)

1 U on MFF AIK O2,5
1 U on MFF to win first half @ 2.40
1 U on MFF to win ml @1.90

2-1 = 7 + 4,30 = 11,30

Lucky lucky lucky but AIK was poor so some quality in there.

[onemoregoal]

I dont think thats right bro?
If you started with 10u and bet 3u, you have 7 in the bank.
You returned 4.3u, so bank should be 11.30?

[cherub]

I dont think thats right bro?
If you started with 10u and bet 3u, you have 7 in the bank.
You returned 4.3u, so bank should be 11.30?

Hah sorry. it's ehm after 6pm in Sweden and obviously that's very late.. Good thing I stopped betting for the night since my math went straight to hell.

Thanks

[onemoregoal]

Sorry lol, very good anyway

[cherub]

Ponying up on the Superettan action tonight with two horrible teams playing ( Värnamo v Hammarby ) and two slightly better teams playing (Sundsvall v Orebro). I am steering clear of choosing sides in any of these gamest today as the quality is sub-sub-par

2-1 11,3 U

Varnamo v Hammarby
Little creativity in attacks, zero pace and virtually no forwards worthy of their pay-check as proven by there being 0 players (after 18 games played) having scored more than 4 times.. Last five games between these clubs have had less than 2,5 goals scored with four of these being 1-0 wins to some side. I hate betting on Hammarby as watching them play is pure horror but ripe plums ripe for picking here:

It's basically a draw project so
0,5 U on the 1st half draw @ 2.10 (0.5*2,10)
0,5 U on most goals scored in 2nd half @ 2,05 (0,5*2,05)
1 U on the under 2.5 goals scored @ 1,93 (1*1,93)

Sundsvall v Örebro
This is the broadcast game of the night as these teams are placed 1 and 3 respectively whilst scoring and allowing heaps. I'm trusting lack of defense from Sundsvall to provide a very, very solid over here: 4 of their 5 last games have had more than 5 goals with both teams scoring atleast 2.

2 U on Over 2,5 @ 1,65 (2*1,65)
0,5 U on Over 5,5 @ 10,0 (0,5*10)

In total:

11,3 - 4,5 =

[DoggyStyle]

I agree hardcore on the Hammarby under! GL on the other one also.

[cherub]

I agree hardcore on the Hammarby under! GL on the other one also.

Looks like I under-valued how poor Varnamo is.. Looks wasted already

Hammarby up 2-0; Varnamo's coach sent off. Looks like it will be 3-4-5 to Hammarby so if you live bet... Bet on those guys

[oldscho0led]

if you want to bounce back, Banik Ostrava +0.5 @ 1.71. They have no business being the dogs here. +0.5 is for safety

[oldscho0led]

Hoping for the Under. 30' more! Tighten that D

[DoggyStyle]

Wow i can believe we hit that Hammarby under!

[cherub]

Varnamo v Hammarby

0,5 U on the 1st half draw @ 2.10 (0.5*2,10)
0,5 U on most goals scored in 2nd half @ 2,05 (0,5*2,05)
1 U on the under 2.5 goals scored @ 1,93 (1*1,93)

Sundsvall v Örebro

2 U on Over 2,5 @ 1,65 (2*1,65)
0,5 U on Over 5,5 @ 10,0 (0,5*10)

Tonight = 1W 4L
Total = 3W 5L

Units = 8,73

I have no idea how that Under hit but whatever. Orebro is the team that really really disappointed me.

[cherub]

Sweden - Norway (int friendly)

International friendlies can go anywhere but could not resist. Sweden is a fading nation and Norway is a rising nation so Norway is the easy play.
We've had intermittent rain storms for the last 2 days so it will be played with the roof down with less than 15,000 spectators. Zlatan has issues motivating himself for PSG so why would he care here. No need to even care about the state of Norway since these affairs are always lackluster and boring.

0,5U on Norway (+1) @ 2,05
0,5U on Under 2,5 @ 1,75

Lots of value in other games (US/Bosnia and Belgium specifically but not the place to track)

[cherub]

Clearly I should not bet

Fade me into the blue

[cherub]

Zlatan, zlatan, zlatan... voi voi voi!

7,73 U left..

Jkpg Sodra v Degerfors

I think Jonkoping will be relegated this year whilst Degerfors will stay around 3-5th place and no suspensions, playing away or nothing can change that Degerfors is the good one here. They both like to allow goals like nothing and Superettan have a tendency to be plagued by defensive mistakes so the overs are also good.

1U at over 2,5 @ 1,65
0,5U at HT/FT Degerfors @ 4,50

GAIS - Ängelholm
GAIS has no money, sold a lot of players during the transfer window and have a tendency to collapse. Ängelholm is a dicy play but they usually allow and score some so the over is the only true play here. I just don't trust a club in crisis against a team can start to perform at any time.

1U on O 2,5 @ 1,65
0,5U on HT/FT Ängeholm @ 5.5

[cherub]

Mendes is looking great so I like the overs.

Putting live play at 0,5U on Degerfors to score more than 1,5 goals @ 1,83

[cherub]

Djurgården - Häcken
Never bet large on a relegation battle so small bets on the non-risky plays; both teams allow and score goals so the over looks very good even if Häcken lost their best player and goal scorer for 2 months (El Kabir) and have no replacement. Djurgården's coach also stated they will play to score in this game so hopeful!

Due to Djurgården being strong at home, Häcken losing three starters to injury/suspension and Djurgården tending to win one/lose one then Djurgården is a solid play as well.

02,5 @ 2,00 for 0,5u
Djurgården ML @ 2,4 for 0,5u

Still thinking about the Kalmar - MFF game but I doubt it. Have a really bad feeling about MFF today..

[cherub]

Adding two:

Falkenberg - Värnamo
Promotion-candidates who can score against regulation-candidates who let people score.

Over 3 goals @ 1,850 for 0,5u

Kalmar - Malmö
Think this will be a great game with lots of intensity. Fair warning that Kalmar can be one of the least fun sides to play again in Sweden so warning on the over bets here. Malmö will be the lone league if they win and if they win - they usually lead by HT.

Malmö ML HT/FT @ 3.10 for 0,5 u

[onemoregoal]

Djurgarden hit the woodwork late on, over 2.5 was my play of the day

[cherub]

Yeah! Had a number of clear cut chances in the penalty area that should have been put away but that would be the reason as to why they are relegation-threatened.

Hoping for MFF to bail me out again

0-2 so far

[cherub]

Malmö showed up so live betting:

1u on Malmö ML @ 1.95

[hotelis]

malmo with the early lead!!

[cherub]

POW! Let's do it the Twente-way!

[cherub]

2-0 What a strike, what a goal!

[cherub]

Ah Malmö I love you!

Summary:

Djurgården - Häcken 0-2 -1u
Kalmar - MFF 2-0 +1,95u
Falkenberg - Värnamo 1-0 +0,43u

Record : 8-11 -1,47u

[cherub]

Finally emigrated and settled in so missed enough action but game of the week warrants a play:

Malmö FF v IFK Göteborg
Malmö is a machine at home and have been playing lights out whereas Gothenburg has an extremely potent attack in Hysen and Söder, especially against a big back-four such as Malmö. I could see this going anyway but Malmö at home, especially when being red-hot, is too much for most teams.

1U on ML Malmö FF @ 1,66
0,5U on HT/FT Malmö FF @ 2,40

[cherub]

Pretty, Pretty Malmö with a stunner at half-time and then a killer at the end. 3-1!

+1,31 U
2-0

Total:
10-11
-0,16U

[onemoregoal]

I had another goal before half time, very sweet Malmo