What to play on Thursday?

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  • DarkNite
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-09
    • 5023

    #1
    What to play on Thursday?
    DEN D2 12:00 HB Køge vs Lyngby BK
    Away ML/// In the history, H2H, Lyngby has dominated Koge, I wonder if this game is another one. This play is pub play and the line indication is to play Lyngby. I like ML@130, if you are so scared then go with pk@-150, for me it's not worth at all.
    .......................
    Sometimes we have everything right, but we have to deal with many factors such as red card(s), bad behavior of some players etc........ Then the pick gone bad.
    ........................
    I will pick my EULQ in the morning, let the lines settle down first.
    .........................
  • DarkNite
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-09
    • 5023

    #2
    EULQ:
    UEFA EULQ 11:30 (1)MSK Zilina vs Olimpija Ljubljana(3)
    Away +0.5
    ................
    UEFA EULQ 11:30 (1)Piast Gliwice vs Karabakh Agdam(2)
    Away +0.5
    .........................
    UEFA EULQ 12:00 (1)FK Minsk vs Valletta FC(1)
    Away+1.5
    .....................
    UEFA EULQ 12:00 (0)Jeunesse Esch vs FK Ventspils(1)
    Away ML.
    ...................
    UEFA EULQ 12:00 (0)Pyunik FC vs VMFD Zalgiris(2)
    Away ML
    .................
    UEFA EULQ 13:00 (2)BK Häcken vs Sparta Praha(2)
    Away ML.
    ..................
    UEFA EULQ 13:15 (0)Dacia Chisinau vs Chernomorets Od.(2)
    Home ML
    ..................
    UEFA EULQ 14:15 (0)AaB Aalborg vs Dila Gori(3)
    Away+1
    ..................
    UEFA EULQ 14:00 (2)Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Minsk(1)
    Away ML
    .................
    UEFA EULQ 14:30 (0)IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs FKvs Crvena Zvezda(2)
    Home ML.
    ..................
    This is EULQ, not CLQ. I think there is the difference. Some clubs do care, some don't.
    The picks are based on the fluctuation of the lines. Sometimes pub is right. If the lines go against the pub, pub probably will lose.
    I do not like the faves <1.75, better go with the big dogs.
    Check the lines before game time, before you decide to place the bets.
    ........................
    Tail or fade up to you. Make your own decision!
    Sometimes I am hot, sometimes I am cold, sometimes I do it right, but red card(s) can turn the game into the wrong side, and so on......

    Best of luck!!!
    Comment
    • Akatana
      SBR MVP
      • 05-05-13
      • 1307

      #3
      Good stuff bro, thanks considering some of those.
      Comment
      • DarkNite
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-09
        • 5023

        #4
        Watch out for the monkey play!
        The team down 2, 3 goals @home, now the team is on the road. The team knows that it's very hard to score at least 2, 3 goals on the road. The players will try to score but without success. Now the home team is sitting comfortably, and whenever they get the ball, they will play monkey ball ( pass, pass) with little trial to get the ball into the net. They know that they are the winner from the first leg, they do not need to try hard, one goal or two goal-game is more than enough to make their fans happy, so the game leads to the Under.
        Sample:
        UEFA EULQ 14:45 (3)Lech Poznan vs FC Honka Espoo(1)
        I do not think that Honka will do harm to my Poznan on the road. I picked Honka to win first leg, but my Poznan was far superior than I have thought. If Honka cannot put the ball into the net, Poznan will feel sleepy. I know my Poznan like to show that they are one of the top, they might score a lot today if Honka scores.
        Comment
        • DarkNite
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-09
          • 5023

          #5
          I do not know what's wrong with my Poznan, be your own judge! Look at the Open Line and Current line closely!
          Game starts on Thursday July 25, 2013 at 02:44PM EST

          -1 (-135) [Open: -1.5 (-101) ] +1 (+110) [Open: +1.5 (-118) ]
          O 2.5 (-135) [Open: O 2.5 (-119) ] U 2.5 (+110) [Open: U 2.5 (+100) ]
          -240 [Open: -309] +725 [Open: +960]
          +370 [Open: +426]
          2:44pm
          odds bet
          11411
          11410
          Honka Espoo
          Lech Poznan
          Draw
          4
          8
          33%
          67%
          6
          19
          8
          18%
          58%
          24%
          O 21
          U 6
          78%
          22%
          The line is going against the pub.
          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #6
            Originally posted by DarkNite
            I do not know what's wrong with my Poznan, be your own judge! Look at the Open Line and Current line closely!
            Game starts on Thursday July 25, 2013 at 02:44PM EST

            -1 (-135) [Open: -1.5 (-101) ] +1 (+110) [Open: +1.5 (-118) ]
            O 2.5 (-135) [Open: O 2.5 (-119) ] U 2.5 (+110) [Open: U 2.5 (+100) ]
            -240 [Open: -309] +725 [Open: +960]
            +370 [Open: +426]
            2:44pm
            odds bet
            11411
            11410
            Honka Espoo
            Lech Poznan
            Draw
            4
            8
            33%
            67%
            6
            19
            8
            18%
            58%
            24%
            O 21
            U 6
            78%
            22%
            The line is going against the pub.
            Only reasoning for this could be that Lech were better away from home than they were at home in the league last season
            Comment
            • DarkNite
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-12-09
              • 5023

              #7
              Thanks, Vaughany!
              I wonder if you guys check the betscout ( I have just found when I was looking for my Poznan info), very impressive. Now I feel that I am not alone that I have picked these games.
              Comment
              • DarkNite
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-09
                • 5023

                #8
                UEFA EULQ 14:30 (2)Debrecen VSC vs Stromsgodset IF(2)
                Home ML. /// I think Stromgod is not good on the road.
                Comment
                • DarkNite
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-09
                  • 5023

                  #9
                  Let the game begin!!!
                  Good luck, everyone!!!
                  Comment
                  • kacher1135
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 07-14-13
                    • 40

                    #10
                    good luck. i hope. win full.
                    Comment
                    • kacher1135
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 07-14-13
                      • 40

                      #11
                      bad. home Pk away. to all
                      Comment
                      • JT OZ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-16-10
                        • 2076

                        #12
                        Originally posted by DarkNite
                        UEFA EULQ 14:30 (2)Debrecen VSC vs Stromsgodset IF(2)
                        Home ML. /// I think Stromgod is not good on the road.
                        Over?
                        Comment
                        • swordsandtequila
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-23-12
                          • 9757

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JT OZ
                          Over?
                          I'm on the over. No sides today.
                          Comment
                          • JT OZ
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-16-10
                            • 2076

                            #14
                            Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                            I'm on the over. No sides today.
                            I booked it small at -143, up to -162 now so I may look into 2.5/3 but wanted some insight on it first.
                            Comment
                            • swordsandtequila
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-23-12
                              • 9757

                              #15
                              Originally posted by JT OZ
                              I booked it small at -143, up to -162 now so I may look into 2.5/3 but wanted some insight on it first.
                              I just looked at matches where both teams score/concede, first leg had road goals so home team today might not be safe with a 1-0 type victory, etc. Avoided games with teams I know jack squat about, regardless of the lines. For today's Europa just 3 matches, all totals: Stroms/Derry City/Hacken. Good luck!
                              Comment
                              • JT OZ
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-16-10
                                • 2076

                                #16
                                I agree with your approach and I have followed Stroms league games a good amount the last 2 years so those factors led me to that game. Best of luck to you as well, hoping for some goals!
                                Comment
                                • kacher1135
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 07-14-13
                                  • 40

                                  #17
                                  thiss bab Dn. i lost so much. pl help me
                                  Comment
                                  • swordsandtequila
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-23-12
                                    • 9757

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                                    I just looked at matches where both teams score/concede, first leg had road goals so home team today might not be safe with a 1-0 type victory, etc. Avoided games with teams I know jack squat about, regardless of the lines. For today's Europa just 3 matches, all totals: Stroms/Derry City/Hacken. Good luck!
                                    Full win, half win, loss. Small profit. Better than a kick in the head .
                                    Comment
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