Zizou's Picks - Season 2013/14

[Bluedragon]

First of all: Jalgpalliklubi Nõmme Kalju is a well known club when it comes to fixing. The football in Estonia in general is corrupt to the bone. Fixing is the daily standard there, in every league (that you can bet on).

The 1st game might even have been clean. I'm not sure about that one. Plzen is the far better team, no doubt about that. Two goals in the 1st game looked real fishy, but then again, the goalie just isn't very good and some things like those just happen with bad players. Doesn't mean it wasn't fixed, but could very well have been clean.

This match... Well.... Kalju knew for sure that they were out after the 0:4 in the first one. Time to make money. (And I think Plzen was in on this)
Just think about the massive number of bets they have won with just this one game: 1st team to score Kalju. After that, Plzen to win 1st half. Over 1.5 1st half. Over 2.5 1st half. Over 7.5 (@15 btw). Over 4.5 2nd half. Plzen over 5.5 team goals. Kalju over 1.5 team goals. Plzen to win after being behind. Kalju to score in both halfs. Bts. I saw this game. These guys are ruthless. Period. Fenerbahce might be suspended from the European stage for match fixing (which is right and correct and good). But in the end, who gives a fukk? UEFA-Mafia? Naaaah, they don't give a shit. Watch what happens in the Qualifiers each year. And I'm not talking about surprises like Differdange -> clean game, fair game, fair result. Watch what the teams like Skenderbeu, or the Estonian, the Latvian, the Georgian etc etc etc teams are doing there. Each and every year. And you just know it. You can watch live what happens to the lines in the big Asian books in 90% of the time with these matches. These are not accusations or anything, it's a fact that these teams are making a killing, every year again. They don't give a shit about the sport. And the fukking UEFA and their Mafia-Boss Platini (He learned from the even bigger guy Sepp Blatter who learned it all from the German Adidas Boss btw) just sit and watch. It's disgusting (not from a punters point of view, but from a guy who loves sports point of view. And even as a punter you are sometimes pissed when you made a well thought pregame bet and you suddenly see what happens to the odds live and you know: Yep ok, it's gone cause they do it again. Even punting would be a lot easier for us often if we didn't have to take possible fixes in EVERY league on earth into our thoughts).

Wow. Fantastic analysis and explanation. Thank you very much. Much appreciated. I have always backed Plzen but with those E-Europe teams you never can count your money as safe. Thanks again boys...great insight!

[onemoregoal]

Skenderbau Korce was fixed 100%
3-1 score in play, Shakhtar -0.5 was 1.50 - they score. Now 3-2, Shakhtar -0.5 is now 3.8 , no more goals and they go home

[zizoudane10]

Skenderbau Korce was fixed 100%
3-1 score in play, Shakhtar -0.5 was 1.50 - they score. Now 3-2, Shakhtar -0.5 is now 3.8 , no more goals and they go home

Exactly!!
Did you watch these live odds all the time? I did. 2nd goal Skender went from 2.2 in a few seconds to 1.36.

[onemoregoal]

Oh and Toluca in the Concacaf game, another goal on min 87 1.85 - it came by the Trinindad side
Its basically everywhere.

[zizoudane10]

Oh and Toluca in the Concacaf game, another goal on min 87 1.85 - it came by the Trinindad side
Its basically everywhere.

Another example! Absolutely correct!
And believe me guys, I'm one that often tells guys that always scream "FIX FIX FIX" that it is complete nonsense for this special game. But stuff like the things onemoregoal and I mentioned do happen, and they happen everyday. You just have to follow the lines. Just watch what happens live.

[Akatana]

It's messed up

[zizoudane10]

It's messed up

[Tommy_de1st]

The worst thing is that we can't do anything about that

[zizoudane10]

The worst thing is that we can't do anything about that

Completely right.

And: hell yeah, she IS hot

[olemissbydamn]

Beautiful ball beautifully placed shot from Marcelo. Real looking great so far



edit wrong thread sorry

[dk70]

Hey Zizou, do you have any thoughts or plays on the Maccabi/Ventspils match today?

Maccabi -2, 2.5 -104 over 3 -123

[dk70]

Line has been moving away from the maccabi 03 and the -2, 2.5. Is the fix on the under? Maccabi only needs to win by a goal.

[onemoregoal]

Vents are playing 4-3-3 which is suicidal. Fix on unders? maybe, i dont even think its fixed...... normal game it should be 4-0+

[zizoudane10]

I'm in a hurry, livebets:

Lech Posen - Zalgiris (0:1), over 2.5 @1.85 2/10
and
Maccabi - Ventspils (2:0), Maccabi AHC-1.5 @2.6 1/10 (bet365)

EDIT: The moment I posted this Maccabi scores the 3rd, sorry guys. Still the -1.5 is worth another shot.

[dk70]

Damn. I chickened out on the Over 3.

[zizoudane10]

Lech Posen - Zalgiris (0:1), over 2.5 @1.85 2/10

2:1 FT, +1.7 units

Maccabi - Ventspils (2:0), Maccabi AHC-1.5 @2.6 1/10 (bet365)

-1 unit

Bit unlucky with the Maccabi live bet, but lucky with Posen, + is +. Nailed the HC-2 pregame with Maccabi, so I'm happy with these games.
Pregame bets: 7 wins - 6 loss - 0 push, +1.7975 units

Live bets: 11 wins - 11 loss - 1 push, +6.7825 units

[zizoudane10]

I'm a little pissed though that I've been in a hurry all day and totally forgot the Stuttgart game. The under would have been such a great bet

[zizoudane10]

Only a few pregame bets, nothing big:

Hoffenheim - Nürnberg, Hoffenheim @2.15 (5Dimes) 1/10

Hannover - Wolfsburg, Wolfsburg @2.33 (5Dimes) 1/10

Leverkusen - Freiburg, Leverkusen AHC-1 @1.85 (SBO) 2/10

Hertha BSC - Eintracht Frankfurt, over 2.5 @2.04 (SBO) 1.5/10

Augsburg - Dortmund, over 9 (asian) corners @1.925 (bet365) 1.5/10

[zizoudane10]

I'm not here during the games, the girl wants to go shopping
So won't be able to watch the games or answer any questions. BOL to all!

[dk70]

I'm not here during the games, the girl wants to go shopping
So won't be able to watch the games or answer any questions. BOL to all!

thanks for the plays. Have fun away from the computer and tv today.

[hotelis]

what do you think?

[onemoregoal]

I needed onemoregoal
They are rivals, i didnt think they would fix? evidently they did lol.

[zizoudane10]

Hoffenheim - Nürnberg, Hoffenheim @2.15 (5Dimes) 1/10

2:2 FT, -1 unit
Hoffenheim was up 2:0, ended 2:2, bit unlucky.

Hannover - Wolfsburg, Wolfsburg @2.33 (5Dimes) 1/10

1:0 FT, -1 unit
Can't win a game with 2 red cards of course

Leverkusen - Freiburg, Leverkusen AHC-1 @1.85 (SBO) 2/10

3:1 FT, +1.7 units
Perfect.

Hertha BSC - Eintracht Frankfurt, over 2.5 @2.04 (SBO) 1.5/10

6:1 FT, +1.56 units
I was pretty sure the @2.04 was way too high here, but 7 goals are crazy of course

Augsburg - Dortmund, over 9 (asian) corners @1.925 (bet365) 1.5/10

11 corners, +1.3875 units
Nice and clean bet, happy with that one.

+2.6475 units today, we are happy.

Pregame bets: 10 wins - 8 loss - 0 push, +4.445 units

Live bets: 11 wins - 11 loss - 1 push, +6.7825 units

[zizoudane10]

thanks for the plays. Have fun away from the computer and tv today.

You're welcome pal Had a great day with the girl, bought some nice stuff, chilled with a coffee in the sun later, perfect saturday away from the computer and tv. 100% quality time.

[ATTACH]59168[/ATTACH]
what do you think?

I needed onemoregoal
They are rivals, i didnt think they would fix? evidently they did lol.

Suduva, that's all you need to know

[zizoudane10]

Okay, now I'm a little pissed... Just saw that Hoffenheim made a 100% regular goal which wasn't given. The referee apologized after the game when he saw it and said he made a terrible mistake. Hoffenheim should have clearly won this, would have been 1.15 extra units

[zizoudane10]

We are going to the movies right now, gonna watch "This is the end" in original language (glad we don't have to watch it in German, most of the time some funny things are untranslatable). Loved the trailer, I'll let you guys know how it was later.

[zizoudane10]

What the fukk? This movie was insane, I nearly pissed my pants

[zizoudane10]

Live:

AaB - Odense (0:0), over 1.5 @2 (bet365) 1/10

[onemoregoal]

Zizou the Bulgarians are money laundering on the Botev game.
Zizou I have Leicester v Leeds over 2.5 it is 0-0 ht..

[zizoudane10]

Zizou the Bulgarians are money laundering on the Botev game.
Zizou I have Leicester v Leeds over 2.5 it is 0-0 ht..

Onemore, I feel you.
Onemore, the Danes don't want to score, too.

[zizoudane10]

Live:

AaB - Odense (0:0), over 1.5 @2 (bet365) 1/10

Nope, 0:0 FT, -1 unit

[swordsandtequila]

Was on the same Danish match, picked the wrong one . 1st Division been good for overs. On the bright side, Bundesliga's back! Overs went 7-2 first round, love this league .

[zizoudane10]

Was on the same Danish match, picked the wrong one . 1st Division been good for overs. On the bright side, Bundesliga's back! Overs went 7-2 first round, love this league .

Saw the match and the bet was totally okay from what I saw. Happens.
Bundesliga is back I LOVE it, best league, great football to watch!

[zizoudane10]

Live:

Galatasaray - Fenerbahce, over 1.5 1st half @2.75 1/10

[zizoudane10]

Fast game and big chances already, but they can't find the back of the net