Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

**markoid72** · 03-15-14, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by CXCVINE

For the people who don't know how to find the stuff you guys are finding easily, maybe you could write a short paragraph how to do it. That way more man power on watching for these kinda games. Also it won't be like just a couple of guys doing it for the rest. Just an idea!

I've been testing the methodology, and it's proving good. I haven't posted anything, as I want to understand the markets better. But in a nutshell:

Go to oddschecker, you can filter, and spot the big drops or increases in odds.

Next to go to Betfair. Here you can see how much money is wagered on a particular result, and then compare with the above.

Bearing in mind, it may be bookies money and/or someone with a big purse!

Personally, I check the league positions and form. Just to be more informed.

To add, I read an article on today's paper about footballers being the single biggest betting group for their own sport. I'd argue Jockeys do it more, but don't have the cash that the footballers have. And to note, in the lower leagues youll
earn more from a good bet than you will earn in a year. Corruption is human.

**MustWinPlease** · 03-15-14, 06:19 PM

any fixed games today?

**AussiePunter123** · 03-15-14, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by markoid72

I've been testing the methodology, and it's proving good. I haven't posted anything, as I want to understand the markets better. But in a nutshell:

Go to oddschecker, you can filter, and spot the big drops or increases in odds.

Next to go to Betfair. Here you can see how much money is wagered on a particular result, and then compare with the above.

Bearing in mind, it may be bookies money and/or someone with a big purse!

Personally, I check the league positions and form. Just to be more informed.

To add, I read an article on today's paper about footballers being the single biggest betting group for their own sport. I'd argue Jockeys do it more, but don't have the cash that the footballers have. And to note, in the lower leagues youll
earn more from a good bet than you will earn in a year. Corruption is human.

This is pretty much what I do as well.

I also browse twitter, often their will be talk on their about fixed games.

I heard about the Evian game and the Lille game through twitter, and both were hot leads that proved to be right.

Also, some leagues are rife with fixing IMO. Serie B in Italy and the French ligues are hot spots and IMO their are weekly fixes in both of these competitions.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-15-14, 09:24 PM

Still heaps of money coming in for the South Coast Wolves in Australia.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-15-14, 09:44 PM

I have suspicions about this match in Brazil (Campeonato Mineiro).

Tupi v Guarani

The HT/FT market for 2/1 has taken a pounding. Odds are down to $9 on Bet 365 from $15. Marathon Bet has this market at $26.

Interesting to watch this match.

On previous suspected HT/FT markets, the home team has generally come out on top. So maybe it is safer to back Tupi @ $1.50 for the win.

Still, this match could well be a fix.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-15-14, 10:01 PM

Also think match in Italy has strange betting patterns.

My tip: Cuneo H2H market.

**CXCVINE** · 03-15-14, 10:31 PM

Line dropped from 3.20 to 3.00 (Wolves) @my bookmaker just now, 30 mins before kick-off. Decided to try it before that, anyway.

Also that Brazilian match looks interesting to me. I'm gonna stay away from it for the moment but can decide to try it, idk. 26@ my bookie

**AussiePunter123** · 03-15-14, 10:44 PM

Wolves are the home team, so I think they are worth a bet.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-16-14, 05:36 AM

Bolivia: Nacional Potosi DNB @ $5.00

**markoid72** · 03-16-14, 06:19 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Bolivia: Nacional Potosi DNB @ $5.00

Big movement in the 1/2 (HT/FT) for tonight's Paraguay match. National versus October. I can't yet find a site which lists the amount wagered, as the 1/2 selection isn't on bet fair...

**AussiePunter123** · 03-16-14, 06:33 AM

October might be a DNB option.

**Kelloggs** · 03-16-14, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

I have suspicions about this match in Brazil (Campeonato Mineiro).

Tupi v Guarani

The HT/FT market for 2/1 has taken a pounding. Odds are down to $9 on Bet 365 from $15. Marathon Bet has this market at $26.

Interesting to watch this match.

On previous suspected HT/FT markets, the home team has generally come out on top. So maybe it is safer to back Tupi @ $1.50 for the win.

Still, this match could well be a fix.

1/2 ht/ft

**onemoregoal** · 03-16-14, 04:58 PM

upside down fix.

**MustWinPlease** · 03-16-14, 06:11 PM

whats the play

**Gaze73** · 03-16-14, 06:43 PM

Holy shit, there's this guy who posted this game today: Barcelona SC vs Dep Cuenca 2/1, and I didn't bet on it, because I've never won a ht/ft bet. Of course it won. What's weird is that only one bookie cancelled the game, and when I checked betfair at the time he posted this fix, there was almost no money on the game, that's also why I didn't bet on it. And before this game, he got right like 3 out of 5 fixes with odds around 6, also in the ht/ft market, but those games were x/x or x/2, etc. I don't know how he finds those games, but I will take his picks seriously now. He should have another one tomorrow, I hope.

**Gaze73** · 03-16-14, 07:05 PM

He says Vancouver Whitecaps should win, it's HT now.

**Raulik1** · 03-16-14, 07:10 PM

Please, who is this guy?

**Gaze73** · 03-16-14, 07:24 PM

Did you just register to ask about that? Lol. He's on a private paid forum, so you wouldn't be able to get his picks anyway.

**SarahPalin** · 03-16-14, 07:31 PM

vancouver hasnt even had a shot on net with 50 mins extra man

**Raulik1** · 03-16-14, 07:33 PM

Yes, I read only this forum, but I am not active member.

**Raulik1** · 03-16-14, 07:34 PM

Often, I saw here good inspiration

**SarahPalin** · 03-16-14, 07:50 PM

1 for vancouver its happening lol

**whareouttogetme** · 03-16-14, 09:11 PM

I'm gonna start picking random games where the home team is the favourite and put 2/1 HT/FT on lol

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 01:54 AM

Czech Republic: Sigma Olomouc U21 @ 1.67

Czech Republic: Trinic U21 @ 2.37

Malaysia Premier League: DRB Hicom v Sabah Under 2.5 @ 1.82 (21% drop)

BOL and sex to all.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 01:59 AM

Persiram @ 1.84

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 05:29 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Persiram @ 1.84

Rack up another win for us boys.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 05:31 AM

Lots of money coming in for Varnsdorf U21. Not going to play it as a play, but be interesting to see if they do get up. Double chance pays good money as well.

**shhplit** · 03-17-14, 05:32 AM

think anything is going on in the Neftekhimik - R. Volgograd match on now?

Neftekhimik are second last in the league and are 1.66 to win the match up 1-0 30mins in......

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 06:13 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Malaysia Premier League: DRB Hicom v Sabah Under 2.5 @ 1.82 (21% drop)

Another win. 21% drop - never in doubt.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 06:15 AM

Originally posted by shhplit

think anything is going on in the Neftekhimik - R. Volgograd match on now?

Neftekhimik are second last in the league and are 1.66 to win the match up 1-0 30mins in......

Could be a HT/FT 1/2?

**shhplit** · 03-17-14, 06:53 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Could be a HT/FT 1/2?

They ended up winning 2-1 hmmmm

How do you see how much is wagered on each team on betfair? I can only see the total matched amount of the whole game....cheers

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 07:34 AM

I'm not sure how you do it, if you actually can?

Some guy did post a graph of the money wagered on a soccer game earlier in this thread. No idea where he got it from.

**shhplit** · 03-17-14, 08:09 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Lots of money coming in for Varnsdorf U21. Not going to play it as a play, but be interesting to see if they do get up. Double chance pays good money as well.

how do you find this then??

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 08:20 AM

Odds portal.com

**AussiePunter123** · 03-17-14, 08:35 AM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Czech Republic: Sigma Olomouc U21 @ 1.67

Czech Republic: Trinic U21 @ 2.37

Malaysia Premier League: DRB Hicom v Sabah Under 2.5 @ 1.82 (21% drop)

BOL and sex to all.

At least 1.33 units profits for those who followed my plays with one play still pending. 3-0 so far, lets go for 4-0. Lets all make some money and get laid.

BOL and sex to all.