Last day of English Championship Overs..

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    Last day of English Championship Overs..
    Here are the stats since 2007 of the last days goals in the 12 games..

    2012- 7 games over 2.5-33 goals-Avg of league 2.57..Avg of last game..2.75
    2011- 9 over 2.5-38 goals-League Avg..2.73-Last game 3.16
    2010-6 over 2.5-32 goals-League Avg 2.6 -Last game 2.6
    2009- 8 over 2.5-33 goals-League avg 2.44-Last game 2.75
    2008- 7 over 2.5-38 goals-League avg 2.52..Last game 3.16
    2007-8 over 2.5-44 goals- League avg 2.61 ..Last game 3.66

    So I would think if you would have bet all over at 2.5,worst you would have done is go .500 and lost the juice.

    Better yet if you can find a total goals for all the 12 games at 7:45 AM Eastern Time, that might be better to wager on.Anything of say 32-33 the over might be a great play..
  • andyrocha90
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-06-13
    • 957

    #2
    interesting. might have to hit the over on some of these games
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #3
      probably find similar patterns in most leagues. The Eredivise had highest goals total so far this season last wknd with 39...wouldnt be surprised if the final couple wknds are quite similar and not too far off tht amount
      Comment
      • thefonzo
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-10-10
        • 671

        #4
        Where can you go to look at what exact games went over? I'm curious to see if there are any trends as to which games stay under. I would think that the games in which teams still have something to play for would maybe be played a bit closer to the vest.
        Comment
        • king_danilo92
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-15-12
          • 837

          #5
          Originally posted by thefonzo
          Where can you go to look at what exact games went over? I'm curious to see if there are any trends as to which games stay under. I would think that the games in which teams still have something to play for would maybe be played a bit closer to the vest.
          soccerway.com
          Comment
          • ExeRok
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-06-11
            • 186

            #6
            Nice catch, but there's a lot of juice. I think if you bet all games, 7 overs will result in even money.
            Comment
            • thefonzo
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-10-10
              • 671

              #7
              Originally posted by ExeRok
              Nice catch, but there's a lot of juice. I think if you bet all games, 7 overs will result in even money.
              Yeah I noticed that too, obviously we aren't the only ones aware of the trend.
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                Yeah,some highly juiced ones to be sure.Maybe play 4 teams at a time in 3 roundrobins, figure in one of those 3, 3-4 matches have goal fests and you come out a little ahead.

                Good luck today gents!
                Comment
                • beefcake
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 14029

                  #9
                  Well 17 goals at the break..above pace...2 winners already...

                  Hopefully we get the crazy last half of the season where teams go for broke..

                  Looking at the standings and what needs to happen, I would say we are going to see it..
                  Comment
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