Dortmund @ Real Madrid - Discussion Thread

camelbreath$ · 04-29-13, 09:57 PM

Don't see as many goals in this one (but maybe it is because I hammered the first game's over and won big?). Dortmund have a deceptively strong defense in that they define the "best defense is a potent offense". Agree that all of the value has to be on Dortmund +1 at -105 or less.

easyliving · 04-29-13, 10:38 PM

dortmund O 1/2 @1.35 looks like good combo material

birdmanweezy · 04-30-13, 12:42 AM

Real to win for sure they won't lose or draw at home.....don't think it will be enough to tie up the aggregate though

Sport_Fish · 04-30-13, 01:04 AM

Why the hell is Real Madrid mL only -163 ???

Gonna be hard for them to qualify but I can't imagine they lose this one or even draw. Ronaldo is cleared to play and even if he's not 100%, I don't see Madrid not winning the game. If Dortmund scores 1, I could see them parking the bus but Madrid will surely get 2. And on the other hand, I could also see a 3-1, 2-0 type victory for RM easily.

This is pound material, haven't seen a line so absurd in quite some time. If its a trap, so be it.

eXon · 04-30-13, 01:52 AM

Real Madrid has not yet given up on this one, and I expect them to go all out attack from the first minute because they have no time to waste, over 1,5 1st half + over 3,5 seems like pretty safe bets if you ask me, both @ +100 at the moment.

cenger66 · 04-30-13, 03:46 AM

I like Real HT/FT at +140 on 5dimes. Real have to come in hot trying to make up a 3 goal deficit. They have enough talent that a few will find the back of the net.

CaptainOmar111 · 04-30-13, 04:17 AM

Real Madrid +0,5 @1.25 is good to parlay

EasyPicks · 04-30-13, 04:34 AM

Originally posted by CaptainOmar111

Real Madrid +0,5 @1.25 is good to parlay

that line doesn't exist anywhere!!!

Maximum is 1.16

horja1 · 04-30-13, 05:30 AM

both teams to score

birdmanweezy · 04-30-13, 06:04 AM

Originally posted by horja1

both teams to score

i don't think dortmund scores in this one

Vaughany · 04-30-13, 06:59 AM

Originally posted by birdmanweezy

i don't think dortmund scores in this one

think they will. perfectly style to counter real and score with players like Gundogan, Blasz, Goetze, Reus and Lewandowki. Real are not great defensively and have to attack...going to be a lot of space for Dortmund. And Klopp isnt the type of manager to just play defensive

vasilli07 · 04-30-13, 07:05 AM

Simen236 · 04-30-13, 07:52 AM

Ronaldo to score?

CaptainOmar111 · 04-30-13, 07:53 AM

Originally posted by Simen236

Ronaldo to score?

nice one

PuckIt · 04-30-13, 08:13 AM

Wow, everyone on RM yet the line hovers around the same. Something to consider.

cenger66 · 04-30-13, 08:18 AM

Originally posted by PuckIt

Wow, everyone on RM yet the line hovers around the same. Something to consider.

Good point. Books cleaned up last week as everyone and their mom was on Real, maybe they're looking for something similar here. I think it's also possible that this is just an atrocious position to have to set a line for. They can't exactly give Dortmund 2.5 goals seeing the pounding they handed out, but at the same time, everyone who lost on real last week will probably be doubling down for the second leg, and seeing as how dortmund can lose by 2 and still advance, that just might be what ends up happening.

bolek · 04-30-13, 08:21 AM

Anyone on btts

DarkNite · 04-30-13, 09:10 AM

Over for me

camelbreath$ · 04-30-13, 09:21 AM

Everyone clamoring to bet Real Madrid? We should take some Dortmund +1
Everyone wanting to see goals and a big comeback? We should probably lean under 3.5..

PuckIt · 04-30-13, 09:28 AM

Playing these so far:

1u - Lewandowski to score @ +164
1u - Higuain to score @ +188

thetrinity · 04-30-13, 09:59 AM

TUE 4/30	WILL KARIM BENZEMA SCORE A GOAL?
11:45 AM	3118 Yes	+153
	3119 No	-180

90 minutes plus stoppage time only, must play in any part of match for action, own goals do not count
Tue 4/30	10535 Karim Benzema scores a goal	+350
2:45PM	10536 Karim Benzema no goals scored	-440 pinny line on top 5 dimes line on bottom blatant mistake?

dxunchuk · 04-30-13, 10:06 AM

there would be real fun if real beats dortmund

DarkNite · 04-30-13, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by camelbreath$

Everyone clamoring to bet Real Madrid? We should take some Dortmund +1
Everyone wanting to see goals and a big comeback? We should probably lean under 3.5..

Dortmund +1 is good bet. I see 3-2 or 2-2

swordsandtequila · 04-30-13, 10:28 AM

My bets:

1u - Borussia Dortmund scores in both halves +361
1u - Real Madrid scores in both halves -101
1u - Real Madrid wins & over 2½ goals -119

.5u - Draw wins & over 2½ goals +1134
.5u - Mesut Ozil scores a goal +460
.5u - Robert Lewandowski scores a goal +164

Risk on +odds, to win on -odds. Final 2-2 will do just fine

. Good luck everyone!

onemoregoal · 04-30-13, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by thetrinity

TUE 4/30	WILL KARIM BENZEMA SCORE A GOAL?
11:45 AM	3118 Yes	+153
	3119 No	-180

90 minutes plus stoppage time only, must play in any part of match for action, own goals do not count
Tue 4/30	10535 Karim Benzema scores a goal	+350
2:45PM	10536 Karim Benzema no goals scored	-440 pinny line on top 5 dimes line on bottom blatant mistake?

Pinnacle line the sharper. The odds for Benzema to score range a lot from -120 to +266. Betfair going +266.
Is he injured or something?
edit; the +350 is the sharper price

CaptainOmar111 · 04-30-13, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by thetrinity

TUE 4/30	WILL KARIM BENZEMA SCORE A GOAL?
11:45 AM	3118 Yes	+153
	3119 No	-180

90 minutes plus stoppage time only, must play in any part of match for action, own goals do not count
Tue 4/30	10535 Karim Benzema scores a goal	+350
2:45PM	10536 Karim Benzema no goals scored	-440 pinny line on top 5 dimes line on bottom blatant mistake?

Benzema not to score at my book @ 1.50 ( -200 ) !!! 5dimes offer bad odds

Digo · 04-30-13, 11:25 AM

Real Madrid -1,5 and over 3 are my picks.

goblue12 · 04-30-13, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by PuckIt

Wow, everyone on RM yet the line hovers around the same. Something to consider.

Line has moved at least 20 cents towards Real Madrid -1 the last 12 hours.

CaptainOmar111 · 04-30-13, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by goblue12

Line has moved at least 20 cents towards Real Madrid -1 the last 12 hours.

Because Ronaldo is %100 will play !!! Line moved down after the news said that he will play

pattymayo · 04-30-13, 11:58 AM

Real Madrid over 1.5 goals -270 might be the safest play.. there's no way they don't score 2 goals here, right?

goblue12 · 04-30-13, 11:58 AM

26109 BORUSSIA DORTMUND @ 26110 REAL MADRID
		BORUSSIA DORTMUND	REAL MADRID
Pointspread
04/30 9:11:44a	Pincle	+1.25-106	-1.25+100
04/30 9:10:19a	Pincle	+1.25-108	-1.25+101
04/30 8:40:35a	Pincle	+1+114	-1-122
04/30 8:39:25a	Pincle	+1+111	-1-119
04/30 7:53:34a	Pincle	+1+110	-1-118
04/30 6:32:49a	Pincle	+1+112	-1-120
04/30 6:10:38a	Pincle	+1+114	-1-122
04/30 6:03:00a	Pincle	+1+115	-1-124
04/30 5:46:08a	Pincle	+1+114	-1-122
04/30 5:38:51a	Pincle	+1+110	-1-118
04/30 5:16:32a	Pincle	+1+112	-1-120
04/30 5:14:36a	Pincle	+1+108	-1-116
04/30 5:00:38a	Pincle	+1+110	-1-118
04/30 3:51:55a	Pincle	+1+108	-1-116
04/30 3:32:54a	Pincle	+1+107	-1-114
04/30 3:30:59a	Pincle	+1+104	-1-111
04/30 3:26:31a	Pincle	+1+107	-1-114
04/30 3:25:14a	Pincle	+1+108	-1-115
04/30 3:23:57a	Pincle	+1+101	-1-108
04/30 3:23:41a	Pincle	+1-109	-1+102
04/30 3:21:53a	Pincle	+1-109	-1+102
04/30 3:05:15a	Pincle	+1+109	-1-117
04/30 3:04:07a	Pincle	+1+110	-1-118
04/30 3:03:53a	Pincle	+1+109	-1-117
04/30 2:03:57a	Pincle	+1+108	-1-116
04/30 2:00:02a	Pincle	+1+105	-1-112
04/30 1:49:03a	Pincle	+1+104	-1-111
04/30 1:28:08a	Pincle	+1+105	-1-112
04/30 12:58:05a	Pincle	+1+103	-1-110
04/30 12:39:38a	Pincle	+1+104	-1-111
04/30 12:07:42a	Pincle	+1+103	-1-110
04/30 12:06:02a	Pincle	+1+103	-1-110
04/30 12:06:02a	Pincle	+1+102	-1-109
04/30 12:05:24a	Pincle	+1+103	-1-110
04/29 11:44:09p	Pincle	+1+108	-1-116
04/29 11:39:55p	Pincle	+1+107	-1-114
04/29 11:38:29p	Pincle	+1+108	-1-116
04/29 11:35:50p	Pincle	+1+108	-1-115
04/29 11:34:01p	Pincle	+1+105	-1-112
04/29 11:26:54p	Pincle	+1+102	-1-109
04/29 10:10:55p	Pincle	+1+103	-1-110
04/29 9:52:39p	Pincle	+1+102	-1-109
04/29 9:43:13p	Pincle	+1+101	-1-108
04/29 9:36:33p	Pincle	+1+100	-1-106
04/29 9:34:39p	Pincle	+1+101	-1-10

Sport_Fish · 04-30-13, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

Real Madrid over 1.5 goals -270 might be the safest play.. there's no way they don't score 2 goals here, right?

I agree...this bet should be gold. Regardless of how well Dortmund plays and how many they score - Madrid will be firing all game and can't see them being limited to 1 goal.

camelbreath$ · 04-30-13, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

Real Madrid over 1.5 goals -270 might be the safest play.. there's no way they don't score 2 goals here, right?

Seems like lock city. I personally would look to BTTS at -225 first, but both are highly, highly likely to occur if you ask me!

Simen236 · 04-30-13, 12:32 PM

Anyone playing O1.5 1H goals?