EPL Plays

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  • NW513762
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-25-12
    • 48

    #1
    EPL Plays
    This weekend has a bunch of tough fixtures but I'm going to take a stab at some of them after a good 4/5 play mid-week, placing limited cash on all but Chelsea . Being a Chelsea fan has probably put me in more debt than anything else but I put my faith in them yet again. Hoping to hit 3/5 this weekend, all bets taken at pinnacle.

    Fulham vs. Swansea - Total U3 @ 1.583
    Seems to be around 75% on Swansea games stay under 3 goals, Fulham aren't a high scoring team either, could definitely see a clean sheet for either team.

    Manchester United vs. WBA - WBA +2 @ 1.521
    WBA on very good form, a quality side this year, could very well expose United's sloppy defence. WBA have only lost by 3 goals once this year in a very flukey game, while United only winning by more than 2 once as well.

    Stoke City vs. Southampton - Stoke City ML @ 1.862
    Stoke are an extremely difficult team to score on, especially at home, unbeaten in their last 16 EPL matches at home. Against a fairly poor away Southampton side that is likely to slip up, but very unlikely to get many clear chances.

    Everton vs. Chelsea - Chelsea ML @ 2.560
    Why? Because I'm an idiot. Wouldn't tail this one folks, Everton unbeaten at home in 13 EPL matches, beating the likes of Manchester United. I'm just hoping all good things come to an end, and taking some nice odds looking for a big win, Chelsea to try to continue their decent form recently, in hopes for a tiny chance at the Title.

    QPR vs. Liverpool - Liverpool PK @ 1.430
    Liverpool's record very patchy, but after a tough loss against Stoke I expect them to bounce back and defeat a horrible QPR side. Wouldn't be surprised if it ended in a draw, however so taking the PK to be sure.
  • PuckIt
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-11-12
    • 9416

    #2
    I have found that Chelsea can be a very profitable team if you wait til mid-way through the first half. By that point it's pretty apparent if they are going to lose or draw 1-0/1-1, or if they're going to be putting in 7 goals over the next 70min.

    All depends which team shows up to play.
    Comment
    • bolek
      SBR MVP
      • 09-27-12
      • 1419

      #3
      If you want my 2 cents I think all your picks are sweet but I really really think that chelsea will draw and that will be an upset for pretty much everyone who is going for ml. I am just a random guy so not a pro just one of those feelings. But gl will be tailing on a few deff....
      Comment
      • PuckIt
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-11-12
        • 9416

        #4
        Also I'd like to note that I really expect the Swansea game to go O2.5 for a Swansea win...2-1
        Comment
        • bolek
          SBR MVP
          • 09-27-12
          • 1419

          #5
          I am staying away cause I smell a draw there as well
          Comment
          • bolek
            SBR MVP
            • 09-27-12
            • 1419

            #6
            Ill do some live betting especially when fullham scores first than take Swansea to tie it up as next team to score.....it's gonna happen keep it in mind
            Comment
            • steveq
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-22-12
              • 661

              #7
              thanks for posting NW
              not sure what the second set of odds are can u explain it for me??
              Comment
              • PuckIt
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-11-12
                • 9416

                #8
                Originally posted by steveq
                thanks for posting NW
                not sure what the second set of odds are can u explain it for me??
                Those are euro odds...they show the total amount you win. In the US a value of +100 would be "2.0" in euro.

                Learn About Betting Lines - Our sports betting experts explain what betting lines are, how they work & how to use them to bet on your favorite sports.


                So for example, if "Total U3 @ 1.583" wins, you are risking 1u to win 0.583, giving you a total of 1.583u.
                Comment
                • Vaughany
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 45563

                  #9
                  Fellaini being out will cost Everton eventually I think...wouldnt be surprised if Chelsea scrape a 2-1 tomorrow. Probably be 1-1 tho
                  Comment
                  • montan
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-19-09
                    • 716

                    #10
                    I`m playing these games (pinnacle and betfair)

                    o2.5/Fulham - Swansea
                    Stoke - Southampton
                    Huddersfield - Sheffield Wed.
                    o2.5/Middlesbrough - Blackpool
                    o2.5/Hull - Leeds

                    and probably gonna bet live on man utd for over 2.5 - still have doubts about the over

                    I`m worried about the hull-leeds game , it`s like 50/50 chances to be over or not but still don`t see anything else to play.
                    Comment
                    • swordsandtequila
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-23-12
                      • 9757

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                      Fellaini being out will cost Everton eventually I think...wouldnt be surprised if Chelsea scrape a 2-1 tomorrow. Probably be 1-1 tho
                      Didn't know Fellaini is going to be out, still going btts once it goes live (-150 now); also hitting the over live for Man U/WB, barring an early goal. Maybe btts, too. Sure I'll have others after some legwork.
                      Comment
                      • NW513762
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 11-25-12
                        • 48

                        #12
                        Originally posted by bolek
                        If you want my 2 cents I think all your picks are sweet but I really really think that chelsea will draw and that will be an upset for pretty much everyone who is going for ml. I am just a random guy so not a pro just one of those feelings. But gl will be tailing on a few deff....
                        Couldn't agree more, I'm just a blinded Chelsea boy. Just praying Chelsea can scrap by I guess, saw good value so I went with it. Gonna be a close one though.
                        Comment
                        • NW513762
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 11-25-12
                          • 48

                          #13
                          Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                          Didn't know Fellaini is going to be out, still going btts once it goes live (-150 now); also hitting the over live for Man U/WB, barring an early goal. Maybe btts, too. Sure I'll have others after some legwork.
                          Fellaini is banned thank God, but those look like solid plays as well.
                          Comment
                          • NW513762
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 11-25-12
                            • 48

                            #14
                            How the fukk are Stoke losing to Southampton by two at home, this is a fukkin shit day.
                            Comment
                            • bolek
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-27-12
                              • 1419

                              #15
                              Owned by bet365
                              90% of ppl on stoke
                              Figures I am loosing too on ml as well
                              Unreal
                              Comment
                              • Pescrazy
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 08-13-11
                                • 33

                                #16
                                Originally posted by NW513762
                                How the fukk are Stoke losing to Southampton by two at home, this is a fukkin shit day.
                                Stoke have 2 of their regular defenders missing today due to injury/suspension..
                                Comment
                                • camelbreath$
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-04-10
                                  • 3267

                                  #17
                                  Tough day for you man, be back strong on the next ones. GL2U
                                  Comment
                                  • NW513762
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 11-25-12
                                    • 48

                                    #18
                                    I nearly shat my pants, put $1000 on Stoke PK, most beautiful equalizer I have ever seen.

                                    2 Pushes and 1 Loss, let's hope to hit em hard tomorrow for some profit on this one.

                                    Thanks camelbreath.
                                    Comment
                                    • PuckIt
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-11-12
                                      • 9416

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by PuckIt
                                      Also I'd like to note that I really expect the Swansea game to go O2.5 for a Swansea win...2-1
                                      Comment
                                      • NW513762
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 11-25-12
                                        • 48

                                        #20
                                        I am probably the happiest/luckiest guy on the planet today.

                                        282177699-1

                                        4
                                        10:16pm 27-Dec-12 30-Dec-12 Soccer
                                        1X2
                                        Everton vs Chelsea for Game. 2.560 4000.00 6240.00
                                        Comment
                                        • PuckIt
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-11-12
                                          • 9416

                                          #21
                                          Damn, you got a lot of money to play around with lol.
                                          Comment
                                          • NW513762
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 11-25-12
                                            • 48

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by PuckIt
                                            Damn, you got a lot of money to play around with lol.
                                            Eh for some reason I thought it was okay to throw 25 of my bankroll on that game . It'll bite me in the ass one day.
                                            Comment
                                            • NW513762
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 11-25-12
                                              • 48

                                              #23
                                              So since Liverpool is obviously going to win, we wrap it up with 2 wins, 2 pushes, and 1 loss. Good day today and everything went better than expected.
                                              Comment
                                              • Dopenose
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 12-29-12
                                                • 20

                                                #24
                                                lol NW, definetly a brave man, but what if jelavic hadn't missed the ball at the end
                                                Comment
                                                • NW513762
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 11-25-12
                                                  • 48

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Dopenose
                                                  lol NW, definetly a brave man, but what if jelavic hadn't missed the ball at the end
                                                  I know exactly how lucky I am pal!
                                                  Comment
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