Tuesday's [11/20] Ninja Plays

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    Tuesday's [11/20] Ninja Plays
    [Champions League] Valencia-Bayern Munich Over 2.5 [-130]
    All about the finishing quality in this one as both squads are looking to virtually clinch a spot with a win. These two are 1 & 2 in the group with BATE running 3rd, just three points behind with two matches to play in this group. Valencia have been in scorching goal scoring form in this competition with multiple goals in three of four and goals scored in all four group stage matches. Bayern Munich have been a little more hit & miss with their scoring. They did bang home six last time against Lille, but had scored just one each in the two matches prior to that. The first meeting in Germany between these two finished 2-1 to the home side, but it took a 90th minute goal to get there. Still, given Valencia's scoring ways at home - multiple tallies in all eight matches @ home in all competitions this term - this one looks ripe for goals.

    [England League One] Crawley Town-Yeovil Town Over 2.5 [-141]
    Six of Crowley Town's nine home matches have gone to three goals or more in league play. Yeovil Town has played seven of nine on the road to at least three goals. The 34 goals attached to their nine road matches leads the league with 17 scored & 17 conceded. Crawley Town is tied for the 2nd most home goals scored in the league and have allowed the 6th most goals @ home. They will be without two starters along the backline which should boon Yeovil's chances of scoring. Crawley Town will be without one of their strikers, but they have good scoring depth.



  • rhythm
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-20-12
    • 1

    #2
    Thanks a million !

    Comment
    • 16johnnymac
      SBR MVP
      • 10-27-10
      • 3499

      #3
      Small favor when u post plays can you Add the # of the team u wager because I have trouble finding the games on bet us thank you


      QUOTE=EaglesPhan36;16839656][Champions League] Valencia-Bayern Munich Over 2.5 [-130]
      All about the finishing quality in this one as both squads are looking to virtually clinch a spot with a win. These two are 1 & 2 in the group with BATE running 3rd, just three points behind with two matches to play in this group. Valencia have been in scorching goal scoring form in this competition with multiple goals in three of four and goals scored in all four group stage matches. Bayern Munich have been a little more hit & miss with their scoring. They did bang home six last time against Lille, but had scored just one each in the two matches prior to that. The first meeting in Germany between these two finished 2-1 to the home side, but it took a 90th minute goal to get there. Still, given Valencia's scoring ways at home - multiple tallies in all eight matches @ home in all competitions this term - this one looks ripe for goals.

      [England League One] Crawley Town-Yeovil Town Over 2.5 [-141]
      Six of Crowley Town's nine home matches have gone to three goals or more in league play. Yeovil Town has played seven of nine on the road to at least three goals. The 34 goals attached to their nine road matches leads the league with 17 scored & 17 conceded. Crawley Town is tied for the 2nd most home goals scored in the league and have allowed the 6th most goals @ home. They will be without two starters along the backline which should boon Yeovil's chances of scoring. Crawley Town will be without one of their strikers, but they have good scoring depth.



      [/QUOTE]
      Comment
      • BigBurk
        SBR MVP
        • 02-25-11
        • 3785

        #4
        Originally posted by 16johnnymac
        Small favor when u post plays can you Add the # of the team u wager because I have trouble finding the games on bet us thank you
        These shouldn't be so hard to find.. at all.
        Comment
        • swordsandtequila
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-23-12
          • 9756

          #5
          Originally posted by 16johnnymac
          Small favor when u post plays can you Add the # of the team u wager because I have trouble finding the games on bet us thank you
          Control + F (Windows), Command + F (Mac); it's the search function shortcut. A drop-down box will appear, enter team, any instances on that page will be highlighted. Easy peezy.
          Last edited by swordsandtequila; 11-20-12, 07:20 AM.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            [Champions League] BATE Borisov PK [-167]
            The juice isn't going to be for everyone, but considering the stakes/form of both squads this seems like a no brainer. Lille visits BATE having lost all four of their group stage matches and having just two wins in ten road matches in all competitions since the French League opened play back in August. BATE meanwhile are very much alive in Group F still, trailing Valencia & Bayern Munich by three points. A win keeps BATE very much in the mix for qualification as they would be a point behind both Valencia & Bayern Munich if those two sides draw today or tied with one of those clubs for the final qualification spot. Outside of their heavy loss to Valencia at home, BATE had not lost points in any of their previous four home CL matches this term. BATE whipped Lille on the road to start this group, 3-1. Lille will be resting some key players and infusing their side with a little more youth which also makes the home side an enticing proposition. Needing a win, I think BATE can get it - but I'll take the safer position in case they fall short and draw.
            Comment
            • 16johnnymac
              SBR MVP
              • 10-27-10
              • 3499

              #7
              I have bet us


              OTE=BigBurk;16841582]These shouldn't be so hard to find.. at all.[/QUOTE]
              Comment
              • 16johnnymac
                SBR MVP
                • 10-27-10
                • 3499

                #8
                [


                why is my line + 105 why the diff ?QUOTE=EaglesPhan36;16841772][Champions League] BATE Borisov PK [-167]
                The juice isn't going to be for everyone, but considering the stakes/form of both squads this seems like a no brainer. Lille visits BATE having lost all four of their group stage matches and having just two wins in ten road matches in all competitions since the French League opened play back in August. BATE meanwhile are very much alive in Group F still, trailing Valencia & Bayern Munich by three points. A win keeps BATE very much in the mix for qualification as they would be a point behind both Valencia & Bayern Munich if those two sides draw today or tied with one of those clubs for the final qualification spot. Outside of their heavy loss to Valencia at home, BATE had not lost points in any of their previous four home CL matches this term. BATE whipped Lille on the road to start this group, 3-1. Lille will be resting some key players and infusing their side with a little more youth which also makes the home side an enticing proposition. Needing a win, I think BATE can get it - but I'll take the safer position in case they fall short and draw. [/QUOTE]
                Comment
                • BigBurk
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-25-11
                  • 3785

                  #9
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  [Champions League] BATE Borisov PK [-167]
                  The juice isn't going to be for everyone, but considering the stakes/form of both squads this seems like a no brainer. Lille visits BATE having lost all four of their group stage matches and having just two wins in ten road matches in all competitions since the French League opened play back in August. BATE meanwhile are very much alive in Group F still, trailing Valencia & Bayern Munich by three points. A win keeps BATE very much in the mix for qualification as they would be a point behind both Valencia & Bayern Munich if those two sides draw today or tied with one of those clubs for the final qualification spot. Outside of their heavy loss to Valencia at home, BATE had not lost points in any of their previous four home CL matches this term. BATE whipped Lille on the road to start this group, 3-1. Lille will be resting some key players and infusing their side with a little more youth which also makes the home side an enticing proposition. Needing a win, I think BATE can get it - but I'll take the safer position in case they fall short and draw.
                  Was already on the play, but with your write up it makes me feel even a better play! Good luck tonight!
                  Comment
                  • BigBurk
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-25-11
                    • 3785

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                    why is my line + 105 why the diff ?
                    EP is playing the pk (you might know it as a draw no bet). So, when the game ends in a draw you get your money back. You, on the other hand, are eyeing the ML (Money Line), in which case you lose the bet when BATE and Lille draw. Hence the -167 for the pk and the +105 for the ML.
                    Comment
                    • swordsandtequila
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-23-12
                      • 9756

                      #11
                      Burk beat me to it
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                        why is my line + 105 why the diff
                        You're probably looking strictly at the money line which means they have to win for your bet to win. The one I listed is for the PK line which means if they win, the bet wins and if they draw, the bet pushes.
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #13
                          yep, I think Bate PK is a great play. THey have already won the league and rested Filipenko and Renan at wknd (though they did come on a play 20mins). Lille resting Debuchy and Balmont, and some other players are out. Bate should be playing like their lives depend on it in hope of getting second place. I've got LIlle to score OVer 1 goal on pinnacle as well as I think they will score at some point, but I expect Bate to score 2 or 3 as well
                          Comment
                          • BigBurk
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-25-11
                            • 3785

                            #14
                            Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                            Burk beat me to it
                            Comment
                            • BigBurk
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-25-11
                              • 3785

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                              yep, I think Bate PK is a great play. THey have already won the league and rested Filipenko and Renan at wknd (though they did come on a play 20mins). Lille resting Debuchy and Balmont, and some other players are out. Bate should be playing like their lives depend on it in hope of getting second place. I've got LIlle to score OVer 1 goal on pinnacle as well as I think they will score at some point, but I expect Bate to score 2 or 3 as well
                              So basically, the over would be a great play also.
                              Comment
                              • swordsandtequila
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-23-12
                                • 9756

                                #16
                                Bit the bullet and took BATE ml (+121). Agree with everything said, should win this game. Good luck!
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #17
                                  Everyone is jumping on BATE. Definitely would advise the PK with that in mind. Might play the draw too because this has SBR blood bath written on it now.
                                  :
                                  Comment
                                  • swordsandtequila
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-23-12
                                    • 9756

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BigBurk
                                    So basically, the over would be a great play also.
                                    I'm wary of the over, Lille has scored 2 goals in 4 games. Doesn't mean I'm right .

                                    EP, Bovada better open up their servers, I'm gonna be bangin' the live betting once the matches start. Really like btts for the Spartak, Juventas, and Valencia matches, maybe Man U. Holding out for better prices. Thoughts?

                                    Good luck today, make them pay for dropping the 3-pt. prop!
                                    Comment
                                    • swordsandtequila
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-23-12
                                      • 9756

                                      #19
                                      Went ahead with btts for Spartak/Barca (-130), others are @ -150 and up, will wait and go live.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #20
                                        Valencia-Bayern you'd think would be a solid BTTS option. Just a tad weary of Bayern's form though, but I would be shocked if both teams didn't score in that one. I know Barca's D has been terrible in the CL, but I decided not to do anything with that match due to all the Spartak injuries. No thoughts on the others. Would think Juve-Chelsea should also have a shot, but a little weary with both having big matches on the weekend in their domestic leagues and rotation will be interesting to see in the lineups.

                                        United is another one I don't want any part of ... I would think they should score because they have been so dangerous all year, but with a spot in the KO stages wrapped up - no telling how they approach this one.
                                        Comment
                                        • Vaughany
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 03-07-10
                                          • 45563

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigBurk
                                          So basically, the over would be a great play also.
                                          Yes but wouldnt be surprised if it's 1-1 or 1-0, either way I'd be good
                                          Comment
                                          • amarius87
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-07-12
                                            • 1117

                                            #22
                                            barcelona/shakhstar/bate DRAW NO BET - parlay 1
                                            AND
                                            Juventus/chelsea over 2.5 and valencia bayern over 2.5 ( contemplating to play BTTS) for both games instead of the over - parlay 2

                                            what you guys think? separate the parlays , combine all 5?
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              Wouldnt be surprised if Valencia keep it tight against bayern
                                              Comment
                                              • soul786
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-09-12
                                                • 1697

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                Everyone is jumping on BATE. Definitely would advise the PK with that in mind. Might play the draw too because this has SBR blood bath written on it now.
                                                :
                                                Yeah EVERYONE is on BATE, but the line continues to fly the other way, ML was +105ish last night now up to +120's

                                                Making me scared here
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #25
                                                  The board is due to get one of these "consensus" picks right, but this again is why I think spending a little more for the PK line makes sense to me. If Lille pulls off the total shocker and wins outright, so be it - but I think BATE at minimum should get a draw even with the power of the jinx working against them.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • amarius87
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-07-12
                                                    • 1117

                                                    #26
                                                    Lille isnt bringing majority of its players to play bate need win. taking your call on this with draw no bet
                                                    Comment
                                                    • amarius87
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-07-12
                                                      • 1117

                                                      #27
                                                      BATE 0 on AH. 1.6 better payout then draw not bet.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AceKingHigh
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-23-09
                                                        • 3888

                                                        #28
                                                        down 2-0 FML
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigBurk
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-25-11
                                                          • 3785

                                                          #29
                                                          Mass burial.

                                                          Like you said not too long ago; when something seems too good to be true....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • southpaw74
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-21-09
                                                            • 7104

                                                            #30
                                                            I hope the overs hit or this will destroy my roll with all the juice today.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • soul786
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-09-12
                                                              • 1697

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BigBurk
                                                              Mass burial.

                                                              Like you said not too long ago; when something seems too good to be true....
                                                              Fukk me. Lmao I questioned it even last night and still pulled the trigger
                                                              Comment
                                                              • camelbreath$
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-04-10
                                                                • 3267

                                                                #32
                                                                SHITTT, Bayern v. Valencia line moving towards the UNDER 2.5 rapidly! Looks like another agreement has been made! Probably a 0-0 draw!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • southpaw74
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-21-09
                                                                  • 7104

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by camelbreath$
                                                                  SHITTT, Bayern v. Valencia line moving towards the UNDER 2.5 rapidly! Looks like another agreement has been made! Probably a 0-0 draw!
                                                                  Hasnt moved at all at dsi
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • camelbreath$
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-04-10
                                                                    • 3267

                                                                    #34
                                                                    one of my sharper b0oks just went from over 2.5 -143 to over 2.5 -115 in about 15 minutes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TallAzCrowe
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 05-02-09
                                                                      • 299

                                                                      #35
                                                                      My local just juiced the U2.5 to -105 and O2.5 dropped from -130 to -115, draw also dropped to +190...Fukk it, no turning back now!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...