Ever lose 7 Unders In A Row What Are the odds?

[atofsu32111]

Down 1500 today lost 3/4 of my bankroll

Inter
Lorient
Debrecen - Goal in final minutes
AEK Larnaca - Never went over in any of there career matchups
Greuther Furth
Chievo - Final minute goal
AC Milan

[Vaughany]

Well betting on the under in an Inter game wasnt the best choice especially when they are away from home and averaging 2 goals per game just by themselves! Bad luck on the others tho

[indio]

Down 1500 today lost 3/4 of my bankroll

Inter
Lorient
Debrecen - Goal in final minutes
AEK Larnaca - Never went over in any of there career matchups
Greuther Furth
Chievo - Final minute goal
AC Milan

Not to be mean, but when you risk 10% of your bankroll on each play, you're destined to go broke. As far as the odds of going 0 for 7, well that depends on the odds of each play, which is impossible to know positively, but you can use market price as a guide. Since I don't have that info, I'll use 50% chance per play as a default, which would obviously be 127-1 odds. Slightly better chances of this occurring than rolling back to back 11's on dice throws (which I'm sure you've done a few times).

Before PokerStars left United States, I had a 58% win rate in Heads-Up Sit and Go's (thats 1 player vs. 1 player) poker with over 10,000 games. Now, even with a documented and tested 58% win rate, I would NEVER risk more than 2.5% of my bankroll on any one match. I learned about variance the hard way, and then I decided to study variance math deeply. It's doubtful you have that size of an edge against sportsbook market lines, so for you to bet more than 2.5% of a bankroll is ridiculous. 10% (which is what you're doing according to the info you shared) is suicidal.

Here's some interesting math for you. Let's say you play 250 50/50 bets for the year. The chances of you having at least one 7 game losing streak is 63%. Let's pretend every bet you have has a 5% edge and your plays have a 55/45 chance of winning. Your chances of having at least one 7 game losing streak during 250 plays is still 40%.

Golden rule, always be prepared for a bad run, if you're not bankrolled properly, or mentally prepared for it, you will go bust, and even worse, you might lose your mind.

[atofsu32111]

Adding 2 more losing plays
Unders

Bahia
DC United

Is this a cruel joke? This wont hit me till tomm

[swordsandtequila]

Betting unders will make you suicidal. I know mathematically it's no different than betting overs, there's just something about watching a game and hoping nothing happens. Good or bad, teams have breakdowns, give up penalty kicks, etc. More fun picking overs, imo. As Indio said, variance is a bitch. Sorry for your bad run, stick to it and try not to chase. Only makes it worse.

[clting08]

Live Over more than Unders. Hit a parlay on overs Saturday..

7

2818448467 MIX PARLAY 11/10/2012 08:45:37 AM

Over 2.75 @1.78 Football / Over/Under ADO Den Haag -vs- AZ Alkmaar HOLLAND EREDIVISIE @ 11/10/2012 HT 1 : 1 / FT 2 : 2 Over 3 @1.82 Football / Over/Under NEC Nijmegen -vs- Heracles Almelo HOLLAND EREDIVISIE @ 11/10/2012 HT 1 : 0 / FT 3 : 2 Over 2.75 @1.86 Football / Over/Under VVV-Venlo -vs- Willem II HOLLAND EREDIVISIE @ 11/10/2012 HT 1 : 0 / FT 4 : 1 Over 2.5 @1.86 Football / Over/Under RKC Waalwijk -vs- FC Utrecht HOLLAND EREDIVISIE @ 11/10/2012 HT 1 : 0 / FT 4 : 0 Over 2.5 @1.94 Football / Over/Under Crotone -vs- Empoli ITALY SERIE B @ 11/10/2012 HT 1 : 1 / FT 3 : 2 Over 2.5 @1.89 Football / Over/Under Pachuca -vs- Jaguares de Chiapas Mexico Primera Division @ 11/10/2012 HT 1 : 0 / FT 2 : 1

41.094 E

500.00 500.00

20,004.71 0.00

Won

[Nova99]

sorry to hear about the bad run, i have gone 3-13 once but i bet small that day and didnt get crushed. hope you can turn it around in the future!

[pellumb341]

buddy the best choice is to fade yourself ,if you think it will go under ,then bet over ...most of us do this when we are having a bad streak