PaulS turns 3k to...

[bolek]

Oh well thanx anyways it was a good play.....onto the next one cheers.

[yogohama]

You are fade material!
Keep it up!

[pellumb341]

You are fade material!
Keep it up!

look at his record and than decide yourself if he is tail or faid material .

[yogohama]

look at his record and than decide yourself if he is tail or faid material .

He blew 20% of his BR in 2 Plays...

[ColdBeerHere]

He blew 20% of his BR in 2 Plays...

[PaulS]

Wednesday's International Friendlies
Turkey vs Denmark
Turkey -0.5 @ 2.28 in Pinnacle with 10% (£1300)

Chile vs Serbia
Chile -0.5 @ 2.13 in SBOBET with 10% (£1300)

[PaulS]

Saturday's selection
Brazil Serie B BkofAma vs ABC
Draw @ average 2.80 with £6,000.00 in few bookies and one brokerage service

[msharris1428]

Paul - for some reason on your spreadsheet all I can see is that it says "Draw" but I can't see the two teams. Who do you have drawing today?

[Mrkonas]

yeah i saw it too...and its a big bet 6k....let us know

[PaulS]

It's Bao - ABC from Brazil Serie B. Again I posted it here in SBR forum but admin didn't approve my post...

[PaulS]

I posted a tip here, if someone didn't take, please complain only for mods here. I know that I am a newbie so propably system treat me like a potential spammer

[bolek]

Ur tip is there it was a draw but no one followed after 4 losses in a row and now all in who cares

[KushMoney]

exactly no one would tail that Huge 6k play on Draw, After you took 4 STRAIGHT LOSSES -5,400 - You could have buried someone on the 11th and 14th.


Random bet, that luckily hit, nice play but can't claim much other than that. no one tailed. no one noticed.

[pellumb341]

Random bet, that luckily hit, nice play but can't claim much other than that. no one tailed. no one noticed.

It was not a lucky hit . Draw dropped from 3.20 to 2.00 and you know why ??? Cuz it was obvious that this match would end in a draw,both teams needed one point to avoid relegation.That's why he went so big on that.Another member created another thread here at sbr ,noticing us about this match

[pellumb341]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/2026140-bkofama-vs-abc-brazil-divizion-2-a.html

[PaulS]

Sunday's selection
Norway Tippeligaen Sogndal vs Brann
Sogndal -0.75 @ 1.85 average in few bookies with £8,000.00

[dacs]

Any reason for Sogndal?

[pellumb341]

Sogndal need win to avoid relegation and play-out

[armin]

total newbie reporting in

what does -0,75 mean ?

[naoeneko]

total newbie reporting in

what does -0,75 mean ?

Asian Handicap -0.5, -1.

[OnuRC]

Last two pick was smart. Congratulations

[sergiudec]

Good hits on the last two, hope you start a new spreadsheet!

Cheers

[PaulS]

Qatar Premier League Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Rayyan
Al Rayyan -0.75 @ 1.76 SBO with About staking, I am in 5-unit level system, more details soon

[PaulS]

Qatar Premier League Al-Kharitiyath vs Al Rayyan
Al Rayyan -0.75 @ 1.76 SBO with About staking, I am in 5-unit level system, more details soon

[pellumb341]

hey pal , i have seen your spreadsheet and i have figured out that mostly you bet on shitty leagues like qatar,canadia,england 7-th division etc ... any reason ?

[PaulS]

hey pal , i have seen your spreadsheet and i have figured out that mostly you bet on shitty leagues like qatar,canadia,england 7-th division etc ... any reason ?

At the beginning yes, but can't say I am doing it mostly. Anyway only there I can catch value more often, in lower divisions is sometimes big difference between teams, not like in top leagues. And finally I predict everything where I feel comfortable, have any valuable information as I like to read a lot opinions and myself decide is it worth or not. My stuff isn't clearly statistical. And play only asian markets.

[pellumb341]

At the beginning yes, but can't say I am doing it mostly. Anyway only there I can catch value more often, in lower divisions is sometimes big difference between teams, not like in top leagues. And finally I predict everything where I feel comfortable, have any valuable information as I like to read a lot opinions and myself decide is it worth or not. My stuff isn't clearly statistical. And play only asian markets.

thanks for your information and your tips . Keep up the good work

[armin]

played Al Rayyan and won

thnx paul

[PaulS]

Record 3,5 month of risk system:
Profit: £ 22,290.92 and ROI 30,61%.
win accuracy: 61%


*using flat stakes (£100 per bet) I would earn £ 1,451.00 with ROI 18,14% which also doesn't look that bad despite some bad runs.


I just finished my, without doubt, risk system/test. The things went too far I think, there were some questions about money, limits etc, don't want to keep my staking in public so from now I am going to use units.


5-unit level system
As you should guess, my range of staking will be between 1u and 5 units per bet which can be treated in any way, let's say that 1 unit means 1% of my bankroll, 2 units=2% etc. Easy. It can be also considered as probability, for example using 5 units per bet I would be more confident than placing just 1 unit but in professional definition it doesn't mean you can bet a lot of money when I write "5 units" or unfollow me in case of "1 unit". I count all my selections and won't be any unofficial bets. Expect my average stake will be around 3 units per bet.


I try to publish my bets as early as I can, sometimes it's few days before matchday, sometimes just an hour or less. It is always caused by the time of found/got bet or availability of informations so in some cases I can't be faster.


My strategy will be unchanged, still mostly asian markets and I gonna publish the best current odds in reliable bookies. Average number of bets per month: minimum 10.


I expect green and red streaks, hope for a minimum 60% winning accuracy as I think the more we win the more clear mind we have but it is me personal opinion.


I started this system from half win and +1,52 units of profit as Al Rayyan won 2-1.

My new spreadsheet can be found HERE


I think that's all, if I forgot about something please ask here or in personal message.
Hope for a good and peaceful work here. Wish me good luck in personal life as it's important in sports betting, I wish u the same.


Cheers!

[usfunca]

Record 3,5 month of risk system:
Profit: £ 22,290.92 and ROI 30,61%.
win accuracy: 61%


*using flat stakes (£100 per bet) I would earn £ 1,451.00 with ROI 18,14% which also doesn't look that bad despite some bad runs.


I just finished my, without doubt, risk system/test. The things went too far I think, there were some questions about money, limits etc, don't want to keep my staking in public so from now I am going to use units.


5-unit level system
As you should guess, my range of staking will be between 1u and 5 units per bet which can be treated in any way, let's say that 1 unit means 1% of my bankroll, 2 units=2% etc. Easy. It can be also considered as probability, for example using 5 units per bet I would be more confident than placing just 1 unit but in professional definition it doesn't mean you can bet a lot of money when I write "5 units" or unfollow me in case of "1 unit". I count all my selections and won't be any unofficial bets. Expect my average stake will be around 3 units per bet.


I try to publish my bets as early as I can, sometimes it's few days before matchday, sometimes just an hour or less. It is always caused by the time of found/got bet or availability of informations so in some cases I can't be faster.


My strategy will be unchanged, still mostly asian markets and I gonna publish the best current odds in reliable bookies. Average number of bets per month: minimum 10.


I expect green and red streaks, hope for a minimum 60% winning accuracy as I think the more we win the more clear mind we have but it is me personal opinion.


I started this system from half win and +1,52 units of profit as Al Rayyan won 2-1.

My new spreadsheet can be found HERE


I think that's all, if I forgot about something please ask here or in personal message.
Hope for a good and peaceful work here. Wish me good luck in personal life as it's important in sports betting, I wish u the same.


Cheers!

Great result on the old spreadsheet, BOL with the new one. And good luck in the personal life department too!

[pellumb341]

GL !!!

Hope you release the new pick soon

[PaulS]

Thursday's selection
Europa League Newcastle vs Maritimo
Newcastle -1 AH @ 1.94 in SBOBET with 2 units

[clting08]

Thursday's selection
Europa League Newcastle vs Maritimo
Newcastle -1 AH @ 1.94 in SBOBET with 2 units

Newcastle will blacklisted in my betting list. Kill my parlay..

[PaulS]

Thursday's selection
Europa League Newcastle vs Maritimo
Newcastle -1 AH @ 1.94 in SBOBET with 2 units

FT 1-1
Loss: -2u

Friday's selection
Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga Dukla Prague vs Liberec
Dukla Prague -0.25 @ 1.98 in Pinnacle with 4 units

Saturday's selection
Japan J-league Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo
Gamba Osaka -1 @ 1.73 in Pinnacle with 4 units

Dukla 3-0 +
Gamba 2-2 -

[PaulS]

Saturday's selection
England Championship Leeds United vs Crystal Palace
Leeds United 0 @ 1.98 in Pinnacle with 4 units

FT 2-1
Profit: +3.92u