Friday's [10/26] Ninja Plays

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    Friday's [10/26] Ninja Plays
    [Belgium Pro] Standard Liege-Cercle Brugge Over 3 [-115]
    Four out of five @ home for Standard have hit for at least three goals with two going to four or more. Four of five for Cercle Brugge on the road have hit for four or more. Their defense has been the main culprit, allowing multiple goals in all five & three or more in four of those. Standard Liege has scored multiple goals in three of their last four at home and have no clean sheets at home. Nine of their eleven league matches have hit for at least three goals.

    [Czech Gambrinus] Dukla Praha-Jihlava Over 2.5 [-140]
    Jihlava has scored & conceded in all eleven league matches this season. In six road matches, four have finished with three goals or better. The home side hasn't been the best offensive unit, but have managed goals in five of six @ home. They do have three clean sheets at home, but those came against some of the most meager road scoring sides in the league. Jihlava is the 2nd best road scoring side in the league.







    May have some Draw Project here in a bit, looking over a few things.
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    Czech game down to -124..Value!!
    Comment
    • DHB
      SBR MVP
      • 04-14-11
      • 1538

      #3
      tailing both, thanks EP.
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #4
        Think Standard/Cercle head to ehad games usually go under (think last 6 have been 2 or under)...guess its gotta change eventually!
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Draw Project *0.5 unit
          [Denmark] Nordsjaelland-AAB +238
          [France L2] LeMans-Leval +221
          [Holland Eerste] Go Ahead Eagles-Dordrecht +303


          Treading a little lighter with 0.5 unit today as these are leagues that I am a little less familiar with.
          Comment
          • swordsandtequila
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-23-12
            • 9757

            #6
            Took the St. Liege/CB game earlier at a little more juice (over 2.5/3 -138), jumped on Czech game at -124. Good luck today Ninja!
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Gracias amigos. I tend to not rely too much on past history for head-2-head as far as O-U. Always different settings/times of the season involved. Maybe naive of me to do so, but unless we're talking the exact same squads 11 for 11 playing in successive matches against the other, there are always variables. Hopefully we see at least three.
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                Early goal in Czech!! Those are good for the soul..and wallet..
                Comment
                • beefcake
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 14029

                  #9
                  Sweet..1 more!!
                  Comment
                  • vinhxnguyenx
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-21-12
                    • 132

                    #10
                    Will tail both! My bank roll is tilted over I need to ninja something good fast!
                    Comment
                    • TallAzCrowe
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-02-09
                      • 299

                      #11
                      Im shooting at a draw play in the Augsburg/Hamburger match, what you think? Also played my first under today in quite a while, time to change things up, been rough last couple weeks for me.

                      Good luck on your plays EP.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Didn't have an opinion on the German one. Hamburger was pretty poor on the road, but not like Ausburg is stellar overall.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Get me off this push 'Mercle Ninja ... get me off it ... Ninja Powazzz Activate!
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #14
                            Ah well. Push better than a loss. Probably gonna shy off the Draw Project on Fridays. That was my original thought, but decided to try a few that didn't work out.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #15
                              [Brazil Serie-B] ABC-Goias Over 2.5 [-115]
                              Goais has been in blistering goal scoring form recently with four or more goals in three straight and 15 goals in their past four overall. They have tallied multiple goals in seven of their last eleven on the road with only two clean sheets in their last eight roadies. ABC is still scuffling with four losses in their last five. They rank in the lower half of the league for goals scored, but have managed to score at home in nine of their last 12. They have seven multiple goal matches @ home. Goias leads Serie-B in road goals with 31 in 16 matches, so they should have a good shot to power a few in today & are certainly capable of doing it all to nail this. Their concession rate is much higher on the road where they have given up 23 vs. just 7 at home. The feeling for me is if ABC hits the scoresheet, this should have a great shot. Kicks off @ 5:30pm ET. Ninja Up!
                              Comment
                              • rumnblack
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-21-12
                                • 876

                                #16
                                Too true, push gives you a chance to fight again. Good luck
                                Comment
                                • beefcake
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 14029

                                  #17
                                  On the late friday action..Wife is working late.. Pulling out the beer looking for goals.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #18
                                    Beer Me!
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #19
                                      May need to be uber patient in this one also. Saw a stat that these two teams score heavily in the final 15 minutes, so may be late goals needed to finish this ... would be nice to get some early ones too!

                                      Just looked again. 45% or so of ABC's goals scored between 45-60 & 76-90. 24% of Goias scored between 76-90.
                                      Comment
                                      • pattymayo
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-19-09
                                        • 10221

                                        #20
                                        I love the optimism EP

                                        Still would love to see an early one -- preferably by ABC
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #21
                                          Patience is a bitch, but been plenty of matches where 2nd halves are goal heavy and looks like that has to be the hope in this one.
                                          Comment
                                          • beefcake
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 14029

                                            #22
                                            There is the one we need right at the first half buzzer..Lets hope those stats hold true..
                                            Comment
                                            • pattymayo
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-19-09
                                              • 10221

                                              #23
                                              That's why I love betting overs - one goal right before the half almost makes up for nothing in the first 44 min

                                              Hopefuly ABC can respond with an early 2h goal
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #24
                                                Stats don't lie eh? 46th minute, goal ABC. So now that means they're gonna make us sweat until the 76th minute right? LoL. 1-1.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #25
                                                  Goooooooooooooooooooal! Home in the 61st minute.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • andy888888
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-27-12
                                                    • 1288

                                                    #26
                                                    placed it just before 1-0 as well
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pattymayo
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-19-09
                                                      • 10221

                                                      #27
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #28
                                                        Popping extra beer..!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #29
                                                          Might play a J-league match late night tonight, but that is all before the Big Euro weekend.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • darktray
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-29-11
                                                            • 786

                                                            #30
                                                            Fell asleep just before the first half to see that explosion when waking up!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cmaulsby
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 03-28-12
                                                              • 261

                                                              #31
                                                              Been tailing your Ninja picks for months - keep up the great work.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dk70
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-08-12
                                                                • 636

                                                                #32
                                                                Any late night sushi EP?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #33
                                                                  [Japan J1] Gamba Osaka-Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over 3.5 [+104]
                                                                  Large total, but Gamba Osaka has a massive amount of goals attached to their home matches this term. 33 scored & 32 conceded in just 15 matches - both good for best in the league. 10 of those 15 matches have hit for four or more goals. They have scored multiple goals in 10, conceded multiple goals in the same with zero clean sheets. Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead J1 with 29 road goals in 15 matches. Nine times they have banged home at least two on the road, including nine of the last eleven.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bullet Kays
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-12-11
                                                                    • 1167

                                                                    #34
                                                                    GL Eaglesphan, gonna tail you on this one to go along with my Omiya and Brisbane overs. Hope we hit!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dk70
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-08-12
                                                                      • 636

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Can't wait to see tomorrow's picks too.
                                                                      Comment
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