Only Overs

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  • pattymayo
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-19-09
    • 10221

    #1
    Only Overs
    Going to start tracking this 'system' of playing Overs exclusively and trying to make some profit. The 'system' is simply looking at the current form of each team, the ML, the juice on the over, and how many goals each team has been scoring lately (and their league positions). I've been hitting more overs than not simply by doing this basic research. Plus, I love the feeling of having an Over 2.5 and seeing a couple first half goals, or following the games on flashscores.com and seeing that beautiful red GOAL light up.

    First play:

    Brazil Serie A
    Gremio/Cortiba O2.5 -124

    Cortiba has won four straight and are climbing up the standings, while Gremio sits in third place and have scored at least 1 goal in their last 12 straight home games. Cortiba seems to have trouble scoring on the road, but their current form trumps that, at least for this game. Gremio is -200 for obvious reasons, but I think if Cortiba can net at least one goal we should have an easy over.

    Looking over card for later games, will add plays if I see any.
  • hotelis
    SBR MVP
    • 05-31-12
    • 1995

    #2
    that flashscore sound is fabulous. good luck!
    Comment
    • Omaga
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-10-12
      • 460

      #3
      Pattymayo might as well go to the cashing window before hand for a payout.
      Comment
      • pattymayo
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-19-09
        • 10221

        #4
        USA MLS
        Philadelphia/Houston O2.5 -117

        I generally like playing Overs when one team is a big fave (Houston -200). Philly is in pretty good form lately, and both teams have been finding the back of the net in recent games.
        Comment
        • pattymayo
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-19-09
          • 10221

          #5
          One more for tonight:

          USA MLS
          Chivas/Colorado O2.5 -107

          I like the price, considering both teams are having terrible years and really just getting pounded. Both teams have conceded 50+ goals in 32 games so far this year-- I'm banking on two teams with bad defenses playing each other = goals.
          Comment
          • O
            SBR MVP
            • 01-21-12
            • 1980

            #6
            looking good so far!
            Comment
            • rumnblack
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-21-12
              • 876

              #7
              Good work with Hou, got 20 mins to get a goal in the Chivas game, hope you get it.
              Comment
              • hotelis
                SBR MVP
                • 05-31-12
                • 1995

                #8
                too bad we forgot chivas/rockies lack skill to score 3
                Comment
                • pattymayo
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-19-09
                  • 10221

                  #9
                  Originally posted by hotelis
                  too bad we forgot chivas/rockies lack skill to score 3
                  I watched the last 20 min or so of that one and wow-- how did either team manage two in the first place? Guys looked dead out there.

                  Should have realized the MLS season is pretty much done and these guys wouldn't be trying too hard. Either way.. 2 first half goals and then 0 in 2nd half is tough to swallow.

                  Not sure what happened in that Gremio game, oh well. Figures the first Over I post in this thread would end 0-0.

                  Looking over some early morning action, will post soon.
                  Comment
                  • pattymayo
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-19-09
                    • 10221

                    #10
                    10/21
                    1-2, -1.31

                    Norway 1. Division
                    Ullensaker/Kisa/Tromsdalen O 3, 3.5 -110

                    Both teams are fresh off of 5 goal outbursts, and Tromsdalen has scored 13 in their last 3 games. Lots of goals scored in this league, and Tromsdalen scores and concedes a lot.

                    Russia Premier League
                    Terek Grozni/Amkar Perm O2.5, -104

                    Terek has scored at least once in their last 6 straight road games, while Perm has scored in 9 of their last 10 home games. Terek is just two points behind second place, so they should fight for this win on the road.. if both teams can score I think we have a good shot.
                    Comment
                    • pattymayo
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-19-09
                      • 10221

                      #11
                      Off to a bad start here, trying to get back on track this morning:

                      Denmark Superliga
                      Odense BK/Midtjylland O2.5, -135
                      Comment
                      • pattymayo
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-19-09
                        • 10221

                        #12
                        Norway Eliteserien
                        StabAk/Honefoss BK O3, -127
                        Comment
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