Germany -127 vs. Portugal +390

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  • Tchocky
    SBR MVP
    • 02-14-06
    • 2371

    #1
    Germany -127 vs. Portugal +390
    1. Under 2.5 -137
    2. Germany -0.5 -120
    8
    Germany -127
    0%
    4
    Portugal +390
    0%
    1
    Draw +255
    0%
    1
    Germany -0.5 -120
    0%
    1
    Portugal +0.5 +114
    0%
    0
    Over 2.5 +127
    0%
    0
    Under 2.5 -137
    0%
    1

    The poll is expired.

  • Illusion
    Restricted User
    • 08-09-05
    • 25166

    #2
    I see this one being a draw and going to penalty kicks.
    Comment
    • onlooker
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 36572

      #3
      Germany.
      Comment
      • Dark Horse
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-14-05
        • 13764

        #4
        This would have to be one of the strongest WC plays. Germany is playing for HUGE national pride. And the home crowd will be behind their team one last time. Germany should be an exception to the rule that most teams playing for third are still ailing over a missed spot in the final, and therefore not too interested. Portugal will not be such an exception.
        Comment
        • DrSlamm
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-10-05
          • 577

          #5
          is there ever a reason to bet the -127 instead of the -.5 at -120.. isnt the -.5 a 100 percent strictly better bet?
          Comment
          • Dark Horse
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-14-05
            • 13764

            #6
            Here is a link to how Ronaldo plays.

            Comment
            • ganchrow
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-28-05
              • 5011

              #7
              Originally posted by DrSlamm
              is there ever a reason to bet the -127 instead of the -.5 at -120.. isnt the -.5 a 100 percent strictly better bet?
              Unless there's some World Cup-specific quirk of which I'm unaware (and it does seem like soccer betting is full of quirks), it does seem like Germany -0.5 -120 in regulation is strictly better than Germany -127 in regulation (counting a draw as a loss).

              Actually, the former 3-way line implies a lower probability of a German regulation-time victory (53.53% vs. 53.86%) and hence at zero vig a slightly better deal for the bettor, but due to the higher juice (4.33% vs. 1.26%), it's ultimately an inferior bet.
              Comment
              • McBa1n
                SBR MVP
                • 01-02-06
                • 2642

                #8
                Originally posted by Dark Horse
                Here is a link to how Ronaldo plays.

                http://shinymedia.blogs.com/photos/u...image001_3.gif
                LMAO
                Best post ever on the soccer forums.
                Haha - perfect.
                Comment
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