Such a tough call to Fade that basket, especially without market indicators, but there are once again a shit ton of plays. Last week 17, this week 16. Without finishing a week exactly on some indicators we can flow through two different markets in one day.
That's part of what I mean by LIVE stream, we go through the time slots and react to the markets real time.
Even I'm thinking Iowa now, despite the strategies taking Penn, if they take Iowa action and don't move that line I could trigger a Penn St. Contrarian Fund. In a vacuum that gives Penn St a solid 53% chance of covering what would probably be 1.5.
But we aren't in a vacuum. The market is fluid, with money moving back and forth. There is a bit of Iowa selling out there, but notice that line dropped. That Visiting Dog Fund is sharp, and only triggered when I could get the 3. But notice last Sunday the first time I posted Penn St. +2.5, but said it didn't belong in the Fund.
It was a wider strategy, but in the end the public, for now, is on Iowa now and like I said, even I'm thinking it. The books are winning here. They are making it a tough call at the highest level, but at the same time getting all kinds of action.
If Penn is in the UPSET Basket and Contrarian Fund (if they keep taking Iowa pressure without moving that lie back up), I think we see Iowa win by a FG, pushing the 3 but covering all others and the public gets paid. I think.
Tomorrow could be another very busy day, but if I'm immersed, I'll have some decent LIVE shots, or at least thoughts how that first batch of games tomorrow morning.
Penn St vs Iowa is a huge game in the market, on many levels. The way both sides of bettors are emboldened with recent success combined with the ability to create a certain value with Penn St but still sell Iowa will make this a very high volume game, money and tickets.
Not to mention the attention that comes with top 5 teams playing, that actually adds to the situation, instead of creating the situation.
Huge game here.
My job, basically, is to decide whether or not this represents a surge in the market, a level up in the UPSET Basket as it will still go sideways, just in constant profit, or did we peak and are we heading down?..
Last year's KUNG Flu year presents a lot of unkowns, one of which is that we could see the surge in this Fund continue to a higher level.
As of now, I am still fully funded but might trade these plays a little differentas tomorrow grinds on.